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|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: True Federalist)
| | |-+  was this map ever a realistic possiblity for bush in 2004
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Question: ....
yes   -11 (32.4%)
no   -23 (67.6%)
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Total Voters: 34

Author Topic: was this map ever a realistic possiblity for bush in 2004  (Read 1232 times)
WalterMitty
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« on: July 04, 2011, 02:14:21 pm »
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You can be our next waltermitty, although perhaps a slightly better-informed version, and without the fetish for really old women. 
I can cook scrambled eggs and bacon or fry a hamburger on the George Foreman, or, with assistance, fix spaghetti.
Del Tachi
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« Reply #1 on: July 05, 2011, 01:22:48 pm »
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It certainly looked that way on September 12, 2001...

But throw in all of ME, CT, NY, IL, and CA
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Napoleon
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« Reply #2 on: July 05, 2011, 02:18:59 pm »
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No, the country was far too polarized.
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Please Senators, don't let the Russians, a folk of alcoholic homophobic, take Crimee
phk
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« Reply #3 on: July 05, 2011, 03:48:34 pm »
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If the labor market was better, I could envision a Bush +8 or Bush +9 type scenario in 2004.

See: http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=134088.msg2862318#msg2862318
« Last Edit: July 05, 2011, 03:51:53 pm by phk »Logged

Hotblack Desiato
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« Reply #4 on: July 08, 2011, 12:43:18 pm »
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Either remove 9/11 from the equation or have him handle it better and you'd get that.
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Antonio V
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« Reply #5 on: July 09, 2011, 04:23:27 am »
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Not without changing real-life events.
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Nym90
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« Reply #6 on: July 09, 2011, 08:44:16 am »
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If Bin Laden had been captured right before the election, I can see this result occurring.
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Emperor Scott
Scott
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« Reply #7 on: July 15, 2011, 05:43:16 am »
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Delaware going Republican?  No.
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shua
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« Reply #8 on: July 15, 2011, 08:55:16 am »
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maybe if no Iraq War.
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Scott
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« Reply #9 on: July 15, 2011, 02:51:48 pm »
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maybe if no Iraq War.
Bush was supported for the Iraq War, at this time.
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shua
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« Reply #10 on: July 15, 2011, 04:22:03 pm »
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maybe if no Iraq War.
Bush was supported for the Iraq War, at this time.
by Fall 2004 public opinion was about evenly split, with it being more of a liability than an advantage in North New England, Pacific Northwest, and probably MN and WI.
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" But freedom to differ is not limited to things that do not matter much. That would be a mere shadow of freedom. The test of its substance is the right to differ as to things that touch the heart of the existing order."
- Justice Robert Jackson WV SBE v Barnette
Bo
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« Reply #11 on: July 15, 2011, 05:35:05 pm »
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With a bin Laden capture and an even worse Democratic campaign (possibly with a different nominee), Bush could have achieved this result.
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officepark
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« Reply #12 on: July 15, 2011, 08:50:39 pm »
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Delaware going Republican?  No.

Why not? In 2004 there was no Joe Biden on the ticket and Bush lost the state by only 7 points (53-46), just like New Jersey.

Of course, if you're saying Bush had a lower ceiling in Delaware....
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Clearly the solution is to privatize presidential elections.

So, in less than four years, get excited for the 2016 MetLife Financial U Pick The Prez Extravaganza. If you tweet a picture of your completed ballot with the hashtag #ivoted, you could win a trip for two to the inauguration or an iTunes gift card.
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