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| | |-+  The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 24322 times)
Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #550 on: March 13, 2014, 12:39:41 pm »
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Remember, they're using a Fox News poll that's essentially spam, like that CBS poll late last year.
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« Reply #551 on: March 13, 2014, 01:33:45 pm »
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Remember, they're using a Fox News poll that's essentially spam, like that CBS poll late last year.

Thats why you always use the oldest rule in poll analysis.....

"Throw put the high and the low and average the rest...."

Gallup                                41   54    -13
Rasmussen Reports           45   54    -9
The Economist/YouGov       42   56    -14
Bloomberg                          48   48    Tie
CNN/Opinion Research       43   53    -10
PPP (D)                               43   51    -8
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl        41   54    -13
FOX News                            38   54    -16
ABC News/Wash Post          46   52    -6

Which leaves:

The Economist/YouGov       42   56    -14
Gallup                                41   54    -13
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl        41   54    -13
CNN/Opinion Research       43   53    -10
Rasmussen Reports           45   54    -9
PPP (D)                               43   51    -8
ABC News/Wash Post          46   52    -6

Average:                          43     53.4

It is odd to see NBC and ABC so far apart, they usually agree pretty closely
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« Reply #552 on: March 14, 2014, 12:18:50 pm »
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Gallup: 40/54
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« Reply #553 on: March 14, 2014, 05:48:44 pm »

Remember, they're using a Fox News poll that's essentially spam, like that CBS poll late last year.

Please. Fox News polls tend to be fairly middle of the road in terms of results, and aren't even close to having the greatest consistent R lean.
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« Reply #554 on: March 18, 2014, 11:49:55 am »
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March 13-16, 2014

Survey of 568 Colorado voters
Colorado Survey Results

Q1
Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
43% Approve  53% Disapprove  5% Not sure

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_CO_318.pdf

He'd have a chance to win Colorado if he were campaigning for a constitutionally-prohibited Third Term. 


60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)






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« Reply #555 on: March 20, 2014, 12:06:43 pm »
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Gallup: Up to 45/49.
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« Reply #556 on: March 22, 2014, 03:56:02 am »
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Wow. That map is really telling.
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« Reply #557 on: March 22, 2014, 06:46:15 am »
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Gallup has usually shown unusually low approval ratings. 45/49 is inconsistent with what this map shows in much of the country.

Either Gallup is wrong or the statewide approval ratings are obsolete. 

Low as the statewide approval ratings now shown are, they seem not to hurt the chances of other Democrats. It could be that they reflect overall satisfaction or dissatisfaction with the political process. The results of the political process now reek. 
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« Reply #558 on: March 25, 2014, 01:25:52 pm »
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March 20-23, 2014
Survey of 674 New Mexico voters


Quote
Q1
Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
44% Approve
48% Disapprove
8%  Not sure


http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NM_325.pdf
 


60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)







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« Reply #559 on: March 26, 2014, 04:45:14 pm »
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Obama job approval: Now, 47% approve, 49% disapprove. In January, 44% approve, 50% disapprove. #mulawpoll

https://twitter.com/MULawPoll

Huge recovery from Marquette University's last poll, and I expect to see huge improvements for the President's approval ratings elsewhere. If President Obama were seeking a Third Term this year (contrafactual in many ways) he would have to campaign -- but he would probably win 53% or 54% of the vote in Wisconsin. 
 


60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)



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« Reply #560 on: March 28, 2014, 01:13:57 pm »
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Quinnipiac, Virginia:
Quote

Virginia voters disapprove 52 - 44 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, with a 55 - 41 percent disapproval of the way he is handling the economy and a similar 55 - 40 percent disapproval for his handling of foreign policy.

Voters oppose the 2010 Affordable Care Act 52 - 44 percent and say 45 - 31 percent that they are less likely rather than more likely to vote for a U.S. Senate candidate who supports the health care law. Voters say 42 - 25 percent they are more likely to vote for a candidate who supports a minimum wage hike and say 40 - 27 they are less likely to vote for a Senate candidate who supports a path to citizenship for illegal aliens.

