nclib
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« on: August 20, 2011, 05:52:48 PM » |
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In each Pres. election this decade (2000, 2004, 2008), NY-15 and NY-16 have been the top two most Democratic districts.
Here is their results going back from 2008:
NY 15 Rangel (D) 93-6 90-9 87-7
NY 16 Serrano (D) 95-5 89-10 92-5
In 2000 and 2008, NY-16 was the most Dem, but in 2004, it was NY-15. Is this just a fluke, or is there a reason for that? In addition to being overwhelmingly Democratic, both are very urban and minority dominated, but NY-15 has a black majority and NY-16 a Puerto Rican majority, which makes it more interesting that NY-16 swung stronger to Obama.
Statistical anomaly, or is anything else happening here?
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