MT-PPP: Tester popular, but...
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  MT-PPP: Tester popular, but...
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Author Topic: MT-PPP: Tester popular, but...  (Read 1300 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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« on: June 21, 2011, 05:54:02 PM »
« edited: June 21, 2011, 06:01:19 PM by MilesC56 »

still slightly trails.

Tester:
Approve- 51% (50)
Disapprove- 39% (40)

Rehberg:
Favorable- 44% (49)
Unfavorable- 45% (37)

2012 Senate Race:
Rehberg- 47%
Tester- 45%


Baucus:
Approve: 40% (38)
Disapprove: 50% (53)

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2011/06/despite-popularity-tester-narrowly.html
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freepcrusher
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« Reply #1 on: June 21, 2011, 05:54:58 PM »

is this proof that senate races are becoming hyperpartisan?
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Miles
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« Reply #2 on: June 21, 2011, 05:57:51 PM »

is this proof that senate races are becoming hyperpartisan?

"Tester's party approves of his job performance, 89-5, but 10% of them say they'd vote for Rehberg at this point, and 86% stay faithful. Rehberg actually improves on his standing with his own party. 13% of them disapprove of his performance, and only 74% approve, but he locks up their vote, 86-8. Tester does have a 51-36 lead with independents, helping to cut into the GOP ID advantage."

It seems like it. Tester needs to keep that extra 10% of Dems voting for Rehberg though.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #3 on: June 21, 2011, 06:08:23 PM »

Why would Rehberg have a higher (albeit slightly) unfavorable rating? He had a twelve point net favorable rating last time. How does that change so drastically? Is "HE VOTED TO END THE MEDICARE!!!" the cause?
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #4 on: June 21, 2011, 06:30:23 PM »

Why would Rehberg have a higher (albeit slightly) unfavorable rating? He had a twelve point net favorable rating last time. How does that change so drastically? Is "HE VOTED TO END THE MEDICARE!!!" the cause?
Rehberg said some really idiotic things recently: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MnBhSwWAzRI

The more scrutiny Rehberg gets, the more his favorables will drop. He's an ideologue and a clown.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #5 on: June 21, 2011, 10:30:47 PM »

Why would Rehberg have a higher (albeit slightly) unfavorable rating? He had a twelve point net favorable rating last time. How does that change so drastically? Is "HE VOTED TO END THE MEDICARE!!!" the cause?

Montana has more olds than the average state.
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King
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« Reply #6 on: June 21, 2011, 10:54:55 PM »

Did they ask the matchup before or after they went off topic with Baucus?  Dissatisfaction with him might have influenced Tester-Rehberg.  Either way, Rehberg is YaJO and should lose this pickup opportunity.
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Miles
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« Reply #7 on: June 22, 2011, 12:13:03 AM »

Did they ask the matchup before or after they went off topic with Baucus?  Dissatisfaction with him might have influenced Tester-Rehberg.  Either way, Rehberg is YaJO and should lose this pickup opportunity.

I think PPP asks about approvals before they ask about election matchups. They also get other miscellaneous things as well (governor/president approval, etc.)

Yes, Rehberg is very gaffe-prone.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #8 on: June 22, 2011, 12:30:37 AM »

I think Rehberg voted against the Ryan budget.

And by the way, this poll shows you why Scott Brown can't be considered safe despite his good approvals.
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Meeker
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« Reply #9 on: June 22, 2011, 12:38:03 AM »

^^^

Rehberg didn't vote for the Republican budget (one of four not to).
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #10 on: June 22, 2011, 08:46:17 AM »

^^^

Rehberg didn't vote for the Republican budget (one of four not to).

Oh, nevermind then. This makes his sudden collapse even more bizarre. I don't think that one gaffe could have received enough coverage to make him tank.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #11 on: June 22, 2011, 09:42:49 AM »

^^^

Rehberg didn't vote for the Republican budget (one of four not to).

Oh, nevermind then. This makes his sudden collapse even more bizarre. I don't think that one gaffe could have received enough coverage to make him tank.
Perhaps it's conservatives unhappy he voted against their budget?

^^^Confirmed. Rehberg only has the approval of 62% that are somewhat conservative and 78% of very conservative. Only 27% of moderates approve of them though, something he'll have to improve on.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #12 on: June 22, 2011, 10:13:22 AM »

The fact is that the reason even blue states have more conservatives than liberals is that most moderates in most states are Democrats; liberals would be the left of the party, while they would be your Generic Democrats and New Dems, as well as most Blue Dogs.
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #13 on: June 22, 2011, 11:54:26 AM »

National vs. local split.  Tester is probably good for MT, but Dem control of Senate, less so.
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