"President Obama's support in Virginia, which he narrowly carried in his re-election, remains stuck in negative territory, with his 58 - 36 percent disapproval among independent voters the big reason why," Brown said.

"The president gets the same negative ratings for his handling of the economy and foreign policy. His economy numbers have been in the dumpster for some time, but nationally his foreign policy numbers have remained good. It would be reasonable to assume that the current crisis involving Russia and the Ukraine may well be responsible for the low foreign policy grade."

From March 19 - 24, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,288 voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=2025


60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)




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« Reply #561 on: April 07, 2014, 01:59:10 pm »
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Gravis Marketing, Illinois:

Obama approval 46%, disapproval 45%.

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/illinois-telephone-survey/


60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)





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« Reply #562 on: April 08, 2014, 02:53:58 pm »
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PPP, Michigan

Survey of 825 Michigan voters

information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Michigan Survey Results

Q1
Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?

44% Approve
50% Disapprove
6% Not sure

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_MI_408.pdf

He is more popular than the Governor.

April 3-6, 2014
Survey of 740 North Carolina voters

North Carolina Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama's job performance?

44% Approve
52% Disapprove
5% Not sure

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_408.pdf

Clear improvement.

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)






« Last Edit: April 08, 2014, 03:04:19 pm by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #563 on: April 09, 2014, 06:23:58 am »
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Quinnipiac, New Jersey:


Quote
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

Approve 49% disapprove 48%

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=2030

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)







« Last Edit: April 09, 2014, 06:25:48 am by pbrower2a »Logged



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« Reply #564 on: April 09, 2014, 08:38:31 pm »
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St. Norbert's College, Wisconsin:

Approval 48, disapproval 50%

http://www.snc.edu/sri/docs/2014/201404frequencies.pdf

No need for a new map.
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« Reply #565 on: April 14, 2014, 06:51:28 am »
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MN (SurveyUSA):

36-54

http://kstp.com/news/stories/s3392801.shtml
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« Reply #566 on: April 14, 2014, 08:25:18 am »
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Outlier.

No way is the President doing 12% worse in Minnesota than in Wisconsin.
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« Reply #567 on: April 14, 2014, 11:10:44 am »
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Outlier.

No way is the President doing 12% worse in Minnesota than in Wisconsin.

And besides that, it's SurveyUSA (the people who gave us Ernie Fletcher).
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« Reply #568 on: April 15, 2014, 03:26:48 pm »
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PPP, Texas. Nobody is going to argue with this finding:


Quote
There's one finding in this poll that goes a long way toward explaining all the other ones- only 36% of voters in the state approve of the job Barack Obama's doing to 58% who disapprove.  That makes life for Democrats running for office this year a lot more difficult
- See more at: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2014/04/republicans-lead-in-texas.html#sthash.uhSSUq2C.dpuf

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)



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« Reply #569 on: April 17, 2014, 09:05:32 pm »

Winthrop Poll of South Carolinians removes an anomalous result from the map that had remained simply because we haven't been polled much of late. Some questions have results broken down both by all respondents and registered voters, but they only release the all respondent numbers for this question.

NOTES: Margin of Error for All Respondents is +/- 3.3% Margin of Error for Registered Voters is +/- 4.1% - totals may not sum to 100% due to rounding.

T1  Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President of the United States?

All Respondents
   
Approve      37.8%
Disapprove   52.7
Don’t Know    8.1
Refused       1.4

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)




[/quote]
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« Reply #570 on: Today at 01:46:03 am »
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Obama's national approval average is now 44-51 on RCP.

This is up from 40-56 approval about 6 months ago.

If the trend continues, Obama would have roughly a split 48-48 rating by the time of the November elections.
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« Reply #571 on: Today at 02:13:46 am »
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Just picked the most reliable of the four firms to update my own state. Suffolk is slightly less reliable than Rasmussen, WMUR/UNH is too prone to swings, and ARG is, well... ARG. 48/52 approval.

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)

50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)




[/quote]
[/quote]
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