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Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
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Topic: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters (Read 8139 times)
Yelnoc
YaBB God
Posts: 6565
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #75 on:
December 24, 2011, 07:47:41 pm »
Quote from: Ramsey Clark on December 24, 2011, 07:12:46 pm
Fallenmorgan endorse me and I win the election.
A rule: Don't post elections with yourself as a candidate.
Logged
Goodbye
Senator Snowstalker
Snowstalker
YaBB God
Posts: 10987
Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -3.13
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #76 on:
December 24, 2011, 08:03:11 pm »
Yelnoc wins easily.
Logged
Quote from: 31: A New Bushie on April 30, 2013, 01:33:54 pm
I wouldn't touch the Carnival cruise ships with a 10 foot pole. Too many things have gone wrong in the last ~6 months for me to even consider it anymore.
Governor Scott
Scott
YaBB God
Posts: 11110
Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.22
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #77 on:
December 24, 2011, 11:06:46 pm »
Green: Yelnoc
Blue: Snowstalker
Red: RFK
Yelnoc wins with just 270 EVs.
«
Last Edit: December 24, 2011, 11:09:22 pm by Northeast Speaker Scott
»
Logged
Summary Of My Political Beliefs
TheDeadFlagBlues
YaBB God
Posts: 2906
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #78 on:
December 24, 2011, 11:35:27 pm »
Logged
Economic score: -6.26
Social score: -7.74
Free Palestine
FallenMorgan
YaBB God
Posts: 8112
Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -10.00
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #79 on:
December 25, 2011, 03:51:43 am »
Quote from: RosettaStoned on December 24, 2011, 04:34:38 pm
Blue is FallenMorgan.
Red is RFK.
Green is realisticidealist.
I'm a red now, RS. <SKIP>
Logged
Free Bradley Manning
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24676
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #80 on:
December 25, 2011, 06:49:29 am »
This looks more like a democratic primary, so that's the format I've chosen. I use the 2008 schedule because I don't know what the new one looks like.
Basically, Snowstalker is some kind of pro-labor left-wing democrat, Scott some kind of East Coast lib'rul and DeadFlagBlues a western maverick.
At the beginning Scott is considered as the heavy favorite, but Snowstalker pulls out a surprise win in Iowa which places the race as a tossup. Scott still manages to hold on New Hampshire, but Snowstalker sweeps Michigan. The NV caucus is won, in another fluke, by DeadFlagBlues, who manages to spin his momentum to win SC. Scott still wins Florida.
On Super Tuesday, Snowstalker is perceived as a narrow winner over Scott, thanks to close victories in the Southwest. DeadFlag, failing in several key contests like California and unable to make inroads outside the west, is broadly seen as the main loser. He however refuses to drop out.
February primaries don't go any better for DFB, who sees his support fade away and doesn't win any single State apart from Washington caucuses. As a result, he eventually drops out and endorses Scott, who, as a result, now holds a solid lead in the delegate count.
At this point Scott is broadly seen as the presumptive nominee. However, his excess of confidence and Snowstalker's renewed campaigning efforts results in disappointing results for Scott, who doesn't win TX, RI and MI as handily as expected whereas Snowstalker sweeps Ohio and Vermont in a landslide and pulls a surprise win in the Wyoming caucus. After that, momentum is back on Snowstalker's side.
Snowstalker keeps achieving huge wins. He sweeps Rust Belt states by commanding margins, but also manages to pull victories in the West. In the end, he wins all the final contests except SD.
Snowstalker enters in the convention with a solid delegate lead over Scott, but no absolute majority. The stake of power is held by DFB's delegates, which are now free of their vote. However, they mostly choose to support Snowstalker's side in order to follow the people's will.
Snowstalker wins.
Logged
Truer today than it was yesterday.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
Ѕenator Αverroës
Averroës Nix
YaBB God
Posts: 6399
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #81 on:
December 25, 2011, 05:22:14 pm »
Scott (red) - 218 (39%)
TheDeadFlagBlues (orange) - 211 (35%)
Antonio V (green) - 109 (26%)
Scott does well in major cities. Antonio V campaigns as a populist and improbably wins much of both the rural and industrial Midwest. TheDeadFlagBlues, the most conservative candidate by default, does well in the Mountain West and a very disgruntled South.
«
Last Edit: December 26, 2011, 04:09:58 pm by Averroës Nix
»
Logged
pillage the village, trash the scene
Pingvin99
YaBB God
Posts: 2295
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #82 on:
December 27, 2011, 10:32:05 am »
Well, I tried...
