NY-09, Special Election Thread (user search)
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  NY-09, Special Election Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: NY-09, Special Election Thread  (Read 95575 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,798
« on: June 08, 2011, 05:11:58 PM »
Quote from: King on June 08, 2011, 05:03:15 PM
If Weiner does not return to the House, he should join CNN for the show WeinerSpitzer.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #1 on: June 16, 2011, 12:35:43 PM »
California has had eight since 2005: CA-05, 48, 50, 37, 12, 32, 10, and the pending 36.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #2 on: July 01, 2011, 08:36:21 PM »
Former Rep. Liz Holtzman has become a top contender for the Democratic nomination.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #3 on: July 02, 2011, 07:26:48 AM »
Quote from: Lunar on July 02, 2011, 06:35:46 AM
Quote from: and it was about dreams of flying to spite a falling sky on July 02, 2011, 01:16:42 AM
I don't think the Orthodox are a big deal, they voted almost 100% for McCain anyway and he still lost the seat by a wide margin despite plenty of other votes not being fond of Obama.

Michael Bloomberg won 70% of the vote in NY-9.  It's a competitive seat, potentially.

So all the Republicans need to do is nominate a Jewish billionaire who can spend as much as he wants and hope the Democrats nominate an underfunded black guy?
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #4 on: July 05, 2011, 05:23:34 PM »
Eric Ulrich has taken himself out of consideration for the Republican nomination. Sorry, krazen, your dreams of picking up this seat are slipping through your fingers.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #5 on: July 07, 2011, 08:34:31 AM »
The Republican field has narrowed to four options:

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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #6 on: July 07, 2011, 09:36:38 AM »
The Conservative Party is likely to back Bob Turner.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #7 on: July 07, 2011, 11:09:22 AM »
He has a fantastic mustache:
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #8 on: July 07, 2011, 02:32:04 PM »
Yeesh. Godwin's Law much?
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #9 on: July 10, 2011, 11:45:13 AM »
The Independence Party is backing Weprin.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #10 on: August 18, 2011, 05:56:00 PM »
Republican City Councilman Peter Koo backs Weprin.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #11 on: September 06, 2011, 06:16:19 PM »
Magellan thinks black voters are going 40-39 for Turner. That... seems unlikely.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #12 on: September 09, 2011, 05:36:24 PM »
Welp, the Democrats really screwed this one up, I guess it was inevitable that they'd be the ones to royally mess up a special election in New York for once.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #13 on: September 10, 2011, 01:38:03 PM »
One bit of trivia: if Turner wins, he'll be one of the oldest freshmen in the history of the House of Representatives. This guy seems to have been the oldest freshman ever, but Turner, at 70 years old, would probably be second after him.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #14 on: September 11, 2011, 02:58:59 PM »
« Edited: September 11, 2011, 03:30:53 PM by JohnnyLongtorso »
It always amazes me how long people are willing to put up with one-note trolls.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #15 on: September 11, 2011, 10:12:48 PM »
I kinda doubt the SWP guy will get 4%. Not that that will help Weprin. My guess for Tuesday is 52-47 Turner.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #16 on: September 11, 2011, 10:19:04 PM »

I do have to scratch my head at this being leaked at the last minute. Surely a 25-year-old court case can't be that impressive a finishing blow. Of course, they did it to Phil Kellam in 2006 here in VA-02...
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #17 on: September 12, 2011, 07:14:04 AM »
And the moral of the story is "don't nominate a member of the New York Assembly for a special election to Congress".
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #18 on: September 13, 2011, 05:57:01 PM »
After playing around with the 2010 Weiner/Turner numbers and '08 Presidential numbers, I think Weprin's going to have to get about 54-55% in Queens and 39-40% in Brooklyn to win. Of course, if turnout is down in Queens relative to Brooklyn (it was about 70-30 in both of the previous elections), it gets significantly harder for Weprin to pull off a win.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #19 on: September 13, 2011, 06:00:28 PM »
Polls close at 9 PM Eastern.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #20 on: September 13, 2011, 10:06:16 PM »
Weiner barely won Brooklyn in '10 (about 52-48, I think) while winning districtwide 61-39. I believe Obama lost the Brooklyn portion of the district while getting 60% in Queens.
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798
« Reply #21 on: September 14, 2011, 05:56:40 PM »

Damn, you beat me to it.
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