Predict Q3 fundraising numbers
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Author Topic: Predict Q3 fundraising numbers  (Read 2346 times)
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #25 on: October 01, 2011, 05:27:43 PM »

57 Mio. - Obama

15 Mio. - Romney
11.5 Mio. - Perry
6.5 Mio. - Paul
4 Mio. - Bachmann
3.5 Mio. - Cain
2.5 Mio. - Huntsman
2 Mio. - Gingrich
1 Mio. - Santorum
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Averroës Nix
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« Reply #26 on: October 05, 2011, 12:30:32 PM »
« Edited: October 15, 2011, 04:43:09 PM by Averroës Nix »

With more news on Perry, Romney, and Paul, I'm bumping this.

What we think we know so far, and what we guessed:

Perry - 17.2

Wonkish - 18
M. Mike - 18
T. Branson - 15
A-Bob - 11.5
A. Nix - 12

Romney -14.2

A. Nix  - 15
A-Bob - 15
Wonkish1 - 16
J. Madrid - 12
M. Mike - 19
T. Branson - 25

Paul - 8.3

Wonkish - 8
A. Nix - 7
T. Branson - 6
A-Bob - 6.5

Cain - 2.8

A-Bob - 3.5
T. Branson - 2
Wonkish - 5
A. Nix - 5
J. Madrid - 5

Santorum - 0.7

A. Nix - <1
T. Branson - 1
A-Bob - 1
J. Madrid - 1
Wonkish1 - 1.5

Gingrich - 0.8

T. Branson - 2
A-Bob - 2
J. Madrid - 3
A. Nix - 3
Wonkish - 5

Bachmann - 3.9

A-Bob - 4
A. Nix - 3
Wonkish - 6
J. Madrid - 6
T. Branson - 7

Johnson - 0.2

A. Nix - <1
Wonkish - .5

Huntsman - 4.5

Wonkish - 5
J. Madrid - 5
A. Nix - 6
A-Bob - 2.5
T. Branson - 8

Obama - 42.1

Wonkish - 48
A. Nix - >50
T. Branson - 50-60
A-Bob - 57
M. Mike - 60
J. Madrid - 62

I'll continue to edit this post as more information comes in from the "post Q3 fundraising" thread.
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Wonkish1
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« Reply #27 on: October 05, 2011, 12:55:40 PM »

So how are we going to do this?

A:Add up the missed millions into a total and divide by the number of candidates the person predicted on.

Or

B: Calculate the percentage off each person had for each candidate and then average out those percentages.

Or

C: Some combination of the 2.
I'm thinking multiply A and B together??

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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
Junior Chimp
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Spain


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« Reply #28 on: October 05, 2011, 01:13:03 PM »

62 Mio. - Obama
12 Mio. - Romney
18 Mio. - Perry (sure bet)
8 Mio. - Paul (sure bet)
6 Mio. - Bachmann
5 Mio. - Cain
5 Mio. - Huntsman
3 Mio. - Gingrich
1 Mio. - Santorum
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