National Tracking Poll Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: National Tracking Poll Thread  (Read 309506 times)
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 27, 2012, 04:31:46 AM »


with party id D +6 and whites at 70 %

Romney leads independents by 12.

I don't buy a Obama lead in Ohio with this result at national level.

I do if Romney's lead in the South is big enough.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,321
United Kingdom


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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2012, 10:07:42 AM »

RAND Poll

Obama- 50.93%(+.37)

Romney- 44.58%(-.06)

Obama is at his highest total yet, forget Rasmussen.

lol no. Ras was right in 2004 and 2008.

Rasmussen was massively off in 2010
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,321
United Kingdom


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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2012, 11:49:33 AM »

While I still hope Obama will eek out a small PV win, I would bet money on a split.

Yeah, I believe in the end it will be a 1968 like result: an ultra-narrow PV win but a rather comfortable EV win.

I agree.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,321
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« Reply #3 on: October 29, 2012, 07:24:01 AM »

BREAKING: IDB/TIPP POLLING SUSPENDED INDEFINITELY DUE TO HURRICANE SANDY

They all need to follow suit. National polling is going to be useless for the next week imo.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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United Kingdom


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« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2012, 05:28:31 PM »

What Democrats think Obama is a lock to win? I certainly don't.

Favorite? Probably. Lock? No way.

Close to lock, but by no means a certainty. I'd say this race is Lean Obama.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,321
United Kingdom


WWW
« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2012, 05:38:36 PM »

Remember the national polls are missing the Northeast right now.

Not that much of now, I'd say.
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