Will anyone besides Perry and Romney win a state?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Georgia seemed like the most likely exception but Perry = Cain + Gingrich in the latest poll I found there.

[Mehmentum]

Perhaps minnesota and maybe Iowa for Bachmann.

[I Am Feeblepizza.]

Minnesota and maybe Wisconsin or North Dakota might go for Bachmann.

[Thomas D]

Nope. Bachmann will drop out after Iowa. And from there it's a two man race.

[MyRescueKittehRocks]

Nope. Bachmann will drop out after Iowa. And from there it's a two man race.

Paul will win a few states. This one is going to the convention.

[Bull Moose Base]

Doesn't look like it.  What's the closest Bachmann's been in IA since Perry got in?

[Yelnoc]

Nope. Bachmann will drop out after Iowa. And from there it's a two man race.

Paul will win a few states. This one is going to the convention.

I would bet everything I own that you're wrong.

[RogueBeaver]

Unless a miracle happens for Bachmann in Iowa, not happening. Even if she ran an Iowa-only campaign like McCain did twice in NH it wouldn't harm Perry because his Southern base is secure.

[tmthforu94]

Unless a miracle happens for Bachmann in Iowa, not happening. Even if she ran an Iowa-only campaign like McCain did twice in NH it wouldn't harm Perry because his Southern base is secure.

I dunno. Perry needs Iowa for momentum. Sure, he'll probably be winning South Carolina regardless, but he needs momentum from both of these state's to win in Florida. It's hard to comment too much on the scenario, though, without a certain primary calender.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Paul will win Nevada, and Montana, but otherwise, its Perry vs Romney.

[bgwah]

In the 2008 Washington caucus, despite being the clear front-runner by the time the state voted, McCain only won Washington with 26%. Huckabee was 2nd with 24% and Paul was in third with 22%. I doubt Paul will win the state, but it's a possibility worth mentioning.

[Averroës Nix]

Paul will win Nevada, and Montana, but otherwise, its Perry vs Romney.

Romney beat Paul 51-15 in the Nevada caucuses and 38-25 in the Montana caucuses. We have every reason to expect Romney's ground game in the caucus states to be just as good. Moreover, I would guess that some 2008 Paul voters might support Perry (their other options in '08 were Huckabee and McCain, after all), especially if its a close Romney-Perry race.  What makes you think that Paul will improve his results in these states?

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Paul will win Nevada, and Montana, but otherwise, its Perry vs Romney.

Romney beat Paul 51-15 in the Nevada caucuses and 38-25 in the Montana caucuses. We have every reason to expect Romney's ground game in the caucus states to be just as good. Moreover, I would guess that some 2008 Paul voters might support Perry (their other options in '08 were Huckabee and McCain, after all), especially if its a close Romney-Perry race.  What makes you think that Paul will improve his results in these states?

Paul supporters from 2008 would turn to Huntsman, or even Romney before they go to Perry. Paul performed well in Nevada, and Montana. Perry is basically the stronger version of Huckabee in 2008, and will be what Romney was to McCain in 2008.

[anvi]

Can't say for sure at this point.  If some kind of unforeseen events transpire or some scandal erupts, that could shake things up.  But at the moment it looks like a two man race, so I'll say "no" at this juncture.  

[Averroës Nix]

Paul supporters from 2008 would turn to Huntsman, or even Romney before they go to Perry. Paul performed well in Nevada, and Montana. Perry is basically the stronger version of Huckabee in 2008, and will be what Romney was to McCain in 2008.

You could be right, but I've always considered Perry closer to Paul than Huckabee. He's well-positioned to take advantage of the antipathy toward the federal government that earned Paul many votes in 2008.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Paul supporters from 2008 would turn to Huntsman, or even Romney before they go to Perry. Paul performed well in Nevada, and Montana. Perry is basically the stronger version of Huckabee in 2008, and will be what Romney was to McCain in 2008.

You could be right, but I've always considered Perry closer to Paul than Huckabee. He's well-positioned to take advantage of the antipathy toward the federal government that earned Paul many votes in 2008.

True, and the more moderate States Rights crowd will support him, but I cannot see Perry getting too many ex Paul votes. Perry's positions on Hillarycare and Immigration will hurt him. Paul will perform his best in this election.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Paul supporters from 2008 would turn to Huntsman, or even Romney before they go to Perry. Paul performed well in Nevada, and Montana. Perry is basically the stronger version of Huckabee in 2008, and will be what Romney was to McCain in 2008.

You could be right, but I've always considered Perry closer to Paul than Huckabee. He's well-positioned to take advantage of the antipathy toward the federal government that earned Paul many votes in 2008.

True, and the more moderate States Rights crowd will support him, but I cannot see Perry getting too many ex Paul votes. Perry's positions on Hillarycare and Immigration will hurt him. Paul will perform his best in this election.

In 2008, Paul was to the Right of the establishment on immigration. Now, except for birthright citizenship, he is to the Left.

[RI]

Bachmann could win Minnesota if only because it is a very early caucus state (Feb 7).

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Dr. Paul may win a state or two.

[Eraserhead]

I could see Paul winning Montana or some oddball state like that. Otherwise, I kind of doubt it.