Predictions for the Midterms (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 01, 2024, 02:00:43 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Atlas Fantasy Elections
  Atlas Fantasy Elections (Moderators: Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee, Lumine)
  Predictions for the Midterms (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Predictions for the Midterms  (Read 1932 times)
Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,386
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

« on: December 13, 2004, 02:52:52 PM »

So, who was the most accurate pollster this year? Who was our Mason-Dixon?

On the other hand, who was the Zogby of the midterm elections? :-)

Well, here's a table of all of the polls that were done, courtesy of MANN:

Logged
Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,386
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

« Reply #1 on: December 13, 2004, 08:06:47 PM »

Writing off District 3 as an outlier, the results instead look like this:

Akno: Off by 73 (14.6 per race)
Gabu: Off by 45 (11.25 per race)
King: Off by 88 (17.6 per race)

Hey, sweet, I was Atlasia's Mason-Dixon. Wink
Logged
Gabu
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,386
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -4.32, S: -6.52

« Reply #2 on: December 15, 2004, 05:06:01 PM »

Gabu even you were off by 11.25 points a race. Thats not very good even with a small voting populace.

Well... I still was the best! Cheesy

But you're right; the biggest thing this shows is that one should not really rely on polls here to accurately gauge who will win.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.03 seconds with 12 queries.