Collaborative Election Night Game
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
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Author Topic: Collaborative Election Night Game  (Read 11422 times)
MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #100 on: August 07, 2011, 07:29:55 PM »
Alright, I don't know if anyone's reading this, but I call next.
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tb75
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« Reply #101 on: August 07, 2011, 08:46:39 PM »
Quote from: MAINEiac4434 on August 07, 2011, 07:29:55 PM
Alright, I don't know if anyone's reading this, but I call next.

Go ahead, the whole calling thing is killing the thread. We need to get rid of it
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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E: -7.42, S: -8.78

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« Reply #102 on: August 07, 2011, 09:02:03 PM »
Quote from: Viceroy tb75 on August 07, 2011, 08:46:39 PM
Quote from: MAINEiac4434 on August 07, 2011, 07:29:55 PM
Alright, I don't know if anyone's reading this, but I call next.

Go ahead, the whole calling thing is killing the thread. We need to get rid of it

Okay.

We can now call New Jersey and, surprisingly, the entirety of Maine for Governor Dean. Maine was believed to be a tossup, as Bush's father has a residence in Kennebunkport, but the strong Maine Democratic Party was able to deliver Maine for Governor Dean.


Bush: 185
Dean: 103
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mondale84
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E: -3.23, S: -3.30

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« Reply #103 on: August 07, 2011, 10:32:43 PM »
We can now call Illinois and Connecticut for Governor Dean. Not surprises, both solid Democratic states.


Bush: 185
Dean: 131
[/quote]
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tb75
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« Reply #104 on: August 07, 2011, 10:41:30 PM »
I call next, I am working on the map
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tb75
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« Reply #105 on: August 07, 2011, 10:45:01 PM »
We have two more projections for President Bush, the bellweather state of Delaware which has always voted for the winner in every election since 2000, and the state of Mississippi will finally go for Bush


Bush: 194
Dean: 131
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #106 on: August 07, 2011, 11:02:23 PM »
Oklahoma will be going strongly for Bush, while we can call New Mexico slightly for Dean.


Oklahoma:
Bush- 63.4%
Dean- 36.0%

New Mexico:
Dean- 50.1%
Bush- 49.0%

Bush: 201
Dean: 136
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RodPresident
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E: -7.23, S: -3.30

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« Reply #107 on: August 07, 2011, 11:14:32 PM »
Minnesota and Wisconsin are going to Governor Dean. It's a big blow on Bush's reelection strategy


Minnesota:
Dean- 54.25%
Bush- 44.8%

Wisconsin:
Dean- 50.7%
Bush- 48.2%

Bush: 201
Dean: 156
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sentinel
sirnick
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« Reply #108 on: August 07, 2011, 11:46:54 PM »
New York goes for Howard Dean while Iowa flips to the Bush column.



Bush: 208
Dean: 187
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #109 on: August 08, 2011, 12:36:20 AM »

Both Wyoming and North Dakota stay strongly with Bush.


Wyoming:
Bush- 69.1%
Dean- 29.4%

North Dakota:
Bush- 61.8%
Dean- 36.6%


Bush: 214
Dean: 187
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tb75
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« Reply #110 on: August 08, 2011, 09:15:53 AM »
We can now call Arizona and Kansas for President Bush


Bush: 230
Dean: 187
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sentinel
sirnick
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« Reply #111 on: August 08, 2011, 09:32:56 AM »
We forgot to call South Dakota and Nebraska for President Bush, but yeah they're voting for him.



Bush: 230
Dean: 187


[/quote]
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #112 on: August 08, 2011, 09:53:14 AM »
President Bush builds on his momentum out west with victories in Montana and Utah.


Utah
Bush- 70.2%
Dean- 27.0%

Montana
Bush- 58.8%
Dean- 40.3%

Bush: 238
Dean: 187
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #113 on: August 08, 2011, 09:56:09 AM »
I call dibs on the next scenario! Smiley
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tb75
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« Reply #114 on: August 08, 2011, 01:56:14 PM »
It's 11:00 PM in the east and we can finally project that President Bush will be relected President. He will win California by 6 points which he has led the final months, and will win Idaho, that is enough to put him over. President Bush has won according to our projections



Bush: 297
Dean: 187
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #115 on: August 08, 2011, 02:27:45 PM »
Since Bush won, here's the next scenario:

Year: 2016
Democratic ticket: Sen. Maria Cantwell/Gov. Charlie Crist
Republican ticket: Gov. Susana Martinez/Sen. Rick Santorum

I like the 2 states per turn rule, so we can stick with that.

Here's the first round of states:
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mondale84
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« Reply #116 on: August 08, 2011, 02:41:23 PM »
« Edited: August 08, 2011, 02:42:59 PM by mondale84 »
We can project Cantwell/Crist the winners in Florida and Virginia.

Cantwell: 42
Martinez: 0
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tb75
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« Reply #117 on: August 08, 2011, 02:58:04 PM »
We can now call the state of Kentucky for Martinez, while Vermont stays Democratic.



Cantwell-45
Martinez-8
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tb75
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« Reply #118 on: August 08, 2011, 02:58:52 PM »
I call the next scenario, we are going old school!
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #119 on: August 08, 2011, 04:07:17 PM »
I got next post...
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #120 on: August 08, 2011, 04:24:03 PM »
At 7:56 EST, poll have just closed in Ohio and West Virginia less than a half-hour ago.

Based on both exit polls and precincts that have already reported, we can call West Virginia for Cantwell/Crist. Martinez/Santorum will be taking South Carolina.




West Virginia:
Cantwell- 51%
Martinez- 47%

South Carolina:
Martinez- 54%
Cantwell- 44%

Cantwell/Crist- 50
Martinez/Santorum- 17
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tb75
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« Reply #121 on: August 08, 2011, 04:30:21 PM »
I call next
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tb75
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« Reply #122 on: August 08, 2011, 04:43:24 PM »
8:00- Several new states have closed and we can call a few of them at the top of the hour. In the state of Massachusetts Senator Cantwell will win as expected, as well as the state of Maryland. 



Cantwell/Crist- 71
Martinez/Santorum- 17
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sentinel
sirnick
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« Reply #123 on: August 08, 2011, 08:51:42 PM »
We are now ready to call  Pennyslvia and New Jersey for Cantwell



Cantwell/Crist- 105
Martinez/Santorum- 17
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tb75
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« Reply #124 on: August 08, 2011, 09:00:35 PM »
Also we can declare the states of Alabama and Oklahoma for Martinez



Cantwell/Crist- 105
Martinez/Santorum- 33
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