Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Debbie Stabenow’s job performance?
Approve .......................................................... 46%
Disapprove...................................................... 40%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Pete Hoekstra?
Favorable........................................................ 31%
Unfavorable .................................................... 30%
...
Debbie Stabenow ........................................... 50%
Pete Hoekstra ................................................. 41%
Debbie Stabenow ........................................... 52%
Randy Hekman ............................................... 36%
Debbie Stabenow ........................................... 52%
John McCulloch .............................................. 32%
Debbie Stabenow ........................................... 52%
Peter Konetchy ............................................... 31%
Hoekstra's decision to run certainly gives Republicans a credible candidate in this race. But he's still a long shot and if he wins it's likely going to be the product of a Republican landslide year that results in the party coming away with something in the neighborhood of 55 Senate seats.
Think about it this way- Stabenow is stronger in the state than Barack Obama is. Obama won Michigan by 16 points in 2008- he would probably need to shift about 20 points in the wrong direction, losing the state by 4-6 points, to pull Stabenow down with him. Obama's numbers aren't very good right now but they haven't plummeted to that point.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_MI_726424.pdf
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