National Tracking Poll Thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 10:40:42 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  National Tracking Poll Thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 32 33 34 35 36 [37] 38 39 40 41 42 ... 77
Author Topic: National Tracking Poll Thread  (Read 308338 times)
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #900 on: October 06, 2012, 12:42:39 PM »

Yes, that "shine" better start packing his bags right now.

WTF does shine mean, I assume it's a southern derogatory term for blacks but what is the meaning behind it?


Yes, it was from racist poem cited in Gates' Colored People.  We don't use it, in general, even in my neighborhood.  
Logged
minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,207
India


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #901 on: October 06, 2012, 12:43:56 PM »

Yes, that "shine" better start packing his bags right now.

WTF does shine mean, I assume it's a southern derogatory term for blacks but is the meaning behind it?

Quote from: Restricted
You must be logged in to read this quote.
And the source they give for that etymology is... Urban Dictionary. lol. Mind you, it'd be one of my two first guesses, so...



Goddam Ninjas.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #902 on: October 06, 2012, 12:44:08 PM »

I really wouldn't expect much of a bounce for Obama based on the jobs report but I seriously doubt Romney's debate bounce will last very long.
Logged
Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,203
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #903 on: October 06, 2012, 12:47:43 PM »

I really wouldn't expect much of a bounce for Obama based on the jobs report but I seriously doubt Romney's debate bounce will last very long.
I'm not saying a bounce, I'm just saying that the Pro-Romney samples will start dropping out in the next day or two and some that have heard about the jobs report will replace them, which is good news for the President.
Logged
opebo
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 47,010


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #904 on: October 06, 2012, 01:00:11 PM »

What you're all posting about polling technicalities is no doubt true.. I just think my thesis fits the electorate better.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #905 on: October 06, 2012, 01:01:50 PM »

I really wouldn't expect much of a bounce for Obama based on the jobs report but I seriously doubt Romney's debate bounce will last very long.
I'm not saying a bounce, I'm just saying that the Pro-Romney samples will start dropping out in the next day or two and some that have heard about the jobs report will replace them, which is good news for the President.

The jobs report was partly in this sample (about a third).
Logged
opebo
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 47,010


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #906 on: October 06, 2012, 01:03:03 PM »

I really wouldn't expect much of a bounce for Obama based on the jobs report but I seriously doubt Romney's debate bounce will last very long.
I'm not saying a bounce, I'm just saying that the Pro-Romney samples will start dropping out in the next day or two and some that have heard about the jobs report will replace them, which is good news for the President.

The jobs report was partly in this sample (about a third).

The jobs report won't make any difference with white swing voters now.
Logged
Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,203
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #907 on: October 06, 2012, 01:08:11 PM »
« Edited: October 06, 2012, 01:27:03 PM by Clinton1996 "Sec. of Explaining Stuff" »

I really wouldn't expect much of a bounce for Obama based on the jobs report but I seriously doubt Romney's debate bounce will last very long.
I'm not saying a bounce, I'm just saying that the Pro-Romney samples will start dropping out in the next day or two and some that have heard about the jobs report will replace them, which is good news for the President.
The jobs report was partly in this sample (about a third).
Exactly, which means it might be negating a larger Romney bounce.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #908 on: October 06, 2012, 01:25:20 PM »


Exactly, which means it might be negating a larger Romney bounce.



Well, if this is the "negated bounce," Obama is in big trouble.
Logged
Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,203
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #909 on: October 06, 2012, 01:28:12 PM »


Exactly, which means it might be negating a larger Romney bounce.



Well, if this is the "negated bounce," Obama is in big trouble.
A two point lead isn't trouble. Romney nearly always has a two point lead in Rasmussen.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #910 on: October 06, 2012, 01:38:20 PM »


Exactly, which means it might be negating a larger Romney bounce.



Well, if this is the "negated bounce," Obama is in big trouble.
A two point lead isn't trouble. Romney nearly always has a two point lead in Rasmussen.

