2011 Canadian election maps

[Krago]

What a great day!  I have finally become a man in the eyes of the Atlas Forum administrators.  You could call it my 'map mitzvah'.

As promised, here are the links to my non-pdf poll maps:

Ahuntsic & Papineau
https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0B9sBXp66G86xNDQ1M2I2MWQtMzIyZS00MzlmLTkxOTMtNzMzNjY2ZGJiNmM5&hl=en_US

Bas-Richelieu--Nicolet--Bécancour
https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0B9sBXp66G86xMDZiMjk5MGEtODIwNi00YTE5LTkyMmYtZmU5ODg2Y2E4MWEy&hl=en_US

Bourassa & Saint-Léonard--Saint-Michel
https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0B9sBXp66G86xYjM2NjRjZjAtNDZiZC00MWRjLTljZDQtNzA5YTdlMzRiMmQ2&hl=en_US

Haute-Gaspésie--La Mitis--Matane--Matapédia & Gaspésie--Îles-de-la-Madeleine
https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0B9sBXp66G86xNDY1NTgyMjMtODYzMi00ODdmLWFhMDktNDBkNjE5NTNiMGU5&hl=en_US

Honoré-Mercier & La Pointe-de-l'Île
https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0B9sBXp66G86xMTExMDI5ODUtNWQzZC00MjI5LThiNzUtN2UxZGM1NDk4M2Y3&hl=en_US

Kingston and the Islands
https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0B9sBXp66G86xNDAzMmZmOWItOTAzYS00NzFjLTk5OTEtY2I3OWUyZGIyMzM1&hl=en_US

Peterborough
https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0B9sBXp66G86xOGI1ODg1MGEtNDQ5NS00ODEzLTg2NzQtMTY1ZmQ5N2M1MTdi&hl=en_US

Richmond--Arthabaska
https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0B9sBXp66G86xN2E5MTM1YzItMmU5Yi00NGU1LWIwZDEtZmJhZmFmZGI4YzRj&hl=en_US

Windsor West, Windsor--Tecumseh & Essex
https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0B9sBXp66G86xYTk2YmYyZTItMDI0NS00YmQ3LTljYTktMjdiY2IxNzNmZDk4&hl=en_US

Good night and mazel tov!

[Smid]

That is some excellent work! Well done!

[Hatman 🍁]

Welcome back, Krago. Some great stuff there. I can definitely gerrymander a third NDP riding into Essex Oh, and the Gaspesie riding is missing the Magdalen Islands.

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

Thank god, I was afraid we had lost you. The toxic BS usually stays away from this part of the forum, so as long as you stick to here you'll be fine!

[lilTommy]

Welcome back!
I love whats happeneing in Peterborough... and in general is some smaller cities (Lethbridge, Brantford, wonder what Chatham looks like another NDP mayor there) the Liberals were almost shut out, i went to school there and (one of the Trent polls went NDP) and so did most of the "city" as well as a few polls out in Smith-Ennismore-Lakefield (wrong order maybe) but the Reeve is a Dipper there (Mary Smith), with redistribution the riding will likely lose some rural areas but not much since its just over the 100000 mark.

[the506]

Quebec is now done.

http://www.the506.com/elxnmaps/can2011/

FYI:
* I have to process each province individually since the GIS file for the whole country is just too big for my script to handle. Once that's done, I have to create the HTML page for each riding manually, and that takes a while. So Ontario probably won't be up til early next week.
* There were a couple ridings (Manicouagan, Megantic-L'Erable and Abitibi-Temiscamingue come to mind) where the Google maps files were too big to be displayed, so I had to simplify them a bit. Unfortunately, some accuracy was lost.
* I'm going to get around to adding the point polls once I finish this first.

With all that in mind....enjoy!

[Hatman 🍁]

Good stuff! Keep em coming.

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

http://maps.google.ca/maps/ms?authuser=0&vps=2&hl=en&ie=UTF8&oe=UTF8&msa=0&msid=214668381355121949879.0004a91deb0f14e6216c2

"Strongholds" of non-NDP support in Quebec.

[mileslunn]

I am currently working on getting the data ready and will start making the maps after.  I have currently done all the ridings up to letter G and hope to have them done over the next few weeks.  Then I will start publishing some of the maps for municipalities and counties.  I will also for the fun of it do a red state vs. blue state style one with red for counties and municipalities where the Cons + CHP + independent Conservative candidates (James Ford, Helena Guergis, and Andre Arthur) exceeded 50% and blue for everything else.

