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|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Election What-ifs?
| | |-+  Alternative Elections (Moderator: Bacon King)
| | | |-+  2016: Sen. Jim Matheson (D) vs. Sen. Scott Brown (R)
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Author Topic: 2016: Sen. Jim Matheson (D) vs. Sen. Scott Brown (R)  (Read 508 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: July 18, 2011, 03:26:26 pm »
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Assume that Obama gets re-elected and there is an anti-Mormon scandal involving the GOP nominee that sweeps Matheson into the UT senate seat in 2012.  Matheson wins by a wide margin and Obama actually gets 45% in Utah.  Brown wins a full term by a comfortable margin in MA.

Brown shifts to a barely pro-life position and Matheson shifts to become barely pro-choice.

Could this finally break up the Red State/Blue State divide? 
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Libreedom
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2011, 06:12:46 pm »
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Not sure about this.. but it may be something like this:

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My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
King
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« Reply #2 on: July 18, 2011, 06:46:57 pm »
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Brown would win easily.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3 on: July 18, 2011, 07:25:14 pm »
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Here's my guess:



This is what the state of play would look like in October, assuming a fairly neutral year:

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