Make an electoral map between the preceding three posters

[Antonio the Sixth]

Hawkeye (D) : 45%, 358 EVs
Tb75 (R) : 35%, 153 EVs
Cathcon (I) : 20%, 27 EVs


Hawkeye does reasonably well in traditional democratic States, especially in the most liberal one. TB75 establishes itself as the stronges conservative candidate thanks to a strong electoral base in the South. Cathcon has a notable success in the Rust Belt and in the West, where is paleoconservative stance is apreciated, but quite poorly overall. Vote split ensures Hawkeye an easy win.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Where's Cathcon to split the conservative vote and allow me to win ?

Skip

[Antonio the Sixth]

Hawkeye (D) : 45%, 358 EVs
Tb75 (R) : 35%, 153 EVs
Cathcon (I) : 20%, 27 EVs


Hawkeye does reasonably well in traditional democratic States, especially in the most liberal one. TB75 establishes itself as the stronges conservative candidate thanks to a strong electoral base in the South. Cathcon has a notable success in the Rust Belt and in the West, where is paleoconservative stance is apreciated, but quite poorly overall. Vote split ensures Hawkeye an easy win.

If you think I'm a paleo-conservative, you're wrong, though I appreciate you giving me the moutain west and Indiana.

SKIP

Oh, well, sorry if I judged you wrong. I've not seen you a lot discussing about issues but that's the impression you gave me.

Skip.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Polnut : 45%, 286 EVs
Liberté : 40%, 243 EVs
Hashemite : 15%, 9 EVs

Liberté becomes the conservative candidate by default, but is unable to garner an important support due to his unusual positions. He does his best results in the libertarian west. Polnut does well in traditionally democratic places, while Hashemite is considered too liberal and "un-American", but does well in New England and carries DC in an upset. The conservative demobilization in the South helps Polnut to do well there.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Bump. The left's split and Bullmoose's moderation give him an easy win :

Bullmoose : 48%, 365 EVs
Polnut : 38%, 139 EVs
Snowstalker : 14%, 34 EVs

[Antonio the Sixth]

You have to edit the codes manually. If you noticed, the map code consists in a State's initials followed by 3 numbers. The first one determines the color : 1 is red, 2 blue, 3 green, 4 yellow and 5 orange.

SKIP

[Antonio the Sixth]

Yelnoc is the GOP nominee by default, and gets a solid victory because of his moderation and a split in left-wing vote. Rochambeau has some strength in the west, but wins no state. Snowstalker is strong in industrial States.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Very interesting scenario, with a populist dem, a libertarian rep and a centrist independent.

Yelnoc : 38%, 246 EVs
Shua : 34%, 148 EVs
Atheist : 28%, 144 EVs

The election goes to the House, which probably picks Yelnoc.

[Antonio the Sixth]

This looks more like a democratic primary, so that's the format I've chosen. I use the 2008 schedule because I don't know what the new one looks like.

Basically, Snowstalker is some kind of pro-labor left-wing democrat, Scott some kind of East Coast lib'rul and DeadFlagBlues a western maverick.

At the beginning Scott is considered as the heavy favorite, but Snowstalker pulls out a surprise win in Iowa which places the race as a tossup. Scott still manages to hold on New Hampshire, but Snowstalker sweeps Michigan. The NV caucus is won, in another fluke, by DeadFlagBlues, who manages to spin his momentum to win SC. Scott still wins Florida.

On Super Tuesday, Snowstalker is perceived as a narrow winner over Scott, thanks to close victories in the Southwest. DeadFlag, failing in several key contests like California and unable to make inroads outside the west, is broadly seen as the main loser. He however refuses to drop out.

February primaries don't go any better for DFB, who sees his support fade away and doesn't win any single State apart from Washington caucuses. As a result, he eventually drops out and endorses Scott, who, as a result, now holds a solid lead in the delegate count.

At this point Scott is broadly seen as the presumptive nominee. However, his excess of confidence and Snowstalker's renewed campaigning efforts results in disappointing results for Scott, who doesn't win TX, RI and MI as handily as expected whereas Snowstalker sweeps Ohio and Vermont in a landslide and pulls a surprise win in the Wyoming caucus. After that, momentum is back on Snowstalker's side.

Snowstalker keeps achieving huge wins. He sweeps Rust Belt states by commanding margins, but also manages to pull victories in the West. In the end, he wins all the final contests except SD.

