HI-01: Djou's back, for some reason

[Miles]

Well, he did make a decent showing against Hanabusa...he held her to 53% in a D+11 district.

[Miles]

The lesson of the 2010 elections are clear enough: the heartland of America has had enough of the Democrats, while the two coasts haven't had enough, yet.

Who is to say that 2012 will not see the Republican wave extend into the two coasts?

Not even close to being true. The heartland voters are regretting electing Republicans.

[Miles]

The lesson of the 2010 elections are clear enough: the heartland of America has had enough of the Democrats, while the two coasts haven't had enough, yet.

Who is to say that 2012 will not see the Republican wave extend into the two coasts?

Not even close to being true. The heartland voters are regretting electing Republicans.

The Coasts might be more receptive though, especially the West Coast. Remember Democrats control the governorships in Washington, Oregon, and California. The party will receive the blame in those states if conditions worsen.

WA- Yes, what you said is kinda true here with regards to Gregoire. Still, the Gubernatorial will likely be a tossup until next November. I still expect Dems to control both chambers, the Congressional delegation and both Senate seats in 2012.

OR- Even with Kulongski deeply unpopular, Dems held the his seat. OR will continue to trend Democratic.

CA- CA, DE and WV were the only states where the state legislatures got more Democratic last year. Even with the bad economy, Brown was elected, Dems didn't lose any House seats and an otherwise mediocre Democratic Senator won by 10 points.  I don't see the GOP making any tangible inroads in CA.

[Miles]

Djou is announcing today. With Hirono already running for Senate (with an Emily's List endorsement), I doubt Hanabusa runs for Senate as well.

[Miles]

Djou wont get more than 40%.  If he couldnt even come close to being reelected in a year like 2010, he wont win in 2012.

Hanabusa only won by 6 points last year. Djou didn't lose in a major landslide or anything.

[Miles]

Djou wont get more than 40%.  If he couldnt even come close to being reelected in a year like 2010, he wont win in 2012.

Hanabusa only won by 6 points last year. Djou didn't lose in a major landslide or anything.

He lost by six points in the best Republican year since 1894. 

Hardly. Plus the wave was uneven in its strength.

I agree. Considering he was running against Inouye coattails, I think he did pretty well.

[Miles]

Hanabusa is running for the House again, setting up a re-rematch with Djou.