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May 26, 2015, 09:01:04 pm
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News: Election 2016 predictions are now open!.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Bacon King, Dallasfan65)
| | |-+  Election Night 2036
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Poll
Question: How is this timeline (so far)?
Very good, keep it up   -27 (81.8%)
Decent   -3 (9.1%)
So and so   -1 (3%)
Bad, need to reform   -1 (3%)
Terrible, please stop   -1 (3%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 33

Author Topic: Election Night 2036  (Read 2162 times)
ElectionsGuy
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Political Matrix
E: 7.48, S: -7.48

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« Reply #50 on: May 24, 2015, 03:26:49 pm »
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I'm rooting for the ticket more likely to support my beliefs here. #Gallego2036 #BeatAmash

You favor expanding the social safety net, cutting military spending, getting money out of politics, and more labor rights such as paid vacation leave?
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Wulfric
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« Reply #51 on: May 24, 2015, 03:33:14 pm »
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It appears you accidentally used the non-atlas colors in the actual maps in your last post for all but Iowa.
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Political Test Results (I Support Democratic Positions ~58% of the time!):
http://www.isidewith.com/results/894702484

Ratings

2016 House - Strongly Leaning Republican

2015/2016 Governor (Updated 5/23):
http://tinyurl.com/njc56un

2016 President (updated 5/22):

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1OKC1m79QlrW3MSKXKxW4Ms-goKoDHlqsdfHJCWfEExA

Senate 2016 - Coming in ~Mid July 2015

#DraftBiden2016
#DraftWarren2016
#DraftKasich2016
ElectionsGuy
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Posts: 9876
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.48, S: -7.48

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« Reply #52 on: May 24, 2015, 03:38:07 pm »
Ignore

It appears you accidentally used the non-atlas colors in the actual maps in your last post for all but Iowa.

No, actually that was on purpose. Iowa is correct. TV news is going to use the red-Republican blue-Democrat alignment.
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Wulfric
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« Reply #53 on: May 24, 2015, 04:46:40 pm »
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It appears you accidentally used the non-atlas colors in the actual maps in your last post for all but Iowa.

No, actually that was on purpose. Iowa is correct. TV news is going to use the red-Republican blue-Democrat alignment.

Ok. In the partial results you used the atlas colors, so it was kind of confusing to see the reverse on the county map.
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Political Test Results (I Support Democratic Positions ~58% of the time!):
http://www.isidewith.com/results/894702484

Ratings

2016 House - Strongly Leaning Republican

2015/2016 Governor (Updated 5/23):
http://tinyurl.com/njc56un

2016 President (updated 5/22):

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1OKC1m79QlrW3MSKXKxW4Ms-goKoDHlqsdfHJCWfEExA

Senate 2016 - Coming in ~Mid July 2015

#DraftBiden2016
#DraftWarren2016
#DraftKasich2016
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
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Posts: 9876
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.48, S: -7.48

P P P
View Profile
« Reply #54 on: May 24, 2015, 04:51:05 pm »
Ignore

It appears you accidentally used the non-atlas colors in the actual maps in your last post for all but Iowa.

No, actually that was on purpose. Iowa is correct. TV news is going to use the red-Republican blue-Democrat alignment.

Ok. In the partial results you used the atlas colors, so it was kind of confusing to see the reverse on the county map.

Oh yeah, sorry. I figure its easy enough to figure out Republican and Democrat though.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #55 on: May 25, 2015, 06:30:42 pm »
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Great work. Looks like Amash is likely to win based on what I've seen so far, and hopefully he does it without needing Florida so that we don't have a repeat of that debacle.

Out of curiosity, what is the methodology you used to come up with your EVs per state?
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For England, James?

No. For me.
ElectionsGuy
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Posts: 9876
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.48, S: -7.48

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« Reply #56 on: May 25, 2015, 10:41:35 pm »
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Great work. Looks like Amash is likely to win based on what I've seen so far, and hopefully he does it without needing Florida so that we don't have a repeat of that debacle.

Out of curiosity, what is the methodology you used to come up with your EVs per state?

I didn't really use a methodology. I just analyzed current (and by that I mean last 20-30 years) population shift trends and predicted them for all the states. I just had to make sure they all added up to 538 in the end.
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