Irish Elections - Referendum, Presidential, and General (polling or byelections)
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Poll
Question: Which Gay do you support?
#1
Gay Mitchell
 
#2
Gay Byrne
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 10

Author Topic: Irish Elections - Referendum, Presidential, and General (polling or byelections)  (Read 84984 times)
minionofmidas
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« Reply #250 on: October 29, 2011, 05:10:42 AM »

Why aren't McGuinness and Mitchell eliminated alongside with Norris on count 2 ?

I think such a decision is at the returning officer's discretion.
Because if all of Norris' voters gave Mitchell their second preference, he'd keep his deposit.

Which opens the question of why the same wasn't done with the Green and SF vote in Dublin West, so I guess we're back at Jas' answer.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #251 on: October 29, 2011, 05:12:30 AM »

But after consultation with both parties, returning officer John Fitzpatrick said he was eliminating Ms Coppinger under Section 122 of the Electoral Act which means the person with the highest first preference vote goes through."

For those so interested, section 122 of the Electoral Act.
So really, that ought to run "Section 122, Subsection 3".
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JandK
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« Reply #252 on: October 29, 2011, 05:20:15 AM »

Greetings all. I'm Teddy's friend, the one who made the maps. I'm very glad you've found them useful. Teddy left me numerous messages to come here, so here I am!
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #253 on: October 29, 2011, 05:23:58 AM »

Welcome!

I recall some of those maps from looking at old Irish election results on wikipedia. Smiley
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #254 on: October 29, 2011, 05:24:06 AM »

Hurrah!
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #255 on: October 29, 2011, 05:37:24 AM »

Greetings all. I'm Teddy's friend, the one who made the maps. I'm very glad you've found them useful. Teddy left me numerous messages to come here, so here I am!

Welcome to the forum, and thank you for all these nice maps. Smiley
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JandK
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« Reply #256 on: October 29, 2011, 05:46:53 AM »

You're very welcome for the maps and thank you for the warm welcomes!

Maps will be coming on the referendum results too.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #257 on: October 29, 2011, 06:05:32 AM »

Count is complete.
Count No. 3
Higgins 793,128 (+62,648)
Gallagher 548,373 (+18,972)
McGuinness 265,196 (+12,585)
Mitchell 136,309 (+8952)
exhausted +13,369
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #258 on: October 29, 2011, 06:29:05 AM »

They'll be distributing McGuinness along with Mitchell.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #259 on: October 29, 2011, 06:32:50 AM »
« Edited: October 29, 2011, 06:34:52 AM by all the truth in the world adds up to one big lie »



Norris transfers have taken Higgins ahead of Gallagher in Cork SW and Tipperary N.
Also ahead of McGuinness and into second place in Cavan-Monaghan.
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #260 on: October 29, 2011, 06:42:21 AM »
« Edited: October 29, 2011, 06:45:36 AM by ObserverIE »

Count 3

Higgins701,101(39.6%)+29,379730,480(41.2%)
+62,648
793,128(44.8%)
Gallagher504,964(28.5%)+24,437529,401(29.9%)
+18,972
548,373(31.0%)
McGuinness243,030(13.7%)
+9,581
252,611(14.3%)
+12,585
265,196(15.0%)
Mitchell113,321
(6.4%)
+14,036
127,357
(7.2%)
+8,952
136,309
(7.7%)
Norris109,469
(6.2%)
+7,057
116,526
(6.6%)
-116,526
Scallon
51,220
(2.9%)
-51,220
Davis
48,567
(2.7%)
-48,567
Non-transferable
0
(0.0%)
+15,387
15,387
(0.9%)
+13,369
28,756
(1.6%)

McGuinness and Mitchell eliminated
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #261 on: October 29, 2011, 08:03:10 AM »
« Edited: October 29, 2011, 08:45:24 AM by ObserverIE »

Some final results:

Cork North Central: Higgins 61.1 Gallagher 38.9
Cork South Central: Higgins 66.6 Gallagher 33.4
Donegal South West: Gallagher 52.0 Higgins 48.0
Dublin North Central: Higgins 71.4 Gallagher 28.6
Dublin West: Higgins 66.3 Gallagher 33.7
Tipperary South: Higgins 55.9 Gallagher 44.1

Clare: Higgins 61.7 Gallagher 38.3
Galway East: Higgins 56.8 Gallagher 43.2
Mayo: Higgins 61.0 Gallagher 39.0
Meath West: Higgins 55.7 Gallagher 44.3
Sligo-North Leitrim: Higgins 59.4 Gallagher 40.6

Limerick City: Higgins 70.7 Gallagher 29.3

Cork North West: Higgins 52.6 Gallagher 47.4
Dublin Mid West: Higgins 67.3 Gallagher 32.7
Dublin South: Higgins 73.2 Gallagher 26.8
Dublin South Central: Higgins: 74.1 Gallagher 25.9
Wicklow: Higgins 62.3 Gallagher 37.7

Cork South West: Higgins 54.5 Gallagher 45.5
Donegal North East: Higgins 50.3 Gallagher 49.7
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freek
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« Reply #262 on: October 29, 2011, 10:01:21 AM »

Fourth count RESULT: Higgins 1,007,104 (+213,976) and Gallagher 628,114 (+79,741)
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Јas
Jas
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« Reply #263 on: October 29, 2011, 10:24:22 AM »

Greetings all. I'm Teddy's friend, the one who made the maps. I'm very glad you've found them useful. Teddy left me numerous messages to come here, so here I am!

