Southern State Legislative Chambers Up in 2012

[krazen1211]

Given population loss in the Democratic inner city dumps, its certainly possible to eek out a couple more seats in most of the states mentioned.

Florida might be an exception.

In North Carolina, for instance, a black seat will probably be eliminated around Roanoke Rapids.

[krazen1211]

It's "inner city" if you could be genuinely worried about being shot, or if you have reason to be fearful because you're a white person.  Retarded hipsterville has never been "inner city" by anyone's definition except maybe some retarded hipsters who want to show "solidarity" with the poor that they studiously avoid, or perhaps merely want to "live ironically."

Even in Minnesota, CD-4 and CD-5 are a combined 100k underpopulated while CD-6 is 100k over.


The population in Minneapolis probably is high enough not to eliminate a legislative district there, but such is not true for Cleveland and Detroit and many other shrinking cities. Democratic representatives can and will be thrown to the wolves.

The point of course is obvious. The GOP really isn't capped out in a lot of places, contrary to what some may think. Population rebalance can and will draw better maps, as shown by Mr. Solomon's Texas map which creates many more safe districts than the existing one.

[krazen1211]

Wow, Democrats still control the Arkansas legislature?

Not for much longer, if voting follows fundraising trends.  A political party in a conservative southern state tethered to a black Democratic president that is out-raised 3 to 1 cannot expect much else other than disaster in November. 

I will be keen to see if Kentucky follows suit...   

If Republicans couldnt win control of the Kentucky House in 2010, they wont anytime soon. 

If you think that having Barack Obama at the top of the ticket will help down-ballot white southern Democrats, then I don't know what to say to you.  Considering how successful Republicans have been in the South in nationalizing elections, it would not surprise me if we find next January that the only southern legislature we hold in the region will be in West Virginia -and even there we are likely on borrowed time.  I am not expecting that we will be able to hold our ground even there by the 2020 census. 

And BTW, it is interesting that we have switched roles here.  I am not accustomed to you being the optimist. 

Then how come Republicans are still able to hold on to strongly Democratic legislative seats in New York, Michigan and Pennsylvania?  Wont having Mitt Romney at the top of the ticket hurt them?

2 of those 3 are not strongly Democratic. The third is done through vicious gerrymandering.