Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
NC: 41-51http://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/1146701/polls-in-four-southern-states-april-8-15-2014.pdf60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)50-54% pink (30% saturation)45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)44% blue (20% saturation)40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)
If he were running for a third term and actively campaigning for the Presidential election this year, then he would win none of the States in question. He won in 2012 without them. Of course, Louisiana would be much closer than in either 2008 or 2012.
Obama now at -2 in both Rasmussen and Gallup today:
Gallup is 46-48 and Rasmussen is 48-50.
Obama now has the best rating at Gallup since Sept. last year.
There really isn't a source of bad news to pull things down. The economy is going steady, the health care roll out was fixed and the country is more or less at peace though Afghanistan is still winding down and there is rumor of war in Ukraine.
The average incumbent as a campaigner adds about 6-7% to his approval ratings to get the final share between himself and the key opponent, which means that based upon these polls (Barack Obama is a slick campaigner) he would get somewhere between 52% and 55% of the vote nationwide.
...Of course he won't be running for a Third Term, he isn't campaigning actively, and the next Presidential election will be in 2016. All in all the state polls are generally old, reflecting times when the President's approval was lower than it is now.