Polls on Same-Sex Marriage State Laws

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

TEXAS.

Another good candidate to persue. It is the most populated one left.

[pbrower2a]

Decided by a State court in Missouri, and something of a surprise. No stay during the appeal, so it might as well be final.

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Recent YouGov map with appropriate modifications as of 6PM EST, 5 November 2014:

White -- SSM equality by law.
Yellow -- toss-up

 

States in white (and DC) already have legalized same-sex marriages. Other states are coded by district in those in which SSM was not permanently legalized as of 2 PM EST on 18 October 2014:

Status of SSM in Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands, American Samoa, Guam, or the Northern Marianas not shown.

4th circuit*
5th circuit
6th circuit*
8th circuit
9th circuit*
10th circuit*
11th circuit

*Next appeal, US Supreme court.

Colors have no political significance.

DC and all states within the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 7th appellate districts have legalized SSM.


Here are the numbers:

Compiled results are listed below. The headers for each column are: State/ Support Legalising Gay Marriage/ Oppose Legalising Gay Marriage/ Net Support.

MA    71    19    +52
VT    71    20    +51
RI    68    20    +48
NH    63    24    +39
CT    61    26    +35
NY    61    27    +34
HI    59    26    +33
CA    58    31    +27
ME    63    37    +26
NM    57    32    +25
WA    57    32    +25
NV    55    31    +24
DE    54    31    +23
NJ    54    32    +22
OR    56    35    +21
IA    53    33    +20
IL    53    33    +20
CO    54    35    +19
MN    52    34    +18
AK    50    36    +14
WI    51    37    +14
MD    48    36    +12
PA    49    38    +11
ND    48    39    +9
MI    47    39    +8
AZ    47    40    +7
VA    47    40    +7
FL    46    40    +6
OH    45    40    +5
MT    45    41    +4
KS    44    41    +3
SD    43    43    0
IN    43    45    -2
NC    42    46    -4
MO    41    47    -6
NE    40    46    -6
LA    39    46    -7
WV    39    48    -9
GA    37    47    -10
SC    37    47    -10
KY    38    50    -12
TX    37    50    -13
OK    37    51    -14
WY    33    50    -17
ID    33    51    -18
AR    32    54    -22
UT    34    56    -22
MS    29    56    -27
TN    29    58    -29
AL    28    60    -32

US    48    39    +9

[Lief 🗽]

Results from the exit poll:

National: Tie 48-48

[Tender Branson]

Results from the exit poll:

National: Tie 48-48

Yeah, but that's based on 2014 actual voters.

Turnout: 38% or something.

For these questions, it's better to still use the "adult" polls or RV polls.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Yea those national SSM numbers are of cranky old white people.

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

Remaining States by Census Regions:

Northwest: None
Midwest: 6
West: 1
South: 10

Not a surprise that most of the remaining states are in the south.

[eric82oslo]

A Court has just uphold the 4 same sex marriage bans in Michigan, Ohio, Kentucky and Tennessee!
Which basically means that in the next step this will be headed to the Supreme Court.

http://us.cnn.com/2014/11/06/us/same-sex-marriage-ruling/index.html?hpt=hp_t1

[pbrower2a]

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http://www.postandcourier.com/assets/pdf/same-sex%20marriage%20order.pdf

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http://www.postandcourier.com/article/20141112/PC16/141119800/1177

[pbrower2a]

Results from the exit poll:

National: Tie 48-48

Not to be confused with the approval-disapproval ratings from YouGov. The electorate of 2014 would have voted for Mussolini if given the chance.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Not to be confused with the approval-disapproval ratings from YouGov. The electorate of 2014 would have voted for Mussolini if given the chance.

I seriously doubt that as the electorate of 2014 would probably vote against Mussolini if they knew he supported publicly run trains.

[pbrower2a]

Not to be confused with the approval-disapproval ratings from YouGov. The electorate of 2014 would have voted for Mussolini if given the chance.

I seriously doubt that as the electorate of 2014 would probably vote against Mussolini if they knew he supported publicly run trains.

An American fascist would advocate the scrapping of government-owned trains if unprofitable -- for sale cheaply to cronies.

[pbrower2a]

Now let's bring the hammer down on the South. First target: Alabama.

Better yet, force South Carolina to do it. While we're at it, force Kansas too.

The hammer.

