Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 25, 2013, 03:12:35 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Cast your ballot in the 2012 Mock Election!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Election What-ifs?
| | |-+  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Bacon King)
| | | |-+  What-if 1980: Anderson/Brown independent ticket!!
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: What-if 1980: Anderson/Brown independent ticket!!  (Read 422 times)
defe07
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 647


View Profile
« on: August 25, 2011, 03:20:54 am »
Ignore

Let's assume that John B. Anderson and Jerry Brown do both run in the primaries like in real life. However, Anderson announces he's running for President as an independent and chooses Brown as his running mate. They face Reagan/Bush and Carter/Mondale.

What would a map look like? Electoral Vote total and popular vote? Smiley
Logged

A proud Floridian moderate libertarian that believes in small government.
Senator Snowstalker
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11005
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -3.13

View Profile
« Reply #1 on: August 25, 2011, 07:32:06 am »
Ignore

 Definitely takes more from Carter (though that was the case in 1980, though this is amplified)
Logged

Anyway, does it really matter at this point?  I still lost 2 pounds as a result of the 4 sloppy joes. 
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5715
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -8.13, S: -7.13

View Profile
« Reply #2 on: August 25, 2011, 09:11:58 am »
Ignore



Reagan wins, easily, but Anderson is 2nd.
Logged



My evolution:
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13
hcallega
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1539
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -0.70

View Profile
« Reply #3 on: August 25, 2011, 02:59:25 pm »
Ignore



Reagan wins, easily, but Anderson is 2nd.

Not likely. Anderson was never in a position to finish above Carter or Reagan, or either. His appeal was heavily limited to more affluent white voters from across the political spectrum. Choosing Brown may help among anti-tax types, but Reagan still has them wrapped up.

It's important to note that until the debates, it was a very close race. Reagan was viewed as an extremist, and Carter was pretty likable. Anderson certainly hurt Carter, but the final tally was more a referendum on Reagan hitting every note in the debates, while the President was miserable.

Logged

Economic score: -1.74
Social score: -0.78

"Be happy with what you have and are, be generous with both, and you won't have to hunt for happiness."
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5715
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -8.13, S: -7.13

View Profile
« Reply #4 on: August 25, 2011, 10:36:15 pm »
Ignore



Reagan wins, easily, but Anderson is 2nd.

Not likely. Anderson was never in a position to finish above Carter or Reagan, or either. His appeal was heavily limited to more affluent white voters from across the political spectrum. Choosing Brown may help among anti-tax types, but Reagan still has them wrapped up.

It's important to note that until the debates, it was a very close race. Reagan was viewed as an extremist, and Carter was pretty likable. Anderson certainly hurt Carter, but the final tally was more a referendum on Reagan hitting every note in the debates, while the President was miserable.



I know Anderson would hardly break 10%, but I wanted to post a "toss-up" map being optimistic with Anderson/Brown Wink
Logged



My evolution:
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.18 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines
Forums Directory