National Tracking Poll Thread

[Tender Branson]

46% - Obama
39% - Perry

46% - Obama
33% - Bachmann

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/2012_presidential_matchups

[Tender Branson]

Sep 18-19, 2011

44% - Obama
41% - Romney

Sep 16-17, 2011

43% Obama
35% Huntsman

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/2012_presidential_matchups

[Tender Branson]

Obama is further increasing his lead against Bachmann:

48% Obama
32% Bachmann

85% of Democrats favors Obama, while just 59% of Republicans support Bachmann.  Among voters not affiliated with either political party, Obama posts a 42% to 31% lead over the congresswoman.

The president holds a double-digit advantage over Bachmann among both male and female voters.  She trails badly among voters under 40 but is more competitive among older voters.

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 20-21, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/2012_presidential_matchups

[Tender Branson]

New Obama/Perry poll:

44% Obama
38% Perry

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/2012_presidential_matchups

[Tender Branson]

We get it. Obama would beat both Perry and Bachmann pretty easily. Why does Scott continue to poll them all the time?

Maybe he'll start a daily tracking poll soon ...

It seems he already started a weekly tracking poll.

[Tender Branson]

Sep 24-25, 2011:

44% Obama
34% Paul

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/2012_presidential_matchups

[Tender Branson]

44% Romney
42% Obama
  8% Others
  7% Undecided

44% Obama
43% Christie
  6% Others
  8% Undecided

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on September 28-29, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/2012_presidential_matchups

[Tender Branson]

Obama vs. Perry is now 43-37.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/2012_presidential_matchups

[Tender Branson]

45% Obama
34% Frothy Mix

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/2012_presidential_matchups

[Tender Branson]

Obama 42%, Cain 39%

[Tender Branson]

Obama 43%, Romney 41%

[Tender Branson]

Obama 49% Perry 35%

[Tender Branson]

Obama 49%, Gingrich 34%

[Tender Branson]

Cain now trails by 6.

44-38

[Tender Branson]

Obama 39%, Huntsman 32%

[Tender Branson]

Obama 45%, Perry 38%

[Tender Branson]

Obama 44%, Paul 35%

In the latest matchup with Paul, Obama draws support from 84% of Democrats, while the Texan is favored by just 64% of voters in his party. Among voters not affiliated with either major political party, the president leads 44% to 34%.

Obama holds a 21-point lead over Paul among female voters.  Paul edges the president by three points among male voters.

The president leads among voters in every age group but holds a two-to-one lead among those under 30.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/2012_presidential_matchups

[Tender Branson]

Obama 44%, Gingrich 38%

11% prefer some other candidate, and 6% are undecided. Gingrich leads the president by four points among male voters but trails by 16 among female voters. Obama leads among voters in all age groups except retirees.

While Gingrich has the support of 73% of Republican voters, the president has the backing of 86% of Democrats and holds a six-point lead – 41% to 35% - among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties. In terms of voter income, Gingrich’s support is higher among those who earn more than $60,000 per year.

[Tender Branson]

50% Obama
38% Grinch

This marks Obama's best showing in recent weeks against any of the GOP presidential contenders.

In the latest matchup with Gingrich, Obama posts double-digit leads among both male voters (53% to 39%) and female voters (48% to 37%).

Among voters not affiliated with either political party, Obama holds a 46% to 37% advantage.

Most blacks (95%) and voters of other races (61%) support Obama, while white voters prefer Gingrich by four points.

Obama holds a three-point lead among homeowners but leads by more than a three-to-one-margin among non-homeowners.  Most gun owners support Gingrich, while the president leads among those who do not own a gun.

[Tender Branson]

PENNSYLVANIA:

45% Generic Republican
42% Obama

Just 48% of Likely Voters in the state approve of the way that the president is performing his job, while 51% disapprove, according to new Rasmussen Reports polling data. Those figures include 19% who Strongly Approve and 39% who Strongly Disapprove, giving the president an Approval Index rating of -20.

The president trails by 15 points among white voters in Pennsylvania. Scott Rasmussen explains that “the most important demographic in the nation to watch are white working class Democrats. They voted for Hillary Clinton over Barack Obama in the 2008 Democratic primaries, for President Obama in the general election and for Republicans in 2010.”

Only 14% of voters in Pennsylvania believe the country is generally heading in the right direction. Seventy-seven percent (77%) say the nation has gotten off on the wrong track. Again, those numbers are similar to the national average.

Most Pennsylvania voters (51%) name the economy as the most important issue for the upcoming election. Twenty percent (20%) say their top priority is fiscal policy issues such as taxes and government spending, while 14% name domestic issues such as Social Security and health care. Just six percent (6%) view national security issues as the top priority, while cultural issues such as same-sex marriage and abortion are most important for three percent (3%).

The number considering fiscal policy issues as most important is higher than in Ohio or Florida.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/pennsylvania/election_2012_pennsylvania_generic_presidential_ballot

[Tender Branson]

Obama 45%, Bachmann 33%

President Obama holds a 42% to 37% advantage over Bachmann among men and a 49% to 30% lead among women.

Bachmann draws support from just 65% of Republican voters, while Obama is favored by 82% of Democrats. In fact, one in five GOP voters (20%) opts for a third-party candidate in a Bachmann-Obama matchup. Among voters not affiliated with either political party, Obama leads the congresswoman 45% to 26%.

Voters under the age of 40 support the president, while Bachmann holds a modest advantage among older voters.  Most black voters (93%) and voters of other races (59%) favor Obama, while white voters are evenly divided on which candidate they support. 

[Tender Branson]

North Carolina:

Generic Republican 44%, Obama 42%

Just 46% of North Carolina voters approve of the way that the president is performing his job, while 52% disapprove. Those figures include 27% who Strongly Approve and 43% who Strongly Disapprove, giving the president an Approval Index rating of -16. Those numbers are broadly similar to Obama's national job approval ratings, confirming North Carolina’s role as a swing state for 2012. The importance of North Carolina to the White House was highlighted by the decision to select Charlotte as the site for the Democratic National Convention.

The survey of 500 Likely Voters in North Carolina was derived from nightly presidential tracking poll surveys conducted October 19-November 17, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

Twenty percent (20%) of voters in the Tar Heel State believe the country is generally heading in the right direction. Seventy-four percent (74%) say the nation has gotten off on the wrong track. Again, those numbers are similar to the national average and states like Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio.

Most North Carolina voters (51%) name the economy as the most important issue for the upcoming election. Fifteen percent (15%) say their top priority is fiscal policy issues such as taxes and government spending, while another 15% cite domestic issues such as Social Security and health care. Cultural issues such as same-sex marriage and abortion are most important for five percent (5%). Just four percent (4%) view national security issues as most important.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/north_carolina/election_2012_north_carolina_generic_presidential_ballot

[Tender Branson]

Gingrich 45% Obama 43%

"Gingrich currently attracts 79% of the Republican vote in a match-up against Obama. The former House Speaker also leads by 18 points among unaffiliated voters. The president is supported by 90% of Democrats."

Ok ...

[Tender Branson]

Romney 45%, Obama 42%

Obama 43%, Paul 35%

[Tender Branson]

For KP:

Obama 47%, Santorum 37%