National Tracking Poll Thread

[Torie]

http://www.tipponline.com/presidency/news/presidency/race-tightens-obama-lead-over-romney-narrows-to-3-points

Investor's Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP Poll


Registered Voters. Of course they ended up with a D+7 electorate.


46%  Democrat Barack Obama
43%  Republican Mitt Romney

Hispanics
Obama 80%
Romney 12%

2004 Exit Poll Hispanics
Kerry 55%
Bush 44%

Not a good poll, but that performance ain't gonna cut it.

Except that the real Bush number was more like 38% rather than 44%.

[Torie]

Has this Gallup poll been noticed that has the race closing from a five point Obama lead to dead even?

[Torie]

Haha, Gallup's crappy poll is saved by the bell. Good decision though.

Maybe Dick Morris can help you through some of your Gallup grumpiness Eraserhead.  It's almost morning in America!

[Torie]

Most polls do not weigh based on Party ID. They weigh on things like race, age, etc. Things that are not fluid and do not wildly fluctuate from week to week, month to month.

Gallup, for the third year in a row, will prove to be a joke once again this year.

You caught that eh?  Very good. However, the thing is, is that nobody really knows the demographic shape of who will vote either. That too is a guesstimate. So the grand thing is, is that nobody really knows, and that almost anything could happen. Don't you just love the suspense?

[Torie]

Torie, your argument is valid, but its not going to help because most on this forum believe Obama has this all sown up and that it would take hell to freeze over for Romney to win.  True, there are a few Republicans who think the exact opposite, but far more Democrats think Obama has this in the bag and they refuse to call each other out.

As for me, I think Obama will win, but by no means does he have this in the bag.

Well if the unthinkable for so many apparently actually happens, we will need to remember to be good Christians, and minister to their aches and pains and angst with empathy and compassion then. Does Atlasia have a "first aid" station?

[Torie]

Torie, your argument is valid, but its not going to help because most on this forum believe Obama has this all sown up and that it would take hell to freeze over for Romney to win.  True, there are a few Republicans who think the exact opposite, but far more Democrats think Obama has this in the bag and they refuse to call each other out.

As for me, I think Obama will win, but by no means does he have this in the bag.

Well if the unthinkable for so many apparently actually happens, we will need to remember to be good Christians, and minister to their aches and pains and angst with empathy and compassion then. Does Atlasia have a "first aid" station?

So you think the mormon will be able to get anything done? Especially tough things like cutting Medicare or Social Security? People get pissed at the cost controls already in place, imagine what happens when the program gets watered down even more, and by a non-christian no less!

Oh, I think whomever is elected is going to have an absolutely miserable time, as the just massive disconnect between campaign rhetoric and reality (of which both campaigns are totally and absolutely guilty) slowly percolates into the minds of the masses. They are in for a rude shock whomever is elected - and they won't be happy. They will feel like they were lied to actually.

[Torie]

Want to bet that Scotty will show Obama inching ahead in the next couple of days so that he can tell after Tuesday that he got right the final result and preserve his reputation?

He does it every year........

Except at least in 2008apparently. So a couple of red avatars tell us.