Obama down in PA to 35%

[J. J.]

There is a new poll out from Muhlenberg College and Morning Call claiming Barack Obama’s job approval rating is down to a mere 35% in the state of Pennsylvania. in a generic match up, he does hold and edge on a Republican albeit with a ton of undecideds.
PRESIDENT – PENNSYLVANIA (Muhlenberg/Mcall)
Barack Obama (D-inc) 36%
Generic Republican 31%

http://www.mcall.com/news/breaking/mc-pa-obama-poll-20110819,0,1628054.story

Terry Madonna is one of the better pollsters out there, especially for PA.  I'd treat it Quinnapiac for PA.

[J. J.]

Please stop posting clearly junk polls. You expect us to believe that over 30% of Americans are undecided?

This one is no where near a junk poll.  Madonna's poll have an exceptionally good record.

[J. J.]

Please stop posting clearly junk polls. You expect us to believe that over 30% of Americans are undecided?

This one is no where near a junk poll.  Madonna's poll have an exceptionally good record.

When neither candidate is even at 40%, it's junk.

No, Madonna doesn't push the undecides, like Rasmussen.  All his early polls show this.

Sample size: 380

Junk.

A 380 sample size is quite valid.

This one is not junk, and this is following Quinnipiac poll of two weeks ago.

http://blogs.mcall.com/penn_ave/2011/08/more-pennsylvanians-disapprove-of-obama.html

Obama's national numbers have been declining since then.

[J. J.]

But look at other pollsters. They don't push leaners and still get over 40% for at least one candidate.

It is common in Madonna's polling, and he ends up with accurate results.

[J. J.]

My mistake, Madonna isn't at Muhlenburg.  Not as great a poll as I thought.

I still wouldn't complain too much about the sample size, or the undecides.

[J. J.]

Can I get this brand in toilet paper?

Not a great poll, but it has a 5.5 MOE.  The Quinnipiac poll probably had a 3.5 MOE.  It is very possible that both polls are saying the thing, 40-43, possibly with a decline over the last fortnight.