CA-Field Poll: Romney remains far ahead in the Golden State
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  CA-Field Poll: Romney remains far ahead in the Golden State
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Author Topic: CA-Field Poll: Romney remains far ahead in the Golden State  (Read 683 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: June 20, 2011, 01:28:47 PM »

Without Giuliani:

30% Romney
12% Palin
  8% Gingrich
  8% Paul
  7% Cain
  6% Perry
  5% Bachmann
  3% Pawlenty
  2% Santorum
  1% Huntsman
  0% Johnson
18% Others/Undecided

With Giuliani:

25% Romney
17% Giuliani
10% Palin 
  7% Paul
  6% Cain
  6% Gingrich
  5% Perry
  4% Bachmann
  3% Pawlenty
  2% Santorum
  1% Huntsman
  0% Johnson
14% Others/Undecided

The findings in this report are based on a Field Poll survey completed June 3-13, 2011 among a random sample of 950 registered voters in California, which included interviews with 322 registered Republicans.

Sampling error estimates applicable to the results of any probability-based survey depend on sample size as well as the percentage distribution being examined. The maximum sampling error estimates for results based on the overall registered voters sample is +/- 3.3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, while findings based on the Republican voters have a sampling error of +/- 5.7 percentage points.

The maximum sampling error is based on results in the middle of the sampling distribution (i.e., percentages at or near 50%). Percentages at either end of the distribution (those closer to 10% or 90%) have a smaller margin of error.

http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2378.pdf

Map:



Red -> Romney
Green -> Pawlenty
Yellow -> Cain
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California8429
A-Bob
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« Reply #1 on: June 20, 2011, 01:30:55 PM »

Interesting that Giuliani's support really spreads out
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #2 on: June 20, 2011, 01:34:49 PM »

Unfortunately for Giuliani, all of the state's he's polling well in don't have early primaries. By the time the primaries get around to states like California where he has a shot, all the momentum will be behind the candidates who won lead-off states, likely Romney, Bachmann, Cain, or Pawlenty.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #3 on: June 20, 2011, 06:14:28 PM »

If Rudy runs, he will undoubtedly be bitten by the same bug that bit him in 2008: the fact all his strong states have late primaries.
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Ben Romney
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« Reply #4 on: June 20, 2011, 06:20:38 PM »

@ Tender Branson

why do you ahve NV and UT suddenly red too?
where do you found polls for that???
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King
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« Reply #5 on: June 20, 2011, 07:33:05 PM »

@ Tender Branson

why do you ahve NV and UT suddenly red too?
where do you found polls for that???
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=135018.0

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=134241.0
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