NY-09, Special Election Thread

[Meeker]

People actually think this could be competitive? The Republicans have no chance at winning this seat.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bPa8teSoLwg

Replace "Jane Corwin" with whoever the Republican nominee is. Election is over.

[Meeker]

People actually think this could be competitive? The Republicans have no chance at winning this seat.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bPa8teSoLwg

Replace "Jane Corwin" with whoever the Republican nominee is. Election is over.

lol, I am sure this seat will remain Democratic, albeit more competitive than under normal circumstances, but you gotta admit its funny how you guys are essentially using the GOP tactics of 2009 with healthcare.

I don't see any connection in tactics. Republicans made up nonsense that appeared no where in the final healthcare bill (government is taking control, there are death panels, etc.) while all the Democrats are doing is running ads that detail - using the wording of respected newspapers -  the exact provisions of the bill the Republicans have already voted to support.

[Meeker]

The election is going to be on September 13th which is conveniently the day of the Nevada special election as well.

[Meeker]

Perfect candidate.

[Meeker]

Perfect candidate.

WRONG!

I'm sorry to be blunt, but she did not perform well in NY-9 in her past elections (two decades ago), has made tons of foreign policy statements guaranteed to lose Orthodox voters, and doesn't live anywhere near the district now.

It's hard to imagine a worse choice Crowley could realistically make, electorally speaking.  He could pick like six or eight other candidates who would have a better chance at winning the seat but still wouldn't primary a sitting Congressional incumbent.

There's an Orthodox Jewish Assemblyman right there in the district (who voted for gay marriage but can still relate better to the Orthodox voters who I think occupy the majority of the swing voters in the district than any Republican), why not just go with him instead of some kind of big named candidate guaranteed to be controversial?

ok fine lunar you know more about new york politics than me no need to rub it in jerk

[Meeker]

I'm personally expecting a margin about like the Hahn/Huey race... maybe a little closer.

[Meeker]

DCCC releases a poll from a NY outfit that has Weprin ahead 47% to 39%. 400 respondents, two day sample (one of which was the same day as the GOP poll).

http://www.thebrooklynpolitics.com/post/9708308054/democrats-release-their-own-ny-9-poll-12-05-pm-o

[Meeker]

DCCC releases a poll from a NY outfit that has Weprin ahead 47% to 39%. 400 respondents, two day sample (one of which was the same day as the GOP poll).

http://www.thebrooklynpolitics.com/post/9708308054/democrats-release-their-own-ny-9-poll-12-05-pm-o

who wrote that story??

A "journalist".

[Meeker]

There's an entire board where you can debate the merits of the varying forms of Judaism. Please take the discussion there.

[Meeker]

DCCC just purchased a nearly half-million dollar ad buy.

[Meeker]

I was phonebanking for Weprin for two hours today. We definitely aren't winning this election.

[Meeker]

isn't it obvious? everyone that picked up was for Turner

Not everyone. But about half. Half of registered Democrats.

[Meeker]

Sigh...

http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0911/In_leaked_custody_filing_heedless_Weprin_dirty_politics_alleged.html?showall

[Meeker]

Death points for J.J.!

[Meeker]

PPP says Obama's approval in NY-09 is 31%. Oof.

[Meeker]

Same margin as Sienna.

[Meeker]

I kinda doubt the SWP guy will get 4%. Not that that will help Weprin. My guess for Tuesday is 52-47 Turner.

Yup.

[Meeker]

Does anyone have the Siena poll's internals? Someone told me they had Obama with a 45% approval rating.

[Meeker]

dedicated to all my critics (hope you have fun tomorrow, because the Jewish Community will be happy though we would have been much happier if this election was not necessary (and I wasn't referring to Weiner's problems (though that too)))
just to repost some of the comments that were said after I made my prediction on August 11th that this will be won based on marriage redefinition (now even a Philip Goldfeder (Orthodox politician running for the 23 Assembly district) is trying to separate him self from Weprin based on that)

Careful you don't go throwing up on yourself with all that spinning you're doing there.

That's the third time you post this nonsense. I think we got the message, so please take your idiocy and get the hell out of here.

((((()((())(((

[Meeker]

For anyone who's read something about it, the special election in Assembly District 54 is currently 40% Espinal, 31% Gonzalez and 28% Towns. 54% reporting.

[Meeker]

Anyone have any results from the upstate NY AD races, districts 116 and 144?

Dems won both.

[Meeker]

Clark County: 58% to 39% OHHHHHHH!

You know I was totally not planning on saying any cliche statements on the nation here, but WOW! How can you not with numbers like that. I think its safe to say that all of the campaign committees and 501(c)4s are debating writing off Nevada this year. Those kind of numbers beg the question...are we just going to throw money down the toilet in a state like that?

Lets just call a spade and a spade here, if the economy doesn't turn around talk of size able Dem gains in the house is bat sh*t crazy talk and talk of Obama having any advantage going into 2012 will get you kicked to the kiddy table.

You're going to want to wipe all that sticky stuff off your keyboard before it dries.

[Meeker]

Clark County: 58% to 39% OHHHHHHH!

You know I was totally not planning on saying any cliche statements on the nation here, but WOW! How can you not with numbers like that. I think its safe to say that all of the campaign committees and 501(c)4s are debating writing off Nevada this year. Those kind of numbers beg the question...are we just going to throw money down the toilet in a state like that?

Lets just call a spade and a spade here, if the economy doesn't turn around talk of size able Dem gains in the house is bat sh*t crazy talk and talk of Obama having any advantage going into 2012 will get you kicked to the kiddy table.

Keep in mind that piece of Clark in NV-02 is heavily Republican rural and exurban voters.

According to news reports I read before the race started they said the exact opposite.

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/f/f5/NV02_109.gif

[Meeker]

If Weprin loses, it's looking like a Massachusetts repeat: another Democrat who assumes it's just "in the bag" because there are more registered Democrats than Republicans, and just sleeps around in his campaign office all day expecting a good race.  It's also no help that the voters didn't get to vote in primaries for this one.

fool it was the fact that Weprin lost many of his otherwise bases votes over marriage.

Did you just call another poster "fool"? Really?

[Meeker]

What a thread.