FL-ARG: 5 candidates within 5 points, Perry tops field

[Tender Branson]

16% Perry
15% Bachmann
15% Romney
13% Palin
11% Cain
  7% Giuliani
  4% Paul
  3% Gingrich
  1% Huntsman
  1% Pawlenty
  1% Santorum
  0% Johnson
  0% Roemer
  1% Others
12% Undecided

Bachmann leads Perry among Tea Party supporters 20% to 18%, with 16% for Palin, 13% for Cain, and 8% for Romney. Romney leads Rudy Giuliani 26% to 15% among likely voters saying they are not Tea Party supporters or are undecided about the Tea Party, with 13% for Perry.

Perry leads Romney 18% to 17% among voters saying they definitely will vote in the Republican primary. Bachmann is at 16%, Palin is at 14%, and Cain is at 11% among those saying they will definitely vote in the Republican primary. Among probable voters in the primary, Giuliani is at 25% and Bachmann and Cain are at 11% each.

http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/primary/rep/fl

[Bull Moose Base]

I recommend imagining Pawlenty reading the headline and then excitedly clicking on it and looking down the poll slowly, trying to find his name.  Pretty entertaining.

[Tender Branson]

With Perry now almost certainly in, Romney better hopes that Giuliani does not get in and Palin does, because Giuliani would probably take support away from Romney and if Palin gets in she would splinter the tea-party field even more - and so Romney still remains in the game.

[Tender Branson]

Changes compared with their May poll:

+16% Perry
+10% Bachmann
+  7% Cain
+  4% Palin
+  3% Paul
+  1% Giuliani
+  1% Huntsman

  nc     Pawlenty
  nc     Santorum
  nc     Johnson
  nc     Roemer

-   8% Gingrich
- 11% Romney

[ajc0918]

Well this is disappointing.
Looks like Barack is my guy.

[Gustaf]

Tender, why do you include ARG polls in the map?

[Tender Branson]

Tender, why do you include ARG polls in the map?

It has not been outed as a fake pollster until now ...