Illinois Congressional Jujitsu

[Landslide Lyndon]

Here is an excellent analysis of the new Illinois map.

http://www.redracinghorses.com/diary/514/red-racing-horsess-analysis-of-llinoiss-congressional-redistricting-map-written-by-a-chicagoan

IL-16: Don Manzullo (R-Eagan). Rep Manzullo will be 68 by the time this rural/exburban Chicago vote sink holds its next election in 2012. Adam Kinzinger (R-Manteo) would not live in this seat, however, he may run here, as it contains some of his current territory. Manzullo has never been known as a great fundrasier/campaigner, and will feel pressure from the Republican Party to step aside for the young, exciting, and charismatic freshman Congressman from Manteo. Kinzinger gives great speeches, and is a naturally gifted campaigner, and he may also scare Manzullo, who hasn't had to campaign tirelessly for years. If a primary between the two materializes, look for it to be a battle of conservatives trying to push to the right. Kinzinger will have more Tea Party support, but it'll be an uphill battle to knock off Manzullo. If the GOP in Illinois has its way, Manzullo will retire, and Kinzinger will have a long, prosperous political career in this 50.1% Obama, R+4 or R+5 Safe R district (again, those seats do not fall in Illinois).

[Landslide Lyndon]

The new 15th is mostly old Shimkus turf.

Shimkus will just take the 56% McCain district and nicely park his butt there for 10 years. A moderate like Johnson is going to be forced into the Springfield district, which he should win easily enough.

No way Shimkus loses a primary. He's already won 1 head to head battle against an imcumbent.

What makes Johnson a moderate?

He shares the same name with a Democratic senator.

[Landslide Lyndon]

  And on the same day, the Chicago Sun Times breaks the story that Walsh owes $117,000 in back child support.  (Good old 'family values' strikes again) 

Family Values AND Fiscal Responsibility.
Now if only he comes out as gay, he could very well become a lock for the Republican of the Year Award.