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http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/11/12/supreme-court-kansas-gay-marriage_n_6148630.html?utm_hp_ref=politics


Recent YouGov map with appropriate modifications as of 11PM EST, 12 November 2014:

White -- SSM equality by law.
Yellow -- toss-up

 

States in white (and DC) already have legalized same-sex marriages. Other states are coded by district in those in which SSM was not permanently legalized as of 2 PM EST on 12 November 2014:

Status of SSM in Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands, American Samoa, Guam, or the Northern Marianas not shown.

4th circuit*
5th circuit
6th circuit*
8th circuit
9th circuit*
11th circuit

*Next appeal, US Supreme court.

Colors have no political significance.

DC and all states within the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 7th, and 10th appellate districts have legalized SSM.


Here are the numbers:

Compiled results are listed below. The headers for each column are: State/ Support Legalising Gay Marriage/ Oppose Legalising Gay Marriage/ Net Support.

MA    71    19    +52
VT    71    20    +51
RI    68    20    +48
NH    63    24    +39
CT    61    26    +35
NY    61    27    +34
HI    59    26    +33
CA    58    31    +27
ME    63    37    +26
NM    57    32    +25
WA    57    32    +25
NV    55    31    +24
DE    54    31    +23
NJ    54    32    +22
OR    56    35    +21
IA    53    33    +20
IL    53    33    +20
CO    54    35    +19
MN    52    34    +18
AK    50    36    +14
WI    51    37    +14
MD    48    36    +12
PA    49    38    +11
ND    48    39    +9
MI    47    39    +8
AZ    47    40    +7
VA    47    40    +7
FL    46    40    +6
OH    45    40    +5
MT    45    41    +4
KS    44    41    +3
SD    43    43    0
IN    43    45    -2
NC    42    46    -4
MO    41    47    -6
NE    40    46    -6
LA    39    46    -7
WV    39    48    -9
GA    37    47    -10
SC    37    47    -10
KY    38    50    -12
TX    37    50    -13
OK    37    51    -14
WY    33    50    -17
ID    33    51    -18
AR    32    54    -22
UT    34    56    -22
MS    29    56    -27
TN    29    58    -29
AL    28    60    -32

US    48    39    +9

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

If it weren't for that ruling, we'd have SSM from sea to shining sea.

[MaxQue]

Clearly a communist plot. The areas without gay marriage create a sickle shape. And the Dakota blob is the hammer. Like on the USSR flag.

[pbrower2a]

What is it with Montana?

[politicallefty]

What is it with Montana?

It should be any time now that the judge has vacated the actual hearing:

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Montana's ban isn't going to be around much longer. That federal judge was appointed by President Obama and, obviously, he's bound by Ninth Circuit precedent. I wouldn't be expecting any surprises on this one. It seems more like a matter of when, not if.

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

We need to get the south. Let's go after Florida and Texas, since they have the most people.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

We need to get the south. Let's go after Florida and Texas, since they have the most people.

The stay on the Florida ruling expires on Jan 5th, so you're in luck there. Texas...not so much. I'll be very surprised if the conservative 5th circuit rules in favor of gay marriage.

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

Montana has seen the light: http://seattletimes.com/html/nationworld/2025059184_apxgaymarriagemontana.html

Marriages are underway in some counties already.

[pbrower2a]

What is it with Montana?

OVER. Billings Gazette:

http://billingsgazette.com/news/state-and-regional/montana/federal-judge-rules-montana-s-anti-gay-marriage-amendment-unconstitutional/article_585e4df1-6c99-57ee-a72b-1d975a245975.html

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Recent YouGov map with appropriate modifications as of 11PM EST, 19 November 2014:

White -- SSM equality by law.
Yellow -- toss-up

 

States in white (and DC) already have legalized same-sex marriages. Other states are coded by district in those in which SSM was not permanently legalized as of 2 PM EST on 12 November 2014:

Status of SSM in Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands, American Samoa, Guam, or the Northern Marianas not shown.

4th circuit*
5th circuit
6th circuit*
8th circuit
11th circuit

*Next appeal, US Supreme court.

Colors have no political significance.

DC and all states within the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 7th, and 10th appellate districts have legalized SSM.


Here are the numbers:

Compiled results are listed below. The headers for each column are: State/ Support Legalising Gay Marriage/ Oppose Legalising Gay Marriage/ Net Support.

