Kalwejt's Useless Maps Thread

[shua]

These maps as expected match the combined strength of 3rd party candidacies (2000>2008>2004)

[Senator Kalwejt]

Now, this map was a pain.

2004 landslides.



Dark Red: Counties where Kerry break 80%
Red: Counties where Kerry break 70%
Orange: Counties where Kerry break 60%

Blue: Counties where Bush break 80%
Purple: Counties where Bush break 70%
Light blue: Counties where Bush break 60%

[Senator Kalwejt]

Now, the same idea for 2000:

[Senator Kalwejt]

Map denoting counties where 1992 candidates did not surpass 30% and 40% respectively

Now you can see that plurality ruled on county level as well



Red: Clinton county where he did not surpass 40%
Orange: Clinton county where he did not surpass 30%

Blue: Bush county where he did not surpass 40%
Light blue: Bush county where he did not surpass 30%

Gray: Perot county where he did not surpass 40%
Light gray: Perot county where he did not surpass 30%

Dark red: A tie

[nclib]

It appears the only counties to go for a Senate GOP in 2008 and a Senate Dem in 2010 are:

Oregon – Coos, Jackson, Wasco, Gilliam, Tillamook, Yamhill, Polk, Marion, Clackamas
Alabama – Marengo
Georgia - Rockdale (Dem in general 2008, GOP in run-off 2008, Dem in 2010)
Kentucky – Robertson (GOP to tie)

Sadly, most of these have more to do with incumbency (Oregon), black turnout (Alabama and Georgia), and a statistical fluke (Kentucky), than with any leftward shift.

Does anyone else think there is anything else at work with the above counties? Perhaps Marengo, AL had whites go back Dem after Obama was off the ticket, since black turnout was already maxed in 2008.

[Senator Kalwejt]

The same idea for 1968:



Red: County carried by Humphrey with less than 50%
Orange: County carried by Humphrey with less than 40%

Blue: County carried by Nixon with less than 50%
Light blue: County carried by Nixon with less than 40%

Gold: County carried by Wallace with less than 50%
Yellow: Count carried by Wallace with less than 40%

In only three states (Hawaii, Maine and Utah) winner was always above 50% in each county

This map shows a great three-way split in the South, except of Alabama and Mississippi, Wallace won in a landsliwe.

[Senator Kalwejt]

And the same idea for 1996.

A lot closer, comparing to 1992. 1996 was much more a two way race between Clinton and Dole with Perot running on high single tights all across the country, rather than three-way. Still, a lot of counties carried with plurality.



Red: Counties Clinton carried with less than 50%
Orange: Counties Clinton carried with less than 40%
Blue: Counties Dole carried with less than 40%

[Senator Kalwejt]

Map denoting which third-party candidate came 3rd in each state (very distant 3rd in all cases, of course)



Red: Ralph Nader
Yellow: Bob Barr
Purple: Ron Paul
Blue: Chuck Baldwin
Light gray: NOTA (Nevada option)
Gray: No third party candidates on the ballot (Oklahoma)

[shua]

I would never have guessed Nader did better than Barr in some of those states.

[Senator Kalwejt]

I would never have guessed Nader did better than Barr in some of those states.

To be fair, this map is not as representative as it may seem, due to ballot access issue (for example, Nader wasn't on the ballot in Texas and Barr wasn't on the ballot in some Nader states).

[Senator Kalwejt]

Almost-completed map of 1964 Republican presidential primaries (Pennsylvania is the only missing state)



Blue: Barry Goldwater
Red: Nelson Rockefeller
Yellow: Henry Cabot Lodge, Jr.
Light gray: Richard Nixon
Dark red: James A. Rhodes (Ohio favorite son)
Orange: John W. Byrnes (Wisconsin favorite son)
Light blue: Archie Gubburd (South Dakota favorite son)
Purple: Robert E. Ennis (Maryland favorite son)
Gold: John W. Steffey (Maryland favorite son)
Gray: Uncommitted
Brown: Split

[Joe Republic]

Interesting north-south split in California.

[Senator Kalwejt]

Just one side note: Goldwater is sometimes credited with winning SD primary. Technically, the winner was Archie Gubburd, who already pledged his delegation to support Barry.

