Southern State Legislative Chambers Up in 2012 (user search)
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  Southern State Legislative Chambers Up in 2012 (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which of the following chambers do you predict will either turn Republican, or become more heavily Republican by January 2013?
#1
AR: House
 
#2
AR: Senate
 
#3
FL: House
 
#4
FL: Senate
 
#5
GA: House
 
#6
GA: Senate
 
#7
KY: House
 
#8
KY: Senate
 
#9
NC: House
 
#10
NC: Senate
 
#11
TN: House
 
#12
TN: Senate
 
#13
TX: House
 
#14
TX: Senate
 
#15
WV: House
 
#16
WV: Senate
 
#17
SC: House
 
#18
SC: Senate
 
#19
OK: House
 
#20
OK: Senate
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 30

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Southern State Legislative Chambers Up in 2012  (Read 28496 times)
Nichlemn
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,920


« on: November 23, 2011, 11:33:04 PM »

How did we see that the Kentucky GOP is in decline?

Didn't you see the election results on Tuesday?

Did you see the results of Oklahoma's state elections in 2006?
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Nichlemn
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,920


« Reply #1 on: February 29, 2012, 12:41:35 AM »

The article didn't mention that the GOP may have gained control in 2010 if they hadn't failed to contest a majority of seats.
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Nichlemn
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,920


« Reply #2 on: June 03, 2012, 07:11:23 PM »

My own predictions -the GOP will take over the Arkansas legislature this year, and will likely continue to narrow the gap in the Kentucky House while shoring up their majority in the Kentucky Senate.  This is a conservative prediction, mind you -it is entirely possible that the GOP can take over the Kentucky legislature outright, and thus be in position to redistrict the state chambers next year.

As for West Virginia -there is no chance in hell that the GOP can take over this year (needless to say), but they will gain substantially in the legislature there in both chambers much like their counterparts in Arkansas did in 2010 who faced similar daunting odds that year.  

I will not comment on the other states, except that the outlook does not look bright for Democrats anywhere in the region -especially in North Carolina.  Tongue

If Republcians were going to take over the Kentucky House, 2010 would have been the year.  Same with West Virginia.  Not every year is going to be 2010 for Republicans. 

Not everything moves exactly in tandem with the national climate. (In fact, this is probably the biggest mistake people make with respect to downballot predictions).
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