National Tracking Poll Thread

[AmericanNation]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html

FOX News                   4/9 - 4/11            910 RV   44   46   Romney +2
Rasmussen Tracking   4/10 - 4/12        1500 LV   44   48   Romney +4

I thought it would take longer than 2 days for Romney to overtake the president.

[AmericanNation]

So you think it will average a PUSH ?? with Romney trending ahead? Still, these polls are only catching part of the last two days momentum.  I wonder how much legs this run will have.  The upside is the state polls will probably start to catch up to the reality that this is now a general election.   

[AmericanNation]

I know what your thinking, but it is actually likely that other parts of the country would break toward Romney more/faster than NC.  This isn't Bush who would distort 'Dixie'/'Tidewater' toward him more/faster.   

[AmericanNation]

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney earning 50% of the vote and President Obama attracting 43% support. Four percent (4%) would vote for a third party candidate, while another three percent (3%) are undecided.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

RAS just lost any creditabilty It might have had left.If you trully believe Romney Is up by 7
I have a mansion to sell you.

Is that 7 points a product of the gay marriage evolution?
I don't think it's a big deal, but it moves the needle.  Particularly in places like NC, VA, OH, etc.     

[AmericanNation]

Did anyone expect the disappointed voters for Santorum, Gingrich, or Perry to break toward President Obama? Republicans who might have heard their preachers rail against Mormonism as a horrible heresy now are getting accustomed to the prospect of a Mormon as President.

The 9% difference on economic stewardship is shaky. The Republicans would like us to forget Dubya -- but Romney has nothing to offer except the Bush II agenda without a real-estate boom. It's all tax cuts, gutting of unions, and regulatory relief on behalf of a few plutocrats.  

Don't forget that Mitt Romney is an empty suit on foreign policy. If he tries to run to the Right of President Obama on foreign policy he is easily cast as an extremist.  

Right, Romney is an empty suit and Obama is...  O wait, you shouldn't attack a guy for being better than the other guy.     

[AmericanNation]

Thursday, July 26, 2012

Mitt Romney          48%
President Obama  44%
other candidate      4%
undecided               5%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[AmericanNation]

...This looks like 1980, with Romney as Reagan.  Given the embassy news and how it perfectly highlights BOs failed foreign policy (which was flying under the radar until now) Romney will start pulling ahead shortly and stay there.     

[AmericanNation]

Romney is getting rocked pretty much everywhere over his bizarre comments.

If by "everywhere" you mean the press corps.  Nothing bizarre about the comments so none of the spin will stick.  They might have successfully erased the golden moment where Mitt looked super presidential at a critical moment 12 hours before the president did anything.  Hard to say on that.      

[AmericanNation]

Pew Poll

Romney 49
Obama  45

Pew is usually messed up, but rarely in favor of Rs. 

[AmericanNation]

Rasmussen Swing State Tracking Poll:

Romney 49 (+2)
Obama 47 (-2)

That methodology is really bad.

How so?

Lumping all the "swing states" together.

It is interesting that Obama won all 11 states in 08 and the margin was like 53-46, outside of that pretty much useless.