Green - FallenMorgan
Red - Antonio V
Blue - Nix
Logged
Right now it seems
You're only dreams and shadows
If wishes could be
eagles how you'd fly?
This is your life
This is your time
What if the flame
won't last forever?
This is your here
This is your now
Let it be magical! - Dio, "This Is Your Life"
Username MechaRFK
RFK
YaBB God
Posts: 1281
Political Matrix
E: -5.16, S: -7.30
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #83 on:
December 27, 2011, 12:46:31 pm »
Green is Nix
Blue-Pingvin
Red-Antino
Logged
CathKhan
Cathcon
YaBB God
Posts: 11045
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #84 on:
December 27, 2011, 01:12:37 pm »
Accidentally gave Nix Alaska. Assume it goes to Pingvin.
Pingvinn (Constitution-Russia)
RFK (Democrat-New York)
Averroes Nix (Independent-New York)
Despite Ping's staunch Conservatism, he wins a plurality due to liberal vote splitting. Averroes Nix & RFK form a tag team of sorts with RFK campaigning heavily in solidly progressive states while Nix campaigns in more moderate states, however, it is not enough.
Logged
Quote from: Comrade Shmoo on May 09, 2013, 05:55:25 pm
You are God.
Quote from: OAM on May 15, 2013, 09:18:21 pm
God (R-MI).
2000 Primaries:
Cain, Bradley, Trump, Nader. So many choices.
Free Palestine
FallenMorgan
YaBB God
Posts: 8112
Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -10.00
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #85 on:
December 27, 2011, 07:35:49 pm »
RFK, red. Cathcon, blue. Ping, orange.
I'm assuming Ping is more of a paleocon.
Logged
Free Bradley Manning
pillage the village, trash the scene
Pingvin99
YaBB God
Posts: 2295
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #86 on:
December 28, 2011, 06:50:31 am »
Quote from: Sic Semper Tyrannis on December 27, 2011, 07:35:49 pm
RFK, red. Cathcon, blue. Ping, orange.
I'm assuming Ping is more of a paleocon.
I'm a Buchanan/Paul on domestic policy, but I'm a staunch supporter of Israel.
Logged
Right now it seems
You're only dreams and shadows
If wishes could be
eagles how you'd fly?
This is your life
This is your time
What if the flame
won't last forever?
This is your here
This is your now
Let it be magical! - Dio, "This Is Your Life"
Governor Scott
Scott
YaBB God
Posts: 11110
Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.22
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #87 on:
December 28, 2011, 07:02:33 am »
Morgan - 301
Cathcon - 179
Pingvin - 58
Logged
Summary Of My Political Beliefs
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24676
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #88 on:
December 28, 2011, 08:22:13 am »
Cathcon : 45%, 352 EVs
Scott : 30%, 95 EVs
Morgan : 25% 91 EVs
Logged
Truer today than it was yesterday.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
MOPolitico
YaBB God
Posts: 714
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #89 on:
December 29, 2011, 03:42:49 pm »
I like the template of a Democratic primary used earlier by Antonio for three like-minded posters, so I'll adopt the same one here. This time, Antonio is serving the role of New Deal progressive, Scott of the New Democrat, and Morgan of the left-libertarian.
In Iowa, all three candidates are competitive, but Antonio narrowly comes out on top. The real surprise is Morgan's second-place finish, which gives him enough momentum to upset favorite Scott in the granite state. Scott's campaign appears to be in trouble, but he manages to stay in the race with two decisive victories in South Carolina and Florida. At the end of January, the map looks like this:
On Super Tuesday, Scott's victories are confined to the south, while Antonio wins two states in the midwest, one in the northeast, and one in the west, garnering most of his support from the working class. In a disappointing day for the Morgan campaign, Morgan, who had been hoping for victories in Minnesota, Vermont, and Colorado, won just one of those contests. Despite speculation from the media, Morgan announced that he will stay in the race.
By the end of March, Scott seems to have the election wrapped up. It seems peculiar that a campaign which lost both of the major early states would be so far ahead, but the strategy adopted by Scott after his defeats explains his comeback: While Antonio and Morgan were busy trying to out-liberal each other, Antonio on economic policy and Morgan on social and foreign policy, more middle-of-the-road voters felt dissatisfied with the two major candidates. Recognizing this divide, Scott emphasized his more centrist and third way positions to gain the support of this left-out constituency. The strategy seems to have worked. Morgan officially withdraws from the race and throws his support behind Antonio. It's now up to him to stop this juggernaut which seems destined to capture the nomination.
