2012 Republican Primary Predictions

[HoldCongressAccountable]

Dave,
This alas desperately needs to be updated!
ht.../PRED/PRESIDENT/2012R/pred.php
Michelle Bachmann is gone, Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum should be included for a short time at least.
What do you think?

[Hatman]

Argh, I wanted to change my prediction to Romney >30%, but it's already been locked

[Jayhawker]

Looks like I will be continuing on my quest for a perfect prediction map. I was one of 23, but I'd bet a couple had Romney at 40%. If this is a 50-state sweep like some suspect, it now comes down to a battle of which of us can nail %'s the best.

[Odysseus]

"Predictions are now closed"

Uhh what?

[Ѕenator Αverroës]

"Predictions are now closed"

Uhh what?

I hope this is just for the color update; for some reason, my prediction map is screwed up such that I now have Cain predicted as the winner for both OH and ND rather than Santorum. Don't know if this is a side-effect of the change or a careless mistake for which I am at fault.

[Odysseus]

"Predictions are now closed"

Uhh what?

I hope this is just for the color update; for some reason, my prediction map is screwed up such that I now have Cain predicted as the winner for both OH and ND rather than Santorum. Don't know if this is a side-effect of the change or a careless mistake for which I am at fault.

I had this problem earlier, except with Bachmann. Now my colors updated on my map but I still can't update my map at all.

[OC]

Now, maybe the moderators can open up the Senate and Governor predictions of 2012.

[Odysseus]

Predictions seem to be back up - thanks for the changes Dave!

[MIKESOWELL]

Great thread.

[Dave Leip]

Hi,
I've made the color changes in the Predictions for 2012 Republican primary - this was arduous and is not complete.  What was done:
Gingrich changed from beige/brown to blue on all maps after 11/10/2011
Perry changed from blue to beige/brown on all maps after 11/10/2011
Bachman changed from orange to a steel gray on all maps after 11/10/2011

Santorum changed to orange on all users' most-recent maps (since Santorum and Cain were both purple, prior to the most recent maps, I was unable to make a blanket change on the maps).

Still left to do: update Gingrich, Perry, and Bachman for maps prior to 11/10/2011.

If you would like to update your historic maps for Santorum to Orange, you can do these manually yourself by downloading the maps to your computer and changing the colors in an image software (I use Graphic Converter on the mac) and re-save in the same png format, then if you email me the files, I'll upload them for you.

Thanks,
Dave

[Dave Leip]

Hi,
Intermediate scores have been updated on the 2012 Republican Primary predictions.
Enjoy,
Dave

[Harry Hayfield]

Hi,
Intermediate scores have been updated on the 2012 Republican Primary predictions.
Enjoy,
Dave

I still think you really need to address the issue of Iowa and it's scoring. I and several other people have all said that Santorum and Romney state wins should garner one point and Paul state wins should garner half a point

[Odysseus]

Accuracy: 107%

Whaaa?