[Senator Kalwejt]

2000 Republican presidential primary. I didn't find county results for Minnesota, Nevada, Wyoming and Hawaii.



Blue: George W. Bush
Red: John McCain
Yellow: Steve Forbes
Light gray: Gary Bauer
Dark red: Alan Keyes (yep, he won something)
Purple: Tie
Gray: Contest canceled (KS)


Collecting data for presidential primaries county maps is a real pain in the ass. The most helpful sources are ourcampaigns.com, Atlas Wiki and, sometimes, SoS archives for individual states.

If anyone of you can tell me, where I can locate county data for missing primaries/caucuses, I'd very happy.

[Senator Kalwejt]

Here's a map indicating which 1992 minor candidate came 4th in each state (since Ross Perot was third anywhere, outside of Maine and Utah, where he came 2nd)



Yellow: Andre Marrou (Libertarian)
Purple: Bo Gritz (Populist)
Red: Lenora Fulani (New Alliance)
Dark red: James Warren (Socialist Workers)
Blue: Howard Phillips (Taxpayers)
Gray: Lyndon LaRouche (Independent)
Orange: John Hagelin (Natural Law)

[CathKhan]

Can you do a third place one for 1988?

[Senator Kalwejt]

Can you do a third place one for 1988?

Naturally.

[Senator Kalwejt]

Here's the same idea for 1996:



Green: Ralph Nader (Green)
Yellow: Harry Browne (Libertarian)
Blue: Howard Phillips (Taxpayers)
Gray: NOTA

Next map will be requested by Cathcon 1988 third placers

[Senator Kalwejt]

I finished earlier map before 1988 (sorry for ugly bonduaries)

3rd places in 1976



Red: Eugene McCarthy (Independent)
Purple: Thomas J. Anderson (American)
Yellow: Roger McBride (Libertarian)
Orange: Lester Maddox (American Independent)
Dark red: Peter Camejo (Socialist Workers)
Light gray: NOTA
Gray: No 3rd party candidate

[Vasall des Midas]

I finished earlier map before 1988 (sorry for ugly bonduaries)

Not your fault. I blame Congress.

[Senator Kalwejt]

OK, Cathcon, here's 1988 map:



Yellow: Ron Paul (Libertarian)
Green: Lenora Fulani (New Alliance)
Blue: David Duke (Populist)
Red: Eugene McCarthy (Concumer)
Light gray: William A. Marra (Right to Life)
Orange: Herbert Lewin (Peace and Freedom)
Dark red: Lyndon LaRouche (Independent)
Gray: NOTA

Now, assuming that all Bush/Dukakis votes magically dissapeared...

Paul: 330 evs
Fulani: 77 evs
Marra: 36 evs
McCarthy: 35 evs
Duke: 32 evs
Lewin: 16
LaRouche: 8 evs
NOTA: 4 evs

[Senator Kalwejt]

1984



Yellow: David Bergland (Libertarian)
Dark red: Lyndon LaRouche (Independent)
Purple: Delmar Dennis (American)
Light gray: Dennis L. Serrette (Independent Alliance)
Red: Gus Hall (Communist)
Orange: Sonia Johnson (Citizens)
Green: Mel Mason (Socialist Workers)
Blue: Bob Richards (Populist)
Lime: Larry Holmes (Workers' World)
Gray: NOTA
Light blue: Various write-ins

[Senator Kalwejt]

Taking away Reagan/Mondale votes again:

Bergland: 312 evs
LaRouche: 62 evs
Johnson: 35 evs
Serrette: 32 evs
Mason: 20 evs
Dennis: 19 evs
Holmes: 16 evs
Richards: 13 evs
Write-ins: 13 evs (plus D.C.)
Hall: 12 evs
NOTA: 4 evs

[Senator Kalwejt]

1960:



Red: Farrell Dobbs (Socialist Workers)
Purple: Rutherford L. Decker (Prohibition)
Green: Eric Hass (Socialist Labor)
Dark red: Orval Faubus (National States' Rights)
Blue: Richard Nixon (Republican)
Lime: C. Benton Coiner (VA Conservative)
Ligh blue: Charles L. Sullivan (Conservative)
Orange: Unpledged electors (Democratic)
Yellow: Unpledged electors (Independent)
Light gray: Various write-in
Gray: No 3rd candidate

[Senator Kalwejt]

1980 Senate elections:



I couldn't find a county-level data for Colorado.

Red: Democratic
Blue: Republican

Orange indicated a Democratic runner-up to Russell Long in Louisiana's jungle primary race