Spinning off one of Naso's posts in my last thread, I thought I would start one on this topic.
Going into the last few days before the election and into election night it's self, what have you thought the results were going to be going back as far as you my fellow posters have follow American politics?
In 2004 I thought the final map could have very well have looked like this. I know it looks a bit odd but I'll explain.
I know many people on this forum would have issues with this map. But going into election night 2004 even though polling had Kerry leading in NH throughout much of the campaign I was skeptical the state was going to go to him, especially since things seemed to have tightened up towards the last couple of days before the election. While in NJ a state that had been pretty red(Atlas color) that had formally been a swing state, I thought it was very much in play towards the last couple of months and days before the election since polls there tightened up dramatically after the Republican national convention. And I thought on election night it was going to hold some surprises due to a mixture of the 9/11 effect, Democratic scandals, and the fact that the Democrats in recent years appeared to have been taking the state for granted. The same thing in HI where polling in the few weeks before the election showed Bush surging. And I still thought Bush had a lock on WI even though it was going to be close.
Likewise going into election night I though Kerry had a lock on swing states like IA even though like WI I thought it was going to be close. While I also had a feeling that Kerry was going to win Florida, which Bush won comfortably in the final results.
I'll post 2008 tomorrow as I'm feeling tired right now.
