IA: Mason-Dixon: Romney ahead; Bachmann trails

[Rowan]

Mason-Dixon

Iowa General Election

Romney: 42%
Obama: 39%

Obama: 47%
Bachmann: 42%

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20110713/NEWS09/110713030/1056/

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

no

[NVGonzalez]

Mason-Dixon

Iowa General Election

Romney: 42%
Obama: 39%

Obama: 47%
Bachmann: 42%

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20110713/NEWS09/110713030/1056/

While I wouldn't be surprised that this is true because Republicans have been campaigning here with no response, I take these numbers with a bottle of salt.

[Heimdal]

Great news.

[Tender Branson]

Actually, its:

47% Romney
44% Obama

47% Obama
46% Bachmann

With leaners included.

http://www.everychildmatters.org/news/487-iowa-poll-released

[Tender Branson]

Obama vs. Romney (NC now a tie, IA goes to Romney):

[Gustaf]

Assuming Indiana flips and discarding the silly Georgia poll (and everything else votes like in 2008) that would bring Obama below 270 EVs. Of course, it seems likely that Republicans will be overvalued in Iowa and New Hampshire right now.

[NHI]

I like these numbers!

[pbrower2a]

Assuming Indiana flips and discarding the silly Georgia poll (and everything else votes like in 2008) that would bring Obama below 270 EVs. Of course, it seems likely that Republicans will be overvalued in Iowa and New Hampshire right now.

Rasmussen just had a 49-51 split on approval, which usually translates to about a 53% share of the vote. It could be that the polls for Iowa, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania are suspect.

Does anyone believe the Sunshine State Poll? Did you see the wording of the analysis for either the President or, of all people, the Governor? What is terrible for the President in Florida is evidence of an impending loss, but the even worse approval for the Governor is "not that bad"?

[krazen1211]

Assuming Indiana flips and discarding the silly Georgia poll (and everything else votes like in 2008) that would bring Obama below 270 EVs. Of course, it seems likely that Republicans will be overvalued in Iowa and New Hampshire right now.

Rasmussen just had a 49-51 split on approval, which usually translates to about a 53% share of the vote. It could be that the polls for Iowa, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania are suspect.

Does anyone believe the Sunshine State Poll? Did you see the wording of the analysis for either the President or, of all people, the Governor? What is terrible for the President in Florida is evidence of an impending loss, but the even worse approval for the Governor is "not that bad"?

The wording of the article has nothing to do with the poll in the attachment. Neither does Rick Scott.

It could be that you're just choosing the facts you want to believe.

[pbrower2a]

Assuming Indiana flips and discarding the silly Georgia poll (and everything else votes like in 2008) that would bring Obama below 270 EVs. Of course, it seems likely that Republicans will be overvalued in Iowa and New Hampshire right now.

Rasmussen just had a 49-51 split on approval, which usually translates to about a 53% share of the vote. It could be that the polls for Iowa, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania are suspect.

Does anyone believe the Sunshine State Poll? Did you see the wording of the analysis for either the President or, of all people, the Governor? What is terrible for the President in Florida is evidence of an impending loss, but the even worse approval for the Governor is "not that bad"?

The wording of the article has nothing to do with the poll in the attachment. Neither does Rick Scott.

It could be that you're just choosing the facts you want to believe.

It's more about the Sunshine State poll -- the one that shows the President with an approval rating in the thirties, which is inconsistent with other evidence, like how the President is doing nationwide.

All polls, however valid when issued, become obsolete. I could just as easily say that the latest (March) poll of Michigan is obsolete.

Do you have no problem with editorial bias in the sole source of polling information? Does that suggest that there might be a problem with the poll? I will discuss the bias in the Sunshine State Poll in its thread. 

[krazen1211]

Assuming Indiana flips and discarding the silly Georgia poll (and everything else votes like in 2008) that would bring Obama below 270 EVs. Of course, it seems likely that Republicans will be overvalued in Iowa and New Hampshire right now.

Rasmussen just had a 49-51 split on approval, which usually translates to about a 53% share of the vote. It could be that the polls for Iowa, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania are suspect.

Does anyone believe the Sunshine State Poll? Did you see the wording of the analysis for either the President or, of all people, the Governor? What is terrible for the President in Florida is evidence of an impending loss, but the even worse approval for the Governor is "not that bad"?

The wording of the article has nothing to do with the poll in the attachment. Neither does Rick Scott.

It could be that you're just choosing the facts you want to believe.

It's more about the Sunshine State poll -- the one that shows the President with an approval rating in the thirties, which is inconsistent with other evidence, like how the President is doing nationwide.

All polls, however valid when issued, become obsolete. I could just as easily say that the latest (March) poll of Michigan is obsolete.

Do you have no problem with editorial bias in the sole source of polling information? Does that suggest that there might be a problem with the poll? I will discuss the bias in the Sunshine State Poll in its thread. 

Then why don't you obsolete all your March polls?

Sunshine state had similar results to your beloved PPP in the Scott/Sink race just last year. They're more consistent than you are. The editorial bias really isn't relevant to the polling attachment in any manner; the poll came first.

[California8429]

Obama vs. Romney (NC now a tie, IA goes to Romney):

This map is so weird Perhaps we'll finally have not just strict regional block voting again! Mesh up the blue and red a little

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Rasmussen just had a 49-51 split on approval, which usually translates to about a 53% share of the vote. It could be that the polls for Iowa, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania are suspect.

No, no, no -- everyone knows that there is a firm and hard "plus 6" rule when dealing with approvals such as these. 55% Obamaslide!

[Eraserhead]

Terrible numbers for Obama if they have any basis in reality.