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

Don't forget the Libertarians.

or the PCP and UP for that matter

[mileslunn]

Don't forget the Libertarians.

or the PCP and UP for that matter

Although Libertarians are on the right, the US also has them, so I will just factor them out although I don't think they got enough votes to really impact any area.  As for PC Party and United Party, they are more centrist than right wing.  The PC Party is really the Red Tory wing from the old Progressive Conservatives who would be on the same spot if not slightly to the left of the federal Liberals and in the US definitely more in line with the Democrats than Republicans.  Although, it is quite possible than many who voted PC Party did so by mistake and actually intended to vote Conservatives.  I guess I can add those three although I doubt it will change much considering how few votes they got.

[Linus Van Pelt]

It's not unprecedented in Europe (or Hazleton PA) for working-class urban whites who live in neighbourhoods with a lot of immigrant "outsiders" to be more attached to nationalist politics than those in more homogeneous areas. The map of Montreal seems to be consistent with this.

[MaxQue]

It's not unprecedented in Europe (or Hazleton PA) for working-class urban whites who live in neighbourhoods with a lot of immigrant "outsiders" to be more attached to nationalist politics than those in more homogeneous areas. The map of Montreal seems to be consistent with this.

Well, do you consider than Anglophones are "immigrant outsiders" in your theory?

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

We have more than a dozen parties, if you are doing left VS right, and there are only 3 right-wing parties and 2 in the middle; I'd add the 2 in the middle to the right wing to try to balance it out




EDIT
another idea is to divide into 3 groups.

Left:
AAEVP
BQ
CAP
COM
FPNP
MJP
MLP
NDP
PRT
RNO

Centre:
GRN
LIB
PCP
UP

Right:
CHP
CPC
LBTR
WBP

And do a Right VS Centre&Left
then a Right&Centre VS Left

[Filuwaúrdjan]

There's no point in making maps of 'support' for micro parties from fptp elections.

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

If that's what is being considered then I think I misunderstood his post.

[mileslunn]

I am now finished the Os so still have the Ps to Zs.  I can confirm the NDP won the old city of Ottawa pre-amalgmation although much like the 416 and Vancouver proper it was a tight three way race.  The Tories off course took Ottawa as a whole when you include the amalgamated areas.  Hamilton though still went NDP even after amalgmation although a lot closer whereas in the old city they won by 20 points while the Tories won by 25 points in the amalgmated parts of Hamilton.  In some ways it is like many counties in the US where the city proper goes Democrat but the suburban sections go Republican or at least are more evenly split rather than heavily tilted towards the Democrats.  Alleghney County, Wayne County, Cuyahoga County, Cook County, Milwaukee County, Hennepin County, Los Angeles County, San Diego County, and King County all follow this to some degree although Obama did win the suburban sections in many of those, but they were a lot closer and many of those will go Republican win they win nationally.

[Foucaulf]

Remember when I promised maps of the Lower Mainland based on party swing? You probably shouldn't, but I made them anyway.

Here is part 1, including all of Metro Vancouver north of the Fraser except for Pitt Meadows and Maple Ridge. I'm only showing the Tories' swing map here, but the rest are available on my profile.

[Smid]

Oh my goodness! That is awesome work!

[MaxQue]

Following a request I received: Glengarry-Prescott-Russell.

Link to the 2008 map: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/GALLERY/2545_08_08_09_8_00_09.png

2011 map:


(as usual, the normal size version is avaliable in the gallery or by right click, copy the addressof the picture and paste it in the address field.)

So, patterns are very strange. Conservatives gained many Liberal precincts, but Liberals also gained a couple of Conservative precincts. There is more 30% results than in 2008 because NDP was stronger in 2011. Swing was very not uniform.

Many precincts had almost no change about the Conservative vote share,but there was a Liberal to NDP movement. The liberal candidate came from the Casselman area.

New precincts were roughly draw, to save time.

[the506]

Ontario maps are now ready...

http://www.the506.com/elxnmaps/can2011/index.html

Enjoy!

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

Ontario maps are now ready...

http://www.the506.com/elxnmaps/can2011/index.html

Enjoy!

SSM is screwy

[MaxQue]

Ontario maps are now ready...

http://www.the506.com/elxnmaps/can2011/index.html

Enjoy!

SSM is screwy

Indeed, I don't think than Conservatives won the city, Liberals the rural areas and NDP nothing.

[the506]

Ooops...got Liberals and NDP reversed. I'll fix it.

[Smid]

Ontario maps are now ready...

http://www.the506.com/elxnmaps/can2011/index.html

Enjoy!

You are doing great work there! It's really interesting to see some of these ridings and how they broke down. I was just looking at Central Nova... it's interesting that the polls to report early in the night these past couple of elections have both been strongly NDP, whereas the majority of polls are Conservative.