MA    71    19    +52
VT    71    20    +51
RI    68    20    +48
NH    63    24    +39
CT    61    26    +35
NY    61    27    +34
HI    59    26    +33
CA    58    31    +27
ME    63    37    +26
NM    57    32    +25
WA    57    32    +25
NV    55    31    +24
DE    54    31    +23
NJ    54    32    +22
OR    56    35    +21
IA    53    33    +20
IL    53    33    +20
CO    54    35    +19
MN    52    34    +18
AK    50    36    +14
WI    51    37    +14
MD    48    36    +12
PA    49    38    +11
ND    48    39    +9
MI    47    39    +8
AZ    47    40    +7
VA    47    40    +7
FL    46    40    +6
OH    45    40    +5
MT    45    41    +4
KS    44    41    +3
SD    43    43    0
IN    43    45    -2
NC    42    46    -4
MO    41    47    -6
NE    40    46    -6
LA    39    46    -7
WV    39    48    -9
GA    37    47    -10
SC    37    47    -10
KY    38    50    -12
TX    37    50    -13
OK    37    51    -14
WY    33    50    -17
ID    33    51    -18
AR    32    54    -22
UT    34    56    -22
MS    29    56    -27
TN    29    58    -29
AL    28    60    -32

US    48    39    +9

[pbrower2a]

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http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/11/19/same-sex-marriage-south-carolina_n_6185180.html?utm_hp_ref=gay-voices&ir=Gay%20Voices

The stay expires anyway.

Recent YouGov map with appropriate modifications as of 9AM EST, 20 November 2014:

White -- SSM equality by law.
Yellow -- toss-up

 

States in white (and DC) already have legalized same-sex marriages. Other states are coded by district in those in which SSM was not permanently legalized as of 2 PM EST on 12 November 2014:

Status of SSM in Puerto Rico, the US Virgin Islands, American Samoa, Guam, or the Northern Marianas not shown.

5th circuit
6th circuit*
8th circuit
11th circuit

*Next appeal, US Supreme court.

Colors for districts have no other political significance.

DC and all states within the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 7th, 9th, and 10th appellate districts have legalized SSM.


Here are the numbers:

Compiled results are listed below. The headers for each column are: State/ Support Legalising Gay Marriage/ Oppose Legalising Gay Marriage/ Net Support.

MA    71    19    +52
VT    71    20    +51
RI    68    20    +48
NH    63    24    +39
CT    61    26    +35
NY    61    27    +34
HI    59    26    +33
CA    58    31    +27
ME    63    37    +26
NM    57    32    +25
WA    57    32    +25
NV    55    31    +24
DE    54    31    +23
NJ    54    32    +22
OR    56    35    +21
IA    53    33    +20
IL    53    33    +20
CO    54    35    +19
MN    52    34    +18
AK    50    36    +14
WI    51    37    +14
MD    48    36    +12
PA    49    38    +11
ND    48    39    +9
MI    47    39    +8
AZ    47    40    +7
VA    47    40    +7
FL    46    40    +6
OH    45    40    +5
MT    45    41    +4
KS    44    41    +3
SD    43    43    0
IN    43    45    -2
NC    42    46    -4
MO    41    47    -6
NE    40    46    -6
LA    39    46    -7
WV    39    48    -9
GA    37    47    -10
SC    37    47    -10
KY    38    50    -12
TX    37    50    -13
OK    37    51    -14
WY    33    50    -17
ID    33    51    -18
AR    32    54    -22
UT    34    56    -22
MS    29    56    -27
TN    29    58    -29
AL    28    60    -32

US    48    39    +9

[eric82oslo]

35 down, 15 to go? Already? Wow.

Edit: Already 36 with South Carolina! How embarrassing that Florida is one of the 14 still left.

[pbrower2a]

The defense of anti-SSM laws in Michigan is so inept that it begs a smack-down in the US Supreme Court.

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

If only the 6th circuit ruled in favor. Then we'd have almost 40.

[pbrower2a]

If only the 6th circuit ruled in favor. Then we'd have almost 40.

Probably 38 in about two weeks -- and two of the states least likely to allow SSM through legislative action.

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http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/11/25/mississippi-gay-marriage_n_6222670.html?utm_hp

Merry Christmas, Mississippi. You get to join the 21st century on gay rights!

Similar news in Arkansas.