NH-01/02 - PPP: Guinta in better shape than Bass (user search)

Landslide Lyndon
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Re: NH-01/02 - PPP: Guinta in better shape than Bass

« on: July 14, 2011, 02:42:27 PM »

Bass is dead meat. Nobody with these kind of numbers can win an election in a D+3 district.

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Landslide Lyndon
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Re: NH-01/02 - PPP: Guinta in better shape than Bass

« Reply #1 on: July 15, 2011, 09:39:22 AM »

Quote from: Mr. Moderate on July 15, 2011, 07:41:34 AM

Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on July 14, 2011, 02:42:27 PM

Bass is dead meat. Nobody with these kind of numbers can win an election in a D+3 district.

Given the way Obama is polling there, and further, given the surge of Republican registrations there since 2010, I have my doubts that this will still be a D+3 district come Nov. 7, 2012.

Nobody with 29-48 favorables is going to get reelected in this district, unless his opponent is Ted Bundy.

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Landslide Lyndon
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Posts: 26,865

Re: NH-01/02 - PPP: Guinta in better shape than Bass

« Reply #2 on: July 18, 2011, 02:17:29 PM »

Quote from: Mr. Moderate on July 18, 2011, 01:44:24 PM

Quote from: JohnnyLongtorso on July 15, 2011, 09:42:56 PM

It has surged by a whole 4,000 voters.

I was looking more at the fact that Democrats had a 1,600 voter advantage, which was turned around into a 8,500 voter advantage for the GOP, but whatever. A much more appropriate metric to look is still the 2010 election results.

Where Bass underperformed miserably compared to the rest of the Republican ticket.

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