WV/PPP: Tomblin crushes his opponents; other Dems lead as well

[JohnnyLongtorso]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_WV_0427424.pdf

John Perdue (D) - 37
Betty Ireland (R) - 32

John Perdue (D) - 38
Bill Maloney (R) - 26

Natalie Tennant (D) - 39
Betty Ireland (R) - 33

Natalie Tennant (D) - 42
Bill Maloney (R) - 29

Rick Thompson (D) - 38
Betty Ireland (R) - 35

Rick Thompson (D) - 38
Bill Maloney (R) - 28

Earl Ray Tomblin (D) - 51
Betty Ireland (R) - 29

Earl Ray Tomblin (D) - 56
Bill Maloney (R) - 23

Tomblin's approval is 49/27.

Favorables:

Ireland - 30/23
Maloney - 12/19
Perdue - 27/27
Tennant  - 36/29
Thompson - 25/24

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

The lead will probably go down a bit when Tomblin is tied to Obama in commercials but not enough for the Republican to have much of a chance. Assuming that Tomblin is the nominee of course.

Also, can we stop talking about Betty Ireland like she is in the Shelley Moore Capito category of WV Republicans? She did hold statewide elected office, but she beat Ken Hechler to get the job, and she only won the race 52% - 48%.

Republicans badly need a bench in WV. They better hope McKinley can hold down his seat post-redistricting.

edit: Also, in the election she won in 2004 Hechler had barely survived a primary challenge by Natalie Tennant(who currently holds the job), winning by something like 1000 votes.

[HST1948]

Is 60% Democrat voter turn out in West Virginia in 2012 realistic, like this poll has sampled?

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Is 60% Democrat voter turn out in West Virginia in 2012 realistic, like this poll has sampled?

It's 2011, but probably not, though it's a special election on an odd date (sometime in October, I forget when), so who knows what turnout will be like.

[Miles]

Is 60% Democrat voter turn out in West Virginia in 2012 realistic, like this poll has sampled?

Democrats have a 27 point registration advantage in WV; 60% Democrat sounds about reasonable.

[HST1948]

Is 60% Democrat voter turn out in West Virginia in 2012 realistic, like this poll has sampled?

Democrats have a 27 point registration advantage in WV; 60% Democrat sounds about reasonable.

Really... Interesting. Thank you!
(BTW... Your time line is great)

[Miles]

Is 60% Democrat voter turn out in West Virginia in 2012 realistic, like this poll has sampled?

Democrats have a 27 point registration advantage in WV; 60% Democrat sounds about reasonable.

Really... Interesting. Thank you!
(BTW... Your time line is great)

Yeah, last I checked, Democrats have a 56-29 advantage over Republicans in WV.

  Thanks!