NH-01/02 - PPP: Guinta in better shape than Bass (user search)
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  NH-01/02 - PPP: Guinta in better shape than Bass (search mode)
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Author Topic: NH-01/02 - PPP: Guinta in better shape than Bass  (Read 6508 times)
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
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« on: July 15, 2011, 09:33:40 AM »

Bass is dead meat. Nobody with these kind of numbers can win an election in a D+3 district.

Given the way Obama is polling there, and further, given the surge of Republican registrations there since 2010, I have my doubts that this will still be a D+3 district come Nov. 7, 2012.

How much has it surged?
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
Moderators
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 54,118
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2011, 12:30:43 PM »

I'm not sure that it is becoming a Republican state again (even though I would like to see that), what is clear however is that 2006 and 2008 overstated the strength of the Democrats there.

I think we are seeing an anti-administration swing in the state, regardless of which party that may be.
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