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Author Topic: 2012 Senatorial Prediction  (Read 2435 times)
Dave Leip
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« on: February 12, 2012, 03:16:19 pm »

The 2012 Senatorial Predictions are now active.
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Odysseus
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« Reply #1 on: February 12, 2012, 03:32:37 pm »
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Thanks Dave! Though I've noticed that the "Predicted Senate Control" only has the current seats and doesn't display the total numbers for the Senate.
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Antonio V
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E: -6.45, S: -4.87

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« Reply #2 on: February 12, 2012, 04:22:26 pm »
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Noticed it too.

Anyways, here is my first take, loking principally at pundit rankings. I'm willingfully overestimating uncertainty, so that extreme scenarioes aren't ruled out too early.





All the tossups going D would result in an unchanged 53/47 dem majority. All the tossups going R would result in republicans taking over with 57 seats.
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HashCAN     americans saw the EP elections and people cringing at Europeans being morons and electing Nazis; so they massively said "NO" and decided to prove that they're still bigger morons



"A reformist is someone who realizes that, when you bang your head on a wall, it's the head that breaks rather than the wall."

Peppino, from the movie Baaria
Miles
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« Reply #3 on: February 12, 2012, 07:12:37 pm »
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Thanks.

It says that Montana is an open seat though.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #4 on: February 12, 2012, 09:28:49 pm »

Thanks Dave! Though I've noticed that the "Predicted Senate Control" only has the current seats and doesn't display the total numbers for the Senate.

Thanks - I needed up update the senate database for 2012 - now updated to include control prediction data.

Enjoy,
Dave
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #5 on: February 12, 2012, 09:33:53 pm »

Thanks.

It says that Montana is an open seat though.

Thanks - That was an error - don't know how it snuck in, but now corrected.
Enjoy,
Dave
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thrillr1111
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« Reply #6 on: June 24, 2012, 08:54:19 pm »
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nd -dem
fl-dem
in-rep
tx-rep
ca-dem
mn-dem
mo-dem
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