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|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Election What-ifs?
| | |-+  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderators: Gamba Kufu, Apocrypha)
| | | |-+  2016: Sebelius/Huntsman vs. Perry/Romney
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Author Topic: 2016: Sebelius/Huntsman vs. Perry/Romney  (Read 906 times)
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« on: September 15, 2011, 11:06:47 am »

Obama is defeated in 2012 by Perry/Romney.

In 2016, unemployement at 7.5%, Afghanistan war hasn't finished, China is the 1st economy of the World.
Sebelius chooses Huntsman as the VP candidate, to appeal to moderates. Do you think there would be a more progressive candidate in the ballot? If yes, who?
Guess Perry approvals, and maps, please Wink

My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
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« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2011, 12:12:20 pm »

Here's a starting point for debate:

334-201-3 (Sebelius-Perry-Kucinich)


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« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2011, 11:57:29 pm »

A Sebellius candidacy would have a serious downside - she is the Obamacare czar, that's how most of the country knows her. She'll get the blame for Obamacare's implementation problems while Obama will get the credit for any good it does because people still have a favorable personal opinion of him that they never developed for her.  If Huntsman were to somehow join the ticket with her after all he's said against the policy and regulation in general, he loses credibility. Conservative KS and UT go for Perry, NC and MO probably too. She's not the draw among minorities as Obama was, even if the TP talk scares em a little. Perry's comments on social security might scare voters in states with large old populations like FL and PA, but so too would Sebellius' connection to HHS rationing and medicare cuts (real or imagined).
I think Huntsman is much more likely as a third party candidate than on a ticket with Sebellius, because I see an opening here in the center.

but assuming just Sebellius v Perry

« Last Edit: September 17, 2011, 12:02:40 am by yeoman shua »Logged
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