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|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Election What-ifs?
| | |-+  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Bacon King)
| | | |-+  2016: Sebelius/Huntsman vs. Perry/Romney
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Author Topic: 2016: Sebelius/Huntsman vs. Perry/Romney  (Read 559 times)
JulioMadrid
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« on: September 15, 2011, 11:06:47 am »
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Obama is defeated in 2012 by Perry/Romney.

In 2016, unemployement at 7.5%, Afghanistan war hasn't finished, China is the 1st economy of the World.
Sebelius chooses Huntsman as the VP candidate, to appeal to moderates. Do you think there would be a more progressive candidate in the ballot? If yes, who?
Guess Perry approvals, and maps, please Wink
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My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
Miles
MilesC56
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E: 0.26, S: 6.26

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« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2011, 12:12:20 pm »
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Here's a starting point for debate:

334-201-3 (Sebelius-Perry-Kucinich)

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shua
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E: 2.06, S: -4.52

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« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2011, 11:57:29 pm »
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A Sebellius candidacy would have a serious downside - she is the Obamacare czar, that's how most of the country knows her. She'll get the blame for Obamacare's implementation problems while Obama will get the credit for any good it does because people still have a favorable personal opinion of him that they never developed for her.  If Huntsman were to somehow join the ticket with her after all he's said against the policy and regulation in general, he loses credibility. Conservative KS and UT go for Perry, NC and MO probably too. She's not the draw among minorities as Obama was, even if the TP talk scares em a little. Perry's comments on social security might scare voters in states with large old populations like FL and PA, but so too would Sebellius' connection to HHS rationing and medicare cuts (real or imagined).
I think Huntsman is much more likely as a third party candidate than on a ticket with Sebellius, because I see an opening here in the center.

but assuming just Sebellius v Perry


276-262
« Last Edit: September 17, 2011, 12:02:40 am by yeoman shua »Logged

  

" But freedom to differ is not limited to things that do not matter much. That would be a mere shadow of freedom. The test of its substance is the right to differ as to things that touch the heart of the existing order."
- Justice Robert Jackson WV SBE v Barnette
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