Welcome Smiley
Excellent blog btw
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Јas
Jas
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« Reply #264 on: October 29, 2011, 11:30:16 AM »

Early tallies on the referenda...
Judicial pay passing 80-20
Oireachtas enquiries failing 46-54
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Јas
Jas
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« Reply #265 on: October 29, 2011, 11:59:07 AM »

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ObserverIE
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« Reply #266 on: October 29, 2011, 12:11:06 PM »

Remaining final constituency results:

Carlow-Kilkenny: Higgins 56.8 Gallagher 43.2
Cavan-Monaghan: Gallagher 61.5 Higgins 38.5
Cork East: Higgins 55.7 Gallagher 44.3
Dublin Central: Higgins 60.2 Gallagher 39.8
Dublin North: Higgins 66.0 Gallagher 34.0
Dublin North East: Higgins 69.3 Gallagher 30.7
Dublin North West: Higgins 67.4 Gallagher 32.6
Dublin South East: Higgins 79.9 Gallagher 20.1
Dublin South West: Higgins 66.6 Gallagher 33.4
Dún Laoghaire: Higgins 75.5 Gallagher 24.5
Galway West: Higgins 75.8 Gallagher 24.2
Kerry North-West Limerick: Higgins 60.5 Gallagher 39.5
Kerry South: Higgins 59.4 Gallagher 40.6
Kildare North: Higgins 65.4 Gallagher 34.6
Kildare South: Higgins 57.9 Gallagher 42.1
Laois-Offaly: Higgins 51.1 Gallagher 48.9
Limerick: Higgins 57.8 Gallagher 42.2
Longford-Westmeath: Higgins 56.2 Gallagher 43.8
Louth: Higgins 59.0 Gallagher 41.0
Meath East: Higgins 58.5 Gallagher 41.5
Roscommon-South Leitrim: Higgins 52.0 Gallagher 48.0
Tipperary North: Higgins 54.4 Gallagher 45.6
Waterford: Higgins 59.2 Gallagher 40.8
Wexford: Higgins 55.5 Gallagher 44.5

Regional results:

Dublin: Higgins 70.2 Gallagher 29.8
Rest of Leinster: Higgins 57.7 Gallagher 42.3
Munster: Higgins 59.4 Gallagher 40.6
Connacht: Higgins 61.7 Gallagher 38.3
Ulster (part of): Gallagher 56.4 Higgins 43.6

National: Higgins 61.0 Gallagher 39.0
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #267 on: October 29, 2011, 12:37:09 PM »

Count 4

Higgins701,101(39.6%)+29,379730,480(41.2%)
+62,648
793,128(44.8%)
+213,946
1,007,104(56.8%)
Gallagher504,964(28.5%)+24,437529,401(29.9%)
+18,972
548,373(31.0%)
+79,741
628,114
(35.5%)
McGuinness243,030(13.7%)
+9,581
252,611(14.3%)
+12,585
265,196(15.0%)
-265,196
Mitchell113,321
(6.4%)
+14,036
127,357
(7.2%)
+8,952
136,309
(7.7%)
-136,309
Norris109,469
(6.2%)
+7,057
116,526
(6.6%)
-116,526
Scallon
51,220
(2.9%)
-51,220
Davis
48,567
(2.7%)
-48,567
Non-transferable
0
(0.0%)
+15,387
15,387
(0.9%)
+13,369
28,756
(1.6%)
+107,718
136,474
(7.7%)

Higgins elected
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #268 on: October 29, 2011, 02:32:02 PM »
« Edited: October 29, 2011, 02:34:27 PM by Teddy (SoFE) »


And final
Higgins - 1,065,000
Gallagher - 667,000



My projection was right!

Within 3 thousand ballots when it's considered that 5.5% went exhausted that I did not expect to.
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Kevinstat
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« Reply #269 on: October 29, 2011, 03:09:58 PM »

Are constituency results (or perhaps county or county equivilent results) available for earlier Presidential elections, and how far back if so?  I'd love to see such maps for 1966 or 1973.
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #270 on: October 29, 2011, 03:56:47 PM »

Are constituency results (or perhaps county or county equivilent results) available for earlier Presidential elections, and how far back if so?  I'd love to see such maps for 1966 or 1973.

http://presidentialelection.ie/downloads/Presidential_Elections_1938-2004.pdf

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JandK
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« Reply #271 on: October 29, 2011, 07:09:19 PM »

Without meaning to brag, I have maps up for every presidential election. 1966 and 73 are very similar.

I can't include links yet but someone else here might be able to.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #272 on: October 29, 2011, 07:24:03 PM »

What's the threshold for that type of thing these days?
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #273 on: October 29, 2011, 08:26:50 PM »

What's the threshold for that type of thing these days?

Twenty, I think:

http://irishpoliticalmaps.blogspot.com/search/label/Irish%20presidential%20election%201966

http://irishpoliticalmaps.blogspot.com/search/label/Irish%20presidential%20election%201973
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #274 on: October 30, 2011, 05:05:50 AM »

Some final results:
Donegal North East: Higgins 50.3 Gallagher 49.7
Haha, wow.
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