Polls on Same-Sex Marriage State Laws

[Tender Branson]

Maryland now favors it by a 50-44 margin, according to a new Washington Post poll:

[asexual trans victimologist]

Those are comparatively very good numbers for African-American Democrats.

[Nutmeg]

Maryland now favors it by a 50-44 margin, according to a new Washington Post poll:

Wow, that's a sea-change since 2004.

[InsaneTrollLogic]

I wonder how it is doing in Deleware and Illinois.

This is what I assume at this point-

red- favor gay marriage
blue- oppose gay marriage
dark blue- majority antiabortion
90% blue- a personhood amendment might have enough votes
yellow- favor gay marriage, majority antiabortion




Though what's interesting is that support for gay marriage is now more or less as prevalent as antiabortion sentiment. And though there has been uptick of this Conservative Humanist (basically Huckabee if he wasn't a closet case)  view of being pro-gay and antiabortion, its still the norm to just accept that the law is the law.



If Cook County really has real liberals in it, support for gay marriage now surpassed 270 EVs.

[Tender Branson]

NJ now strongly in favor:

52-34

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/84/159/2147483694/37459b64-548b-4dd0-8ccf-7985264ef9d5.pdf

[Gravis Marketing]

NJ now strongly in favor:

52-34

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/84/159/2147483694/37459b64-548b-4dd0-8ccf-7985264ef9d5.pdf

Congratulations, Phil!

[Former Moderate]

NJ now strongly in favor:

52-34

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/84/159/2147483694/37459b64-548b-4dd0-8ccf-7985264ef9d5.pdf

Congratulations, Phil!

Phil and Naso will be very happy together.

[A cowboy always follows his beard]

Didn't Washington make it legal?

[greenforest32]

Didn't Washington make it legal?

Yeah but there hasn't been any new polls for them yet. I do expect this year's events will shift Washington more in favor.

[greenforest32]

New Washington numbers:

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

Legal...............................................................49%
Illegal ..............................................................44%
Not sure ..........................................................7%

If there was a referendum on the new law
legalizing same-sex marriage, would you vote
to uphold the law, or would you vote to repeal
it?

Would vote to uphold the law..........................50%
Would vote to repeal it ....................................46%
Not sure .........................................................4%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WA_222.pdf

WA PPP results from May 2011: 46% legal, 44% illegal, 10% not sure

[greenforest32]

http://www.sacbee.com/2012/02/29/4299164/support-for-gay-marriage-takes.html

A new poll shows gay marriage has arrived in California – in public opinion if not in state lawbooks.

Golden State registered voters now favor same-sex unions by 59 percent to 34 percent, a 25-point gap that is the largest margin of support for the issue in the three-plus decades the Field Poll has been asking the question.

The new Field survey shows support has leapt markedly in the three and a half years since California voters approved Proposition 8, which banned gay marriage, 52.3 percent to 47.7 percent.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Those colored bars are of...interesting relative lengths.

[greenforest32]

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=1712

March 1, 2012 - New Jersey Same-Sex Marriage Support At New High, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Voters Back Holding Referendum More Than 2-1

Support for same-sex marriage in New Jersey climbs to a new high, 57 - 37 percent, but voters split 48 - 47 percent on whether Gov. Christopher Christie did the right thing in vetoing same- sex marriage legislation, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Voters support 67 - 28 percent Gov. Christie's proposal to let them decide the same-sex marriage issue by placing it on the ballot for a November referendum, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

Support for same-sex marriage is 61 - 32 percent among women and 51 - 44 percent among men. White Catholics support the move 52 - 43 percent while white Protestants are opposed 50 - 42 percent. Voters who attend religious services weekly oppose same-sex marriage 54 - 39 percent while those who attend services less frequently support the measure 66 - 29 percent.

Given three options for same-sex couples:

    47 percent support same-sex marriage;
    34 percent support same-sex civil unions;
    13 percent say there should be no legal recognition.

TREND: Would you support or oppose a law that would allow same-sex couples to get married?

