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| | |-+  The Realignment: 2016 and Onwards
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Author Topic: The Realignment: 2016 and Onwards  (Read 574 times)
Heisenberg
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« on: November 17, 2016, 01:30:18 am »
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With the results of last week's elections, my old timeline looked silly. I will eventually return to The Hillary Downfall, and write about a Republican Party recovering from a fictional (close) Trump loss. But this is going to be a new one based on last week's elections.

Prologue:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_elections,_2016
Elections go the same way they do in our timeline.

Trump Cabinet: (so far)
Chief of Staff: Reince Priebus
Chief Strategist:Steve Bannon

Next cabinet names coming soon. Picks in this timeline may not reflect the ones in real life.

Enjoy!
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #1 on: November 18, 2016, 11:41:23 pm »
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By Thanksgiving, the Trump team has already announced the following names to the cabinet:

Attorney General: Jeff Sessions
Secretary of the Treasury: Steven Mnuchin
Secretary of Transportation: John Mica
Secretary of Energy: Forrest Lucas
CIA Director: Mike Pompeo
National Security Advisor: Michael Flynn

Next Update: The rest of the cabinet, inauguration, the first few days, and special elections (if applicable).
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #2 on: November 20, 2016, 01:32:42 am »
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The Cabinet (Remaining Picks):
Secretary of State: Bob Corker
Secretary of Defense: James Mattis
Secretary of Agriculture: Jerry Moran
Secretary of Labor: Victoria Lipnic
Secretary of Education: Michelle Rhee
Secretary of HHS: Bobby Jindal
Secretary of the Interior: Sarah Palin
Secretary of Commerce: Peter Thiel
Secretary of HUD: Scott Brown
Secretary of Energy: Kevin Cramer
Secretary of Veterans Affairs: Jeff Miller
Secretary of Homeland Security: David Clarke

Cabinet-Level and Other Major Positions
OMB Director: Jack Kingston
EPA Administrator: Robert Grady
SBA Administrator: Jim Talent
Trade Representative: Dan DiMicco
UN Ambassador: Mitt Romney
Council of Economic Advisers Chair: Carl Icahn
Press Secretary: Kellyanne Conway
Surgeon General: Ben Carson
Director of National Intelligence: Rudy Giuliani
NASA Administrator: Eileen Collins
Secretary of the Army: Duncan L. Hunter
Secretary of the Navy: Randy Forbes
Secretary of the Air Force: Mike Griffin

Trump showed that he does not have thin skin, by naming Mitt Romney Ambassador to the UN after the two made peace at a meeting in New Jersey soon after the election. John Kasich, another #NeverTrumper, announced a run for US Senate in 2018, and Trump immediately threw full support behind the bid, saying "John will make a great US Senator and I look forward to working with him when he returns to Washington in two years." Ben Sasse also made amends, but declined any appointments, pledging to remain in the Senate. Nikki Haley vowed to finish her term as Governor, but remained open to accepting a spot in the administration after her term ended. Joe Heck and Kelly Ayotte, two Republican Senate candidates who blew their poll leads after bolting from Trump make up with him and get high-profile ambassadorships.

Vacancies:
KS Sen: To the ire of establishment-oriented Republicans, Brownback appoints defeated conservative Tim Huelskamp to Moran's seat. A special election will be held in 2018. Huelskamp will first have to fend off a primary challenge from Kevin Yoder, in what will likely be the marquee Senate primary of the 2018 season, and could divert attention away from some of the competitive general elections.

TN-Sen: Bill Haslam appoints former Senator Bill Frist back to his old seat. Frist promises to retire in 2018, this time for good, leading many to suspect that popular term-limited Governor Haslam will run for the next term in 2018.

The following House seats will have vacancies to be filled in Special elections, February 21, 2017:
KS-04: Ron Estes vs. Dan Giroux
ND-AL: Brian Kalk vs. John Grabinger
Republicans are thought to be favored in both races, but both are taken seriously by both parties. Grabinger is seen as an especially formidable candidate, as he won reelection to his heavily Republican State Senate seat in 2016 by 18 points. But Kalk is a formidable candidate too, and has the name recognition and money advantages, and the partisan lean of the state on his side.

Supreme Court:
With help from his Attorney General-designate and close friend, Trump nominates William Pryor to the Supreme Court seat vacated by Scalia. Clarence Thomas and Anthony Kennedy both mull retirement, which would give Trump two more vacancies to fill. The two eldest liberals, Ginsburg and Breyer, both Clinton appointees, play down their old age and deny retirement rumors.
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TimTurner
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« Reply #3 on: November 20, 2016, 02:21:51 am »
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Cool.
What are Trump's approvals?
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Vote Lib Dem on May 7 - keep Clegg as deputy PM


http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=244197.0
Different states!
My God-Emperor Is Alive!
Abraham Washington
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« Reply #4 on: November 20, 2016, 06:28:10 pm »
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This is awesome. Wink
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Obama is Sad!
Very, very Sad!
He had a bad day.
What a day Obama had!





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Heisenberg
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« Reply #5 on: November 22, 2016, 01:38:52 am »
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Final Update before Inauguration:

Louisiana Results:

Senate
John Neely Kennedy: 56%
Foster Campbell: 44%

House, LA-03
Scott Angelle: 50.5%
Clay Higgins: 49.5%

House, LA-04
Mike Johnson: 62%
Marshall Jones: 38%

As expected, LA-04 and the Senate seat stay in Republican hands. Angelle, who really underperformed in the primary, narrowly edged out a victory in the runoff, in spite of all of Higgins's troubles.

Alabama: Gov. Robert Bentley announces his appointment for Sessions's Senate seat: Congressman Robert Aderholt of Alabama's 4th Congressional District. The special election for the seat will be held on February 21, 2017, the same day as the other two. State Senator Greg Reed is the Republican nominee, and is heavily favored over perennial candidate Nicholas Sparks, the Democrat.

Trump Approvals
Disapprove: 52%
Approve: 48%

Trump's approvals pull almost even as the inauguration approaches, and he has assembled his cabinet.    The country remains quite polarized, as the percent approving and disapproving is near even, but Trump has increased from the rock-bottom favorability ratings he saw throughout much of the campaign. He has moved quickly in assembling his team, and the transition went smoothly as inauguration approaches.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #6 on: November 23, 2016, 04:53:02 pm »
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The inauguration went smoothly. All of Trump's cabinet picks were confirmed, except for Michelle Rhee, who surprisingly failed with a vote of 48-52, which did not follow party lines. More conservative Republicans opposed her due to her pro-Common Core stance, which was at odds with Trump and many Republicans, while some of the more liberal Democrats disliked her pro-charter school position. Schumer was not happy with this, saying "Trump extended an olive branch to us Democrats with her, this was a golden opportunity to keep the Department of Education run by a pro-Common Core leader. Now he's going to likely appoint someone fully on his side who can get through the Senate with mostly Republican yes votes." Indeed, Trump nominated Betsy DeVos instead, and she did get confirmed. William Pryor is filibustered for nomination to SCOTUS, but is ultimately confirmed as the filibuster ends. Pryor is seen as a "mainstream choice" as he is a federal judge, but Democrats warn against Senators being named to the Court. Trump assembles his Justice and State Departments, with US Attorneys and Ambassadors named (not going through all the names). Most of his inner circle made the cabinet, with three notable exceptions: Joe Arpaio and Chris Christie (due to pending charges) and Newt Gingrich, who shocked America by stating he would not take a job in the Trump administration, but remain close to Trump.
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