NH-01/02 - PPP: Guinta in better shape than Bass (user search)
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  NH-01/02 - PPP: Guinta in better shape than Bass (search mode)
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Author Topic: NH-01/02 - PPP: Guinta in better shape than Bass  (Read 6512 times)
JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« on: July 14, 2011, 05:47:44 PM »

Interesting results. Is Shea Porter considering a 2012 run?

She's already announced (as has Kuster, for that matter).
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JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


« Reply #1 on: July 15, 2011, 09:42:56 PM »

Bass is dead meat. Nobody with these kind of numbers can win an election in a D+3 district.

Given the way Obama is polling there, and further, given the surge of Republican registrations there since 2010, I have my doubts that this will still be a D+3 district come Nov. 7, 2012.

How much has it surged?

Well, statewide...

http://www.sos.nh.gov/Reg%20Voters%20by%20Town%20Ward%202009-11-16.pdf
http://www.sos.nh.gov/Voters%20on%20the%20Checklist%20Booklet%202011-03-01.pdf

It has surged by a whole 4,000 voters.
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