First, no he didn't.  Second, if this poll includes "good news" and Obama is still slipping, it is really bad.
Logged
Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #911 on: October 06, 2012, 03:05:30 PM »

Reuters

Obama-47(+1)
Romney-45(+1)
Logged
sobo
Rookie
**
Posts: 80


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #912 on: October 06, 2012, 03:28:49 PM »

Per the internals, 75% of the interviews happened after the debates.

http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=12055
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #913 on: October 06, 2012, 03:42:23 PM »

Thank god, the erosion may be stopping. Romney is still the favorite though. I'm dreading PPP's Wisconsin numbers tonight.
Logged
Small Business Owner of Any Repute
Mr. Moderate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,431
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #914 on: October 06, 2012, 03:49:55 PM »


Your candidate lost when he decided canceling 'Sesame Street' would be a good idea.

Get over it.

Nobody wants to go into debt to fund Big Bird.

The most popular method with which people donate to PBS during pledge drives? Credit card. So it appears that adding debt to pay for quality, non-corporate, safe, educational entertainment for your children is indeed worth borrowing for. It provides a much better return on investment than borrowing trillions on a war most Americans were never sold on in the first place.
Logged
Oakvale
oakvale
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,827
Ukraine
Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #915 on: October 06, 2012, 03:55:54 PM »

Thank god, the erosion may be stopping. Romney is still the favorite though. I'm dreading PPP's Wisconsin numbers tonight.

Calm down, Lief, we've been here before - Wisconsin was within a point or so after the Ryan pick. Wink
Logged
Reds4
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 789


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #916 on: October 06, 2012, 03:56:41 PM »

Hard to say that Romney is the favorite at this point. Obama still clearly the favorite.

Thank god, the erosion may be stopping. Romney is still the favorite though. I'm dreading PPP's Wisconsin numbers tonight.
Logged
Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #917 on: October 06, 2012, 04:23:12 PM »

RAND

Obama: 49.18 (-0.69)
Romney: 44.75 (+0.76)
Logged
Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,612
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #918 on: October 06, 2012, 04:27:56 PM »

Has there been one credible poll that shows the race has shifted in Romney's favor? I don't think it's changed dramatically at all.
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #919 on: October 06, 2012, 04:28:55 PM »

So it seems, Friday was a very strong Romney sample on Ras and Gallup, there was a big drop on Rueters, but it looks like Obama might be stabilising on that... and Rand remains positive for the president...

As I said in the other thread, I think we'll get a decent picture of what sort of genuine 'bounce' Romney had until early-Mid next week...
Logged
Oakvale
oakvale
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,827
Ukraine
Political Matrix
E: -0.77, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #920 on: October 06, 2012, 04:29:59 PM »

The thing is, I'm really not all that sure that any movement for Romney (and he was going to get some anyway) is going to be significant as opposed to a temporary bounce.
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #921 on: October 06, 2012, 04:34:10 PM »

That's the issue that we'll need time to assess...
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #922 on: October 06, 2012, 11:28:25 PM »


Your candidate lost when he decided canceling 'Sesame Street' would be a good idea.

Get over it.

Nobody wants to go into debt to fund Big Bird.

The most popular method with which people donate to PBS during pledge drives? Credit card. So it appears that adding debt to pay for quality, non-corporate, safe, educational entertainment for your children is indeed worth borrowing for. It provides a much better return on investment than borrowing trillions on a war most Americans were never sold on in the first place.

And they pay their bills. 
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #923 on: October 07, 2012, 08:47:48 AM »

Rasmussen:

Romney:  49, u

Obama:  47, u

Interestingly, Obama approval is at 50/49 (u).
Logged
afleitch
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,838


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #924 on: October 07, 2012, 08:57:40 AM »

That's good news. The first post debate sample will drop off tommorow.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 32 33 34 35 36 [37] 38 39 40 41 42 ... 77  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.059 seconds with 14 queries.