Which state is more likely to vote for Obama 2
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  Which state is more likely to vote for Obama 2		 « previous next »
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#1
Virginia		  
#2
New Hampshire		  
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Author Topic: Which state is more likely to vote for Obama 2  (Read 763 times)
Snowstalker Mk. II
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« on: August 25, 2011, 04:26:48 PM »
.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: August 25, 2011, 04:34:17 PM »
Depends on the candidate:

Romney: Virginia
Perry: New Hampshire
Bachmann: New Hampshire
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J. J.
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« Reply #2 on: August 25, 2011, 05:27:43 PM »
NH
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Kevin
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« Reply #3 on: August 25, 2011, 07:36:36 PM »
Given the polling I've seen I'd say VA.

But I wouldn't discount NH since on the ground here in VA, I'd say that Obama has lost alot of the appeal he had here 4 years ago.
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redcommander
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« Reply #4 on: August 25, 2011, 08:12:12 PM »
Virginia. New Hampshire swung incredibly hard to the GOP in 2010.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #5 on: August 25, 2011, 10:45:50 PM »
Tough call, as NH is a bit of an odd duck, and has been known to swing weirdly.  The safer bet historically is on VA.
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #6 on: August 26, 2011, 12:34:10 AM »
NH's swings are a bit exaggerated by it being relatively politically homogenous. For instance, Obama won all ten counties despite winning by 10 points, but in states he won by similar or greater margins (e.g NV, NM), he still lost significant numbers of counties. Thus, relatively small popular vote swings may have caused the large swings in the legislature.
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redcommander
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« Reply #7 on: August 26, 2011, 02:39:38 AM »
Quote from: Nichlemn on August 26, 2011, 12:34:10 AM
NH's swings are a bit exaggerated by it being relatively politically homogenous. For instance, Obama won all ten counties despite winning by 10 points, but in states he won by similar or greater margins (e.g NV, NM), he still lost significant numbers of counties. Thus, relatively small popular vote swings may have caused the large swings in the legislature.

True, but his approval rating is also incredibly bad in New Hampshire, while he is still doing somewhat well in Nevada and New Mexico. In Virginia he also does much better in head to head matchups than in New Hampshire.
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© tweed
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« Reply #8 on: August 26, 2011, 09:10:39 AM »
great question.
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #9 on: August 26, 2011, 10:24:26 AM »
New Hampshire.
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Username MechaRFK
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« Reply #10 on: August 26, 2011, 10:38:47 AM »
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #11 on: August 29, 2011, 04:15:22 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on August 25, 2011, 04:34:17 PM
Depends on the candidate:

Romney: Virginia
Perry: New Hampshire
Bachmann: New Hampshire
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