How many white Democrats will be in the House from the South after 2012?

[Donerail]

Do you not consider Kentucky or West Virginia to be southern?

From the Georgian perspective:



And Barrow's gone. But in gutting Barrow like they did, they've opened Kingston up to some future vulnerability. Kingston's in a district where Republicans are now just a little less than 55% of the voting bloc. A good candidate could take the seat. Coastal Georgia's Republicans are more moderate, northern types. The interior is all Dixie, though.

I can assure you that, having been to all three, North Florida/FL Panhandle is at least as southern as, say, Tennessee or Kentucky. The South ends at around I-4; north of that, it's definitely South at least, possibly Deep, and south of that, it's really not.

[Donerail]

Do you not consider Kentucky or West Virginia to be southern?

From the Georgian perspective:



And Barrow's gone. But in gutting Barrow like they did, they've opened Kingston up to some future vulnerability. Kingston's in a district where Republicans are now just a little less than 55% of the voting bloc. A good candidate could take the seat. Coastal Georgia's Republicans are more moderate, northern types. The interior is all Dixie, though.

I can assure you that, having been to all three, North Florida/FL Panhandle is at least as southern as, say, Tennessee or Kentucky. The South ends at around I-4; north of that, it's definitely South at least, possibly Deep, and south of that, it's really not.

There are pockets of the North- Gainesville which is about 15 min east of my house (I am just east of Newberry) is very liberal due to the school over there. Trenton (about 30 min west of me) is as rural and conservative as it gets- one traffic light in the whole county

But you're right that North Florida is mostly very culturally Southern

I've always seen Gainesville and Tallahassee as sorta like Asheville or Austin or Atlanta-politically liberal and culturally southern. The line, IMO, starts around the north edge of Citrus County and sorta goes down at a 45 degree angle till it hits Lake O, then flattens out until it hits the Atlantic around Fort Pierce. St. Pete, Tampa, Sarasota, Ft. Lauderdale, West Palm, and Miami are south of it, and Melbourne, Sanford, Apopka, Orlando, Gainesville, Daytona, Jacksonville, Tallahassee are north.

[Donerail]

As few as seven, as many as thirteen.This is the last we will see of John Barrow.



TENNESSEE: two
Steve Cohen should be back. If Jim Cooper could survive 2010, he can survive 2012. I'm not aware of any significant changes in their state's redistricting.

Cooper's district is mainly based in Nashville though and Nashville is liberal politically I have heard. Maybe because all those country music superstars live there.

Government, unis, motor workers. Those country superstars are the handful of Dem voters in the otherwise uber-R exurbs of Nashville.

A lot of country music stars are Republican, though I have no clue as to what percentage.

There's been talk of Tim McGraw running for Senate as a Democrat against Bob Corker. Other than that, there's this: http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=105x6197129.