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| | |-+  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderators: Bacon King, Dallasfan65)
| | | |-+  What-if 1980: Anderson/Brown independent ticket!!
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Author Topic: What-if 1980: Anderson/Brown independent ticket!!  (Read 494 times)
defe07
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« on: August 25, 2011, 03:20:54 am »
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Let's assume that John B. Anderson and Jerry Brown do both run in the primaries like in real life. However, Anderson announces he's running for President as an independent and chooses Brown as his running mate. They face Reagan/Bush and Carter/Mondale.

What would a map look like? Electoral Vote total and popular vote? Smiley
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A.G. Snowstalker
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« Reply #1 on: August 25, 2011, 07:32:06 am »
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 Definitely takes more from Carter (though that was the case in 1980, though this is amplified)
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JulioMadrid
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« Reply #2 on: August 25, 2011, 09:11:58 am »
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Reagan wins, easily, but Anderson is 2nd.
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hcallega
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« Reply #3 on: August 25, 2011, 02:59:25 pm »
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Reagan wins, easily, but Anderson is 2nd.

Not likely. Anderson was never in a position to finish above Carter or Reagan, or either. His appeal was heavily limited to more affluent white voters from across the political spectrum. Choosing Brown may help among anti-tax types, but Reagan still has them wrapped up.

It's important to note that until the debates, it was a very close race. Reagan was viewed as an extremist, and Carter was pretty likable. Anderson certainly hurt Carter, but the final tally was more a referendum on Reagan hitting every note in the debates, while the President was miserable.

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JulioMadrid
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« Reply #4 on: August 25, 2011, 10:36:15 pm »
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Reagan wins, easily, but Anderson is 2nd.

Not likely. Anderson was never in a position to finish above Carter or Reagan, or either. His appeal was heavily limited to more affluent white voters from across the political spectrum. Choosing Brown may help among anti-tax types, but Reagan still has them wrapped up.

It's important to note that until the debates, it was a very close race. Reagan was viewed as an extremist, and Carter was pretty likable. Anderson certainly hurt Carter, but the final tally was more a referendum on Reagan hitting every note in the debates, while the President was miserable.



I know Anderson would hardly break 10%, but I wanted to post a "toss-up" map being optimistic with Anderson/Brown Wink
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My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
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