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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« on: June 15, 2011, 12:37:51 AM »

Tuesday, June 14, 2011

Voting time...

We'll do two state polls this weekend. Your choices are:

-Florida. Time to take a fresh look at the Republican primary there in the post-Huckabee landscape. Obviously a critical general election state as well. As I've said repeatedly I think this is the most overrated Senate race in the country with Bill Nelson not nearly as vulnerable as the conventional wisdom but of course we'll still take a look at it.

-Montana. It's kind of amazing that we're coming up on seven months since the last time we polled the state given its highly competitive Senate race, open seats for House and Governor, and relative swing status in the last Presidential election.

-New Mexico. We have not taken a look at the state since Jeff Bingaman announced his retirement- should be interesting to see how things are looking in both Senate primaries and in the general election. We'll look at President obviously too but this is one place where I think it will be a while before the GOP is competitive again.

-Pennsylvania. We found really brutal numbers for Obama there in early April, pre-bin Laden, including a small deficit in a head to head with Mitt Romney. Interesting to see if things still look as gloomy for him there.

-Texas. We haven't polled there since the start of the year- curious to see if folks are any warmer toward a Rick Perry Presidential bid than they were in January and also to check in on the Senate race and see if that's looking any more winnable for Democrats than it did 5 months ago.

Voting's open for the next 24 hours, don't cheat

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2011/06/voting-time.html
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #1 on: June 15, 2011, 12:38:45 AM »

Quinnipiac will release 2012 results for Pennsylvania today, so voting for Pennsylvania is useless I think.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml

I want Montana and Florida.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #2 on: June 15, 2011, 12:45:23 AM »

There will also be a new Connecticut poll out by Quinnipiac later today.
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #3 on: June 15, 2011, 08:19:27 AM »

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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: June 15, 2011, 08:49:03 AM »

I've been voting for New Mexico for months, but it always ends up last.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #5 on: June 15, 2011, 12:55:37 PM »

Not a lot of voters so far, only 600.

It looks like Florida and Montana are winning.

Voting ends in about 2 hours.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #6 on: June 15, 2011, 01:10:15 PM »

I've been voting for New Mexico for months, but it always ends up last.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #7 on: June 15, 2011, 01:14:22 PM »

Who do you think will lead in Montana now ?

Still Palin or Romney ?

Romney will probably be ahead in Florida now, and not by a small margin.
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King
intermoderate
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« Reply #8 on: June 15, 2011, 01:19:15 PM »

Montana winning? Really?  Who gives a  about Montana?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #9 on: June 15, 2011, 02:09:28 PM »

Montana winning? Really?  Who gives a  about Montana?

Montana is pretty cool.

Potentially a close Presidential race, a Senate race, a Governor race and a House Race.
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HST1948
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« Reply #10 on: June 15, 2011, 03:04:24 PM »

I've been voting for New Mexico for months, but it always ends up last.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #11 on: June 15, 2011, 04:01:18 PM »

I voted for Montana.
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Yelnoc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #12 on: June 15, 2011, 05:29:19 PM »

Florida, then Pennsylvania.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
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Palestinian Territory, Occupied


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E: -7.10, S: -4.35

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« Reply #13 on: June 15, 2011, 09:53:18 PM »

Voted for Pennsylvania on account of home state representin'.

Oh well, guess it isn't needed. Montana is a state I've been wanting to see anyway.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #14 on: June 16, 2011, 01:05:57 AM »

I voted for Pennsylvania before I saw the Quinnipiac poll for it. I would rescind that vote if I could and go with Montana, which should have interesting races, and which hasn't been polled since December.   

I don't trust any poll about Texas. 
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