Romney Election Night Landslide
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  Romney Election Night Landslide
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Author Topic: Romney Election Night Landslide  (Read 730 times)
NHI
Junior Chimp
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« on: May 08, 2011, 08:43:31 AM »

Mitt Romney wins the primary and selects Chris Christie to be his running mate. At the time of the conventions Pres. Obama's approval ratings stand at: 45%, with 8.5% unemployment and gas princes at $3.88. It looks to be a close election, but in September the economy crumbles and a double dip recession ensures.

Before the crash, Obama led Romney by a narrow margin: 47%-45%. Following the crash, Romney saw a huge uptick in the polls. 52%-44%

Election Night 2012:

7:00
It is seven o'clock in the east and we have projections to make for the Presidency. For Gov. Romney we can project: Indiana, Kentucky, Georgia, Virginia and South Carolina. For Pres. Obama we can project Vermont.

The state of Virginia is certainly the biggest surprise in that list. It was expected to be close, but based on exit polling and the data we've received now we can call it for Romney.



R: 57
D:  3

7:30
We can project the state of West Virgina for Gov. Romney, with Ohio and North Carolina remaining too close to call.

R: 63
D: 3

8:00
More states' polls have closed and we have winners to call: In the state of Alabama, Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Tennessee and New Hampshire. For Pres. Obama we can project: Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Illinois, and Washington, DC.
We now can make a projection in two key states: North Carolina and Florida for Mitt Romney.


R: 153
D:  46

We can also make a projection that Gov. Romney has carried Pennsylvania.

9:00
We're back and we have major news, historic news to project. Based on wins in the states carried we can project Gov. Romney for the Presidency. He has beaten Pres. Obama.



R: 288
D:  75

http://www.minnpost.com/_asset/z0pdag/mp_main_wide/RomneySuperTuesday.jpg

Final Results:



R: 400: 55.9%
D: 138: 43.2%





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feeblepizza
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« Reply #1 on: May 08, 2011, 09:09:58 AM »

Boo
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Pingvin
Pingvin99
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« Reply #2 on: May 08, 2011, 10:00:05 AM »

I hope that real election night would look like one in first post.
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: May 08, 2011, 10:30:29 AM »

I hope that real election night would look like one in first post.

So do I.
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tmthforu94
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E: -0.26, S: -4.52

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« Reply #4 on: May 08, 2011, 11:05:16 AM »

Certainly plausible, minus a couple of percentages. I think Connecticut would go before Massachusetts, personally.
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mondale84
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E: -3.23, S: -3.30

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« Reply #5 on: May 08, 2011, 11:28:07 AM »

disaster....
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #6 on: May 08, 2011, 07:08:16 PM »

That's believable with the economic conditions you presented.  Romney would obviously win the EC with over 300 EV.  But I do he would need ~12% unemployment and/or a crash by the end of 2011 to get over 53% of the vote.  That would be the best performance we've seen from either party since Reagan and the most impressive defeat of an incumbent since FDR.
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feeblepizza
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« Reply #7 on: May 08, 2011, 07:11:22 PM »

Yeah, switch Massachusetts and Connecticut. Other than that it's plausible.
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