Antonio puts up a commendable fight, but it's too late. The momentum is on Scott's side, and it's impossible to stop. Following Scott's victory in the New York primary, Antonio sees that continued resistance is futile, and he, too, withdraws. Here's the map following the New York primary:
And the map on the day of the convention:
Logged
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YzdjOkLQw1s
Simfan34
YaBB God
Posts: 7443
Political Matrix
E: 1.26, S: 2.61
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #90 on:
December 29, 2011, 05:10:04 pm »
With candidates like these, this must be the election of 2032 or something.
MOPolitico (Republican Party)- 42%, 330EV
Scott (Democratic Party)- 35%, 195 EV
Antonio V (Social Democratic and Progressive Party)- 23%, 13EV
Logged
Quote from: Lief on February 14, 2013, 08:49:41 pm
I haven't read the article, but I firmly support Simfan's efforts to blame Lena Dunham for our society's rot.
Quote from: Bacon King on February 14, 2013, 08:49:41 pm
Simfan, your standards are impossible to meet. You can't have a girl who is also a large fireplace.
Quote from: Inks.LWC. on February 14, 2013, 08:49:41 pm
[Simfan] is a quality poster
realisticidealist
YaBB God
Posts: 6195
Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: 3.48
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #91 on:
December 30, 2011, 04:41:08 am »
Two scenarios:
1) Antonio as Dem, MOPolitico as Libertarian-leaning Ind
Antonio narrowly wins thanks to Simfan bleeding support to MOPolitico.
2) MOPolitico as Dem, Antonio as Ind
Logged
"The greatest thing you'll ever learn is just to love and be loved in return."
Jbrase
YaBB God
Posts: 4967
Political Matrix
E: 6.32, S: -6.09
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #92 on:
January 03, 2012, 02:17:48 am »
I think its obvious which person is which color
Logged
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
Posts: 24676
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #93 on:
January 03, 2012, 05:57:32 pm »
A close race, but Dem candidate Realisticidealist wins by a comfortable margin in the electoral college thanks to vote split between Republican Simfan and libertarian-leaning indy Jbrase.
Realisticidealist : 37%, 330 EVs
Simfan : 33%, 132 EVs
Jbrase : 30%, 76 EVs
Logged
Truer today than it was yesterday.
"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."
Jon Stewart
RosettaStoned
YaBB God
Posts: 2392
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #94 on:
January 03, 2012, 08:59:06 pm »
jbrase
antonio V
realisticidealist
Logged
Nagas
YaBB God
Posts: 1497
Political Matrix
E: -2.45, S: -6.61
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #95 on:
January 05, 2012, 05:07:18 pm »
With near identical social positions, the vote of the economic right is divided between RosettaStoned and realisticidealist. Antonvio V wins in a plurality.
Antonio V 324 EV
RosettaStoned 54 EV
realisticidealist 160 EV
Logged
My Timeline: Paradigm Shift
American Gold
Odysseus
Scifiguy
YaBB God
Posts: 878
Political Matrix
E: 0.77, S: -7.83
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #96 on:
January 06, 2012, 06:14:42 am »
RosettaStoned - 387 EV
Nagas - 87 EV
Antonio V - 64 EV
Logged
Odysseus for Mideast Assembly!
Progressive Ideals, Pragmatic Solutions
Governor Scott
Scott
YaBB God
Posts: 11110
Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.22
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #97 on:
January 15, 2012, 01:57:55 am »
Nagas - 270 EVs
RosettaStoned - 207 EVs
Ody - 61 EVs
Logged
Summary Of My Political Beliefs
Ѕenator Αverroës
Averroës Nix
YaBB God
Posts: 6399
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #98 on:
January 15, 2012, 10:38:40 am »
Scott (New Democrat) - 374 (54%)
Nagas (Liberal) - 164 (42%)
Ody (Green) - 0 (4%)
Logged
pillage the village, trash the scene
Pingvin99
YaBB God
Posts: 2295
Re: Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters
«
Reply #99 on:
February 02, 2012, 10:42:53 am »
Ody - Blue - 160 EV - 29.7% PV
Scott - Red - 97 EV - 18.1% PV
Nix - Green - 281 EV - 52.2% PV
Logged
Right now it seems
You're only dreams and shadows
If wishes could be
eagles how you'd fly?
This is your life
This is your time
What if the flame
won't last forever?
This is your here
This is your now
Let it be magical! - Dio, "This Is Your Life"
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