Who will win the GOP Nomination? (user search)
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  Who will win the GOP Nomination? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Who do you HONESTLY THINK will win?
#1
Mitt Romney
 
#2
Rick Perry
 
#3
Michelle Bachmann
 
#4
Ron Paul
 
#5
Herman Cain
 
#6
Jon Huntsman
 
#7
Rick Santorum
 
#8
Newt Gingrich
 
#9
Gary Johnson
 
#10
Thaddeus McCotter
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 84

Author Topic: Who will win the GOP Nomination?  (Read 5687 times)
WillK
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,276


« on: September 03, 2011, 06:18:53 PM »

Definitely RomneyPerry. Republican primary voters, aside from a few cases like DE and NV, are much more pragmatic than people believe. They will ultimately look for who has the best chances of beating Obama, and they'll choose RomneyPerry. I think DemocratsRomney-fans tend to let wishful thinking cloud their judgment when it comes to the GOP primary.

I like the way the statement was constructed, but I disagreed with the choice of names.  So I edited it to show what I think.
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WillK
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,276


« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2011, 07:22:55 PM »

Perry is actually winning the electability argument (amongst GOP primary voters), leaving Romney with???

I expect Romney to try to paint Perry as the career politician while pointing out that he (Romney) only spent 4 years in government, which will unfortunately highlight that Romney's track record of winning elections isn't that great, confusing the so-called electability image of Romney.   
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WillK
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,276


« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2011, 07:53:16 PM »

Perry is actually winning the electability argument (amongst GOP primary voters), leaving Romney with???

I expect Romney to try to paint Perry as the career politician while pointing out that he (Romney) only spent 4 years in government, which will unfortunately highlight that Romney's track record of winning elections isn't that great, confusing the so-called electability image of Romney.   

Not only is Romney's "career politician" attack silly for pointing out how he keeps losing elections. But the other thing is that I think Romney misreads the conservative/tea party mood in that they are more anti-Washington as opposed to anti-politician and Perry is very anti-Washington. Plus the Tea Party are also no fans of Wall Street so I am pretty sure a GOP primary voter will take a Texas Governor over the head of Bain Capital.

Yes.  I had considered adding that Romney will try to claim that rather than winning elections and serving terms in office, he was busy 'creating jobs', leading to the revelation that he was actually in the leveraged buyout business that typically resulted in job losses, not gains, though it did  amass millions for Romney. I think the lack of love for millionaire 'Wall Street' types extends beyond the Tea Party.  The comparisons between Romney and Gordon Gekko are already out there.
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