Snowstalker enters in the convention with a solid delegate lead over Scott, but no absolute majority. The stake of power is held by DFB's delegates, which are now free of their vote. However, they mostly choose to support Snowstalker's side in order to follow the people's will.

Snowstalker wins.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Cathcon : 45%, 352 EVs
Scott : 30%, 95 EVs
Morgan : 25% 91 EVs

[Antonio the Sixth]

A close race, but Dem candidate Realisticidealist wins by a comfortable margin in the electoral college thanks to vote split between Republican Simfan and libertarian-leaning indy Jbrase.

Realisticidealist : 37%, 330 EVs
Simfan : 33%, 132 EVs
Jbrase : 30%, 76 EVs

[Antonio the Sixth]

Tmthforu (Republican) : 38%, 210
Miles (Democrat) : 33%, 170
Seatown (Progressive) : 29%, 158

Seatown, after being narrowly defeated by Miles in the Dem primaries, runs in a progressive ticket. The split in left-wing votes (despite Miles attracting many southerners and social conservatives) allows Tmthforu to win.

[Antonio the Sixth]

The nomination of Fezzy as GOP candidate pisses off the South, resulting in a draft campaign in favor of Miles, who despite being a democrat is well perceived by social conservatives. This split in the republican base allows democrat candidate Seatown to win.

Seatown : 37%, 276 EVs
Fezzy : 32%, 116 EVs
Miles : 31%, 146 EVs

[Antonio the Sixth]

British Dixie, the official GOP candidates, totally collapses after several racist gaffes. Many disgruntled republican voters turn to Libertarian candidate SJoyce, but Dem candidate JulioMadrid wins benefitting from vote split.

Julio : 39%, 324 EVs
SJoyce : 35%, 158 EVs
Dixie : 26%, 56 EVs

[Antonio the Sixth]

Using the democratic primary model, with Morgieb being the moderate establishment democrat, Julio a left-liberal and Miles a blue dog southern democrat.

Morgieb narrowly beats Julio in Iowa, but Julio upsets everybody by pulling a win in NH. Miles asserts his strength in the Southern States. Overall, the early States are favorable to Morgieb.

Miles is the main loser on Super Tuesday, being unable to make inroads outside of the Deep South in States like DE, MO or KS. Morgieb asserts his strength in the West, but Julio also secures solid wins in his coastal base, and pulls other upsets in Arizona, Colorado (where his hispanic roots play well) an, for an unknown reason, Alaska.

Miles finds himself further marginalized in February, eventually dropping out of the race after a shocking defeat in Virginia (despite solid results in his home State of Louisiana). He refuses to endorse anyone, but his voters are seen as more favorable to Morgieb. Both remaining candidates have their good and bad moments, but Julio is successful in asserting his strength in liberal strongholds providing a lot of delegates.

While Julio gradually gains strength, managing to win Pennsylvania, making Texas close and ensuring a plurality in the delegates count, the electoral math soon makes it clear that his chances at winning are very slight. Morgieb, which relies on an overwhelming majority of former Miles, now unpledged delegates, is broadly considered as the presumptive nominee in the beginning of the summer.

Indeed, the final contests are all good news for Morgieb. Even if his victories are slightly under what polls predicted, his call to the voter to give him a strong legitimacy proves effective and he manages to narrowly take the lead in delegate count. With the support of former Miles delegates, his victory at the convention is assured.

[Antonio the Sixth]

A 2000-like scenario, with the unusually strong green candidate Morgieb costing moderate democrat Scott the election. Virginia is the bellwether.

AKSaber : 46%, 281 EVs
Scott : 46%, 257 EVs
Morgieb : 8%, 0 EVs

Please make a Dem primary scenario for me, Scott and Morgieb.

[Antonio the Sixth]

A major split in the GOP allows TNF to win comfortably.

TNF (D): 42.7%, 351 EVs
Jerry (R): 32.5%, 154 EVs
Goldwater (I): 24.8%, 33 EVs

[Antonio the Sixth]

Governor Goldwater (R): 41%, 284 EV
Senator Scott (D): 32%, 170 EV
Congressman TNF (S): 27%, 84

[Antonio the Sixth]

Despite being perceived as an extremist, TNF wins solidly in the Electoral College thanks to his good performance among working-class whites and a vote split between the two right-wing candidates.

Senator TNF (D-KY): 42%, 383 EV
Governor Cathcon (R-MI): 31%, 117 EV
Senator Goldwater (I-WA): 27%, 38 EV