2012 Election
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Author Topic: 2012 Election  (Read 451 times)
Lou34679
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« on: May 08, 2011, 11:49:22 PM »

If unemployment is under 8%, who do you think has the best chance against Obama? I want to say Huckabee, if he runs.
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Penelope
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« Reply #1 on: May 09, 2011, 03:14:29 AM »

Nobody.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2 on: May 09, 2011, 07:19:02 AM »

If unemployment is under 8%, who do you think has the best chance against Obama? I want to say Huckabee, if he runs.

The ghost of Abraham Lincoln -- maybe Theodore Roosevelt.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/bin-laden-death-helps-obama-reposition-in-virginia-but-big-challenges-remain/2011/05/06/AFNqFmUG_story.html

....

Official unemployment is now 9%, and President Obama was projected to win re-election even before the announcement of the elimination of Osama bin Laden. The Washington Post polled Virginia during the period from April 28 to May 4. Before May 1, President Obama was leading in Virginia 49-46 in approval.  Afterward it was 57-40. A positive gap in approval itself suggests an overwhelming chance of winning the state. A gap as large as 57-40 translates into about 57% of the vote in that state.   

Because Virginia experienced some of the greatest horror of 9/11, it is hardly surprising that the President gained on a large scale in Virginia, and probably much more than the national average. Nothing says that Presidential approval in Virginia will stick around 57%... but this state voted slightly more R in 2008 than the national average with Obama winning the state.

The Republicans will have to win Virginia to make Barack Obama a one-term President. Even before May 1, such was unlikely. 
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #3 on: May 09, 2011, 07:46:35 AM »

Romney, if he could get the nomination.
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