Mar 1, 2012 - 57% support, 37% oppose, 6% DK/NA
Jan 19, 2012 - 52% support, 42% oppose, 6% DK/NA
Nov 25, 2009 - 46% support, 49% oppose, 6% DK/NA
Apr 23, 2009 - 49% support, 43% oppose, 8% DK/NA
Dec 7, 2006 - 44% support, 50% oppose, 5% DK/NA
Nov 8, 2006 - 41% support, 50% oppose, 9% DK/NA

[Tender Branson]

Iowa (Selzer):

A majority of Iowans oppose passage of a state constitutional amendment banning same-sex marriage, a new Des Moines Register Iowa Poll shows.

The poll found that 38 percent favor a legislative initiative to pass a constitutional amendment, while 56 percent are against. Six percent aren’t sure.

The findings show little movement on the issue from February 2011, when 40 percent of those surveyed supported passing an amendment, while 54 percent were opposed.

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/article/20120227/NEWS09/302270022/-1/SPORTS12/Iowa-Poll-Majority-opposes-ban-same-sex-marriage

[asexual trans victimologist]

I wonder if this issue is sufficiently polarized that the Iowa question might function as a decent proxy for gauging support of legal SSM.

In other words, I'm wondering if we should put it on the map.

[crypto-fascist superhero]

While there is a significant "Bradley effect" in gay marriage polling (like I pointed out earlier), I wonder if gay marriage opponents might have to switch their strategy in blue states to ballot measures which simultaneously legalize civil unions and ban gay marriage.

[asexual trans victimologist]

That would have the added incidental benefit of providing Romer fodder for the idea that gay marriage opponents have nothing better to do than just pick over semantics to create artificial hierarchies for no rational reason.

[greenforest32]

New Maine numbers:

In general, do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

Legal...............................................................54%
Illegal ..............................................................41%
Not sure ..........................................................5%

Do you favor a law allowing marriage licenses
for same-sex couples that protects religious
freedom by ensuring no religion or clergy be
required to perform such a marriage in violation
of their religious beliefs?

Yes - 47%
No - 32%
Not sure - 21%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_ME_0307.pdf

ME PPP results from October 2011: 51% legal, 42% illegal, 8% not sure
ME PPP results from March 2011: 47% legal, 45% illegal, 8% not sure

[nclib]

It appears that the following states haven't passed gay marriage or banned it by constitutional amendment:

Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Delaware
West Virginia
Illinois
Indiana
New Mexico
Wyoming

Any particular reason why these states haven't acted on it.

NC and MN have a ban on the ballot this year.
NJ legislature passed gay marriage, but was vetoed.

[ottermax]

Delaware and Illinois legalized civil unions recently.

West Virginia and New Mexico are probably examples of Democratic controlled legislatures stalling, but not trying to pass anything for fear of voter retaliation (WV) or divided party control (NM).

PA is probably just an issue of a divided electorate and maybe it's difficult to do initiatives there?

RI is in the process of legalizing same-sex marriage, but the Senate president or House president keeps blocking it.

Wyoming tried to pass an amendment to ban it, but it failed somewhere in the legislature.

No idea what's going on in Indiana.

[crypto-fascist superhero]

I highly doubt gay marriage would pass in WV even if legislators voted their conscience.

[Tender Branson]

Maryland (PPP):

52-44 for gay marriage in a Nov. referendum

http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/maryland/politics/blog/bal-poll-shows-slim-support-for-gay-marriage-20120308,0,3650775.story?track=rss

[CaDan]

LOL!!!

Push poll commissioned by homosexual activists. Even the far-left Post says its the "rosiest" picture yet, as normal polls have this 50-50.

OF COURSE ITS ROSY! It's a push poll.

Got to love that spin. Goes to show that PPP is nothing more than a propaganda outfit.

[Grad Students are the Worst]

LOL!!!

Push poll commissioned by homosexual activists. Even the far-left Post says, its the "rosiest" picture yet.

OF COURSE! It's a push poll.

Got to love that spin. Goes to show that PPP is nothing more than a propaganda outfit.

How did they word the push questions?

[I Can't Get That Sound You Make, Out Of My Head]

LOL!!!

Push poll commissioned by homosexual activists. Even the far-left Post says its the "rosiest" picture yet, as normal polls have this 50-50.

OF COURSE ITS ROSY! It's a push poll.

Got to love that spin. Goes to show that PPP is nothing more than a propaganda outfit.

Wow.