Bachmann wins Iowa straw poll

[Tender Branson]

Mr. Morden, can you merge this with the stickied thread ?

[Mr. Morden]

Mr. Morden, can you merge this with the stickied thread ?

I was actually about to *lock* the sticky thread, and start an "Iowa straw poll live commentary thread".  I suppose I could just append that here though, if you really want me to....

[Tender Branson]

I think you can merge it and rename it "Iowa straw poll live commentary thread".

With the stickied thread being the main thread and this thread added to it.

Do you think the poll results will "survive" the merger ?"

[Mr. Morden]

OK, I've merged the threads, and turned this into the live commentary thread.  Feel free to post your thoughts here as you watch the candidates speak tomorrow afternoon.  Here's what I edited into the OP:

This thread covers live commentary and predictions for the Ames straw poll.  The speaking schedule (all times are in Central time):

http://iowagop.org/iowagop/?p=635

Iowa Straw Poll Speaking Schedule:

Noon- Program Begins
12:15- Iowa GOP Chairman Matt Strawn delivers remarks
12:20- Governor Terry Branstad delivers remarks
12:30- Chairman Strawn welcomes all candidates on stage (press shot)
12:40- Senator Rick Santorum delivers remarks
1:00- Lieutenant Governor Kim Reynolds delivers remarks
1:15- Congressman Ron Paul delivers remarks
1:40- Congressman Steve King delivers remarks
1:50- Governor Tim Pawlenty delivers remarks
2:10- Senator Chuck Grassley delivers remarks
2:20- Congresswoman Michele Bachmann delivers remarks
2:40- Congressman Tom Latham delivers remarks
2:50- Congressman Thaddeus McCotter delivers remarks
3:15- Herman Cain delivers remarks
Straw Poll voting closes at 4pm. Chairman Matt Strawn will deliver the Straw Poll results on stage immediately after they’ve been tabulated.

The above will all be covered live by C-SPAN.  The actual results may take a few hours to tabulate.  Or at least they did last time.  Here's the thread from four years ago, when we didn't get any results until nearly 9:30pm Eastern:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=59917.msg1262963#msg1262963

[Landslide Lyndon]

12:15- Iowa GOP Chairman Matt Strawn delivers remarks

Now, that's what I call the right man for the job.

[Mr. Morden]

Politico speculates that high turnout would benefit Bachmann:

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0811/61263.html

You must be logged in to read this quote.

The article also speculates that if Pawlenty doesn't finish in the top two, his fundraising may dry up to the point that he has to run a 1-state campaign exclusively focused on Iowa.......in the model of McCain's 1-state campaign in NH for several months in late 2007.

[Rowan]

I think they are using electronic voting machines now, so we should get the results much faster.

[Tender Branson]

The NYT has a good graphic of where the campaigns have their tents:

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/08/10/us/politics/iowa-straw-poll.html



Ron Paul's place, which is the best spot, was also the place of 1999 and 2007 winners GWB and Romney.

[Tender Branson]

Bachmann's doing pretty well in the so called "corn poll" at the Iowa State Fair:



She's the only one with 2 glasses of corn ...

[exopolitician]

McCotter's jar looks so sad.

[Mr. Morden]

Here's a historical comparison of straw poll success against success in the actual caucuses:

http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2011/08/the-results.php

[Eraserhead]

Bachmann's doing pretty well in the so called "corn poll" at the Iowa State Fair:



She's the only one with 2 glasses of corn ...

It looks like...

1. Bachmann
2. Romney
3. Perry
4. Pawlenty
5. Paul
6. Palin
7. Cain
8. The rest (who cares)

[Eraserhead]

http://www.c-span.org/Events/Iowa-Straw-Poll-Hosts-GOP-Candidates/10737423441-1/

C-SPAN live feed. They are covering the vote.

[The Mikado]

Will Rick Perry and Rick Parry be counted separately, or will Rick Parry votes be treated as a misspelling?

[California8429]

After the debate I'm going to make a different prediction

24% Bachmann
16% Cain
15% Paul
14% Pawlenty
8% Santorum
8% Perry
7% Romney
3% Gingrich
3% Palin
1% Huntsman
1% Others
1% McCotter

[California8429]

T-Paw isn't on stage

[Franzl]

When can we expect results?

[California8429]

When can we expect results?

Cain's speech is at almost 3 CT I believe and he's the last one... Are they doing it electronically? I'm sure they have an efficient counting process.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

The 2 Fred Karger voters better own up now lol.

[California8429]

Ron Paul just announced he is staunch pro-life support "Protect ALL life"

[Eraserhead]

Ron Paul is old.

[California8429]

lol Paul wants the troops home from all over the world so they spend money in America to boost the economy

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

lol Paul wants the troops home from all over the world so they spend money in America to boost the economy

How is that funny. We would spend twice as less as we do on the pointless wars in Iraq, Libya, and Yemen. I disagree with Afghanistan, we shouldnt leave quite this soon..

[Eraserhead]

Was the Pawlenty introduction ridiculous enough?

[Eraserhead]

They just showed some Pawlenty people in the audience who looked absolutely bored